By Admin 
The final results of the first phase of voting in Bihar Assembly elections have come and the figure is 64.66 percent. This is being seen as record voting in Bihar elections, because this time there is an increase of more than 8 percent compared to the Assembly elections 2020. But if you delve further into these figures, you will find that these figures are even more interesting than what the Election Commission is telling.
The data also shows that this time about 35 lakh more people have voted as compared to 2020 and that too when the difference between the total number of voters in 2020 and the total number of voters in 2020 is only about 4 lakh. So what is the real meaning of these figures, are these historical figures going to change the history of Bihar, is the result of Bihar Assembly elections also hidden in these figures and what is the real reason for such figures coming out?
What are the figures pointing towards?
In the first phase of assembly elections in Bihar, voting took place for a total of 121 assembly seats in 18 districts. According to the press note issued by the Election Commission, there were a total of 3.75 crore voters in the first phase. Of these, 64.66 percent people voted. So on this basis you can roughly say that out of about 3 crore 75 lakh voters, 2 crore 42 lakh 47 thousand 500 people voted. That means about one crore 32 lakh 52 thousand 500 people did not vote.
Now let us compare it with the year 2020 and try to understand. In the year 2020, Bihar Assembly elections were held in three phases. So, according to the seats in the first phase of 2025, there were about 3 crore 71 lakh 55 thousand 778 voters on these 121 seats in the year 2020. Voting was 55.81 percent. That means about 2 crore 7 lakh 36 thousand 639 people had voted. And 1 crore 64 lakh 19 thousand 139 people did not vote. If seen from this perspective, in comparison to 2020, about 35 lakh more people have voted in the year 2025.
Now understand one more complication. And the problem is SIR. That is, Special Incentive Revision, through which first 65 lakh and then four lakh names, totaling 69 lakh, were removed and about 21.5 lakh new voters were added. In this regard, names of about 47.5 lakh voters were removed. Whereas these people were present as voters in the 2020 assembly elections. Now these were those voters who were duplicates or who had died or for some other reason were not actually voters.
So when the voting percentage was released by the Election Commission in the year 2020, these 47.5 lakh people were also present who were not supposed to vote. In such a situation, the total vote percentage of these 121 seats was 55.81 percent. And take care. The year 2020 was the year when there was an outbreak of Corona in the country and people were not ready to leave their homes. In such a situation, if these 47.5 lakh votes are also divided into two parts, then there is a reduction of about 24 lakh voters in each phase.
What is the impact of SIR?
Now once again look at the figures of 121 seats for the year 2020 and 121 seats for the year 2025 and understand. In 2020, when the names were not cut, the number of people who did not vote was 1 crore 64 lakh 19 thousand 139. And this time, even after the names were deleted, the number of people who did not vote was 1 crore 32 lakh 52 thousand 500. If the deleted names are also added to those who did not vote this year, then the figures that come out say that about 1 crore 54 lakh people did not vote.
That means, not only is the increased voting percentage visible in the figures, but the number of people voting has also increased by about 35 lakhs. And if seen from this perspective, about 17 percent more people have voted this time compared to 2020. There are at least 5 reasons for this increased vote percentage and increased number of voters, which you will not be able to deny under any circumstances.
Elections near Diwali and Chhath
The biggest reason for the increased votes are those two festivals which the whole of Bihar celebrates. The first is Diwali and the second is Chhath. These elections were held within 10 days of the end of Chhath on 28 October. In such a situation, most of the people who had come to their homes to celebrate the festival, exercised their franchise and voted before leaving their homes for their jobs.
If we compare this with the year 2020, the first phase of elections in Bihar was held on 28 October, while the evening half of Chhath was on 20 November. In such a situation, there was a gap of three weeks between the elections and the festival. Therefore, those who came home for the festival, came when the first phase of voting was over and people’s priority was not voting but their own festival.
Government facility available during festival
This time, those coming home for the festival also had those 12 thousand trains which were run by the Central Government especially for Bihar. There were pictures of jostling in the train, people were seen struggling to get seats, but people came home in large numbers and most of those who came home, voted after celebrating the festival and then went out of Bihar. Because this time a record 35 lakh more people have voted as compared to 2020 and a large number of them are non-resident Biharis.
People came out of their homes when Corona ended
Bihar Assembly elections were held in 2020 at a time when Corona was at its peak. People were feeling scared to come out of their homes. But the situation is completely different in 2020. Now there is no trace of Corona. Therefore, be it an 18 year old youth or a 90 year old old man, no one had any hesitation in leaving the house and reaching the booth. Therefore, not only the voting percentage increased but the number of people voting also increased.
Elections held in two phases increased interest
This time Bihar elections are limited to just two phases. It took less than a month from declaration of elections to voting. In such a situation, people were interested in elections and because of this, people also came out of their homes to cast their votes. Because by the time he started getting bored with the entire election process, the voting was over.
Increased number of active voters
A major reason for the increased number of voters in the first phase of Bihar Assembly elections is the Special Incentive Revision i.e. SIR in Bihar. Due to SIR, those voters who were not active were deleted.
This means that those voters were removed from the voter list, who did not exist, who had either passed away, or had become voters from somewhere else or were no longer voters of Bihar due to any other reason. If the names of such people were removed, active voters increased and the result was seen in the form of increased election percentage.
Now what will be its effect?
Now what will be its impact and how much will be decided on 14th November. But one thing is certain that whatever the result of this historic voting will be, it will be one-sided. And this result will shock everyone. Be it Chief Minister Nitish Kumar or Leader of Opposition Tejashwi Yadav or Prashant Kishor, who is contesting Bihar elections for the first time through his new party, it is sure to surprise everyone.
History is witness to the fact that whenever such bumper voting has taken place and has taken place in the form of crowds, it has changed history and created a new history. Is Bihar also going to make a new history on 14th November? Wait for 14th November to witness this.