By Admin 
This time also the contest on 10 assembly seats of Darbhanga district is interesting and competitive. According to ABP Bihar Expert Exit Poll 2025, NDA is expected to get 6 seats and Grand Alliance is expected to get 4 seats. That is, the Nitish-Modi factor is still showing its impact in Darbhanga, while the Grand Alliance has presented a tough contest on some seats.
In NDA, JDU is likely to get 4 seats and BJP is likely to get 2 seats, whereas in the Grand Alliance, RJD is likely to get 3 seats and CPI (M) is likely to get 1 seat.
NDA ahead despite vote boycott in Kusheshwarsthan
According to senior local journalist Santosh Poddar, this time the contest on Kusheshwarsthan seat was very close. JDU candidate Atirek Kumar definitely suffered loss due to vote boycott in some Panchayats, but due to Modi-Nitish factor, victory seems to be going to NDA. Independent Ganesh Bharti got some votes from Biraul area, but he will not be decisive.
Party wise seat distribution
JDU – 4 seats
BJP – 2 seats
RJD – 3 seats
CPI (M) – 1 seat
Binod Mishra gets lead due to unity of Brahmin votes in Alinagar
According to political expert Murari Jha, there is a tough fight on Alinagar seat between RJD’s Binod Mishra and BJP’s folk singer Maithili Thakur. But the issue of infighting and local versus outside candidates became decisive here. Binod Mishra has got the advantage of being local, due to which the chances of victory of the Grand Alliance are strong.
Women changed the equation in Darbhanga rural
According to political expert Amit Kumar, RJD had been in control of Darbhanga Rural for a long time, but this time JDU candidate Rajesh Kumar Mandal (Ishwar Mandal) got tremendous support. The impact of Nitish government’s schemes, especially the Rs 10,000 assistance scheme, was visible on women and new voters. The contest may be close, but NDA is said to be in the lead.
NDA has lead in Benipur
Senior journalist Deepak Jha says that women played a big role in Benipur seat. JDU’s Vinay Chaudhary alias Ajay Chaudhary has benefited from Nitish’s image. Congress’s Mithilesh Chaudhary is definitely trying to make a dent in the Brahmin votes, but overall the position of NDA seems strong.
Sanjay Saraogi’s hat-trick confirmed in Darbhanga Urban
According to expert Kumar Roshan, BJP MLA Sanjay Saraogi, who has won 5 consecutive times, seems to be winning once again. Although VIP candidates Umesh Sahni and Jansuraj’s Rakesh Mishra may cut some votes, but the impact will be limited.
According to political expert Ramesh Kumar, this time there is a triangular contest on Hayaghat seat. There is resentment in the area against BJP MLA Ramchandra Sah, and Aam Aadmi Party’s Ravindra Singh (Chintu Singh) is also giving a tough challenge. Here CPI(M)’s Shyam Bharti may get an advantage. Therefore, the possibility of victory of the Grand Alliance is being expressed.
Senior journalist Tinku Kumar says that in Bahadurpur there was a close contest between ministers Madan Sahni (JDU) and Bhola Yadav (RJD). However, due to Madan Sahni’s development image and local influence, NDA is said to have the upper hand.
This time RJD’s Afzal Ali Khan is getting lead in Gaudabauram seat. According to journalist Shankar Sahni, VIP withdrew its candidate, due to which the Mallah vote went to the Grand Alliance. BJP candidate Sujit Kumar had to face anti-incumbency.
Equation in favor of Faraz Fatmi in Kewati
According to political expert Rajan Kumar, this time RJD candidate Faraz Fatmi is in a strong position in the Yadav-Muslim dominated Keoti seat. The hold of his father Ali Ashraf Fatmi and the unity of Yadav voters is giving an edge to the Grand Alliance.
Jeevesh Mishra’s path to hat-trick is easy
Senior journalist Arun Pathak says that BJP minister Jivesh Mishra is moving towards victory for the third consecutive time on Jale seat. Congress’s Rishi Mishra can make some impact on Brahmin votes, but due to the rebellion of independent Masukur Usmani, the vote bank of the grand alliance has weakened.
The atmosphere is clear on 10 seats of Darbhanga. NDA is in a position to win 6 seats, Grand Alliance 4 seats. Where NDA is getting the benefit of Nitish’s development model and Modi factor.
Whereas the Grand Alliance is in the fray relying on local faces and caste equations. Overall, the equations have changed in Darbhanga, but the inclination of power remains towards NDA.