Fitch forecasts india gdp growth: Fitch Ratings have retained India’s credibility on ‘BBB-‘ with a stable landscape with a growth rate and strong financial position on the external front. The 50% US fee proposed on India is expected to have a slight negative impact on the 6.5 percent growth rate of its GDP (GDP) for the current financial year 2025-26. Fitch said, “If the proposed goods and service tax (GST) reforms are adopted, it will promote consumption and reduce some risks related to increase.”
The Center has proposed a rate of 40 percent for five to seven items as well as a second for five to seven items along with a bila-level tax structure of five and 18 percent for goods and services for the ministers set up on rationalization of GST rates. This proposal includes abolition of the existing 12 and 28 percent tax ‘slab’.
US agency seal on India’s growth
Fitch said, “India’s rating has its strong growth and solid external financial status.” BBB-“is the lowest investment category rating. This rating has come within a fortnight of ‘BBB’ by increasing India’s credit rating by the global rating agency S&P. It is worth noting that on August 14, S&P Global Ratings increased India’s credibility from ‘BBB-‘ to ‘BBB’. S&P has increased India’s credibility for the first time in 18 years.
Another global rating agency Morning DBRS had increased India’s rating to ‘BBB’ in May this year citing structural reforms. The agency has estimated to be 6.5 percent of the growth rate of GDP (GDP) in FY 2025-26, which is similar to the financial year 2024-25 and is above the average ‘BBB’ of 2.5 percent. It said that India’s economic scenario remains stronger than equivalent countries, although its pace has slowed down in the last two years.
Tariff will not affect
The agency said that it has estimated a growing capacity of 6.4 percent in the moderate period due to strong public capital expenditure, increase in private investment and favorable demographics. Fitch said, “If the proposed Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms are adopted, it will boost consumption and reduce some risks related to growth.” The rating agency, however, has expressed concern over the fiscal front, citing high deficit and debt compared to the countries of the ‘BBB’ category.
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