After creating a stir in the global economy by imposing tariffs across the world, now global power America seems to be entering a new and more sensitive game. The arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in the beginning of the year 2026 has shaken international politics. Officially, the reason for this action was said to be drug trafficking and corruption, but global affairs experts are seeing the big geopolitics of oil behind it.
The most surprising thing is that after the American intervention, there has been a sharp rise in the prices of crude oil in the international market.
The first shipment of Venezuelan oil has been sold?
According to a report, America has completed the first phase of sale of Venezuelan crude oil, in which oil worth about $ 500 million has been sold. American officials have also confirmed this report and indicated that more such deals may happen in the coming months.
Meanwhile, America’s eyes are now fixed on Iran’s oil reserves. Former President Donald Trump has openly indicated that Iran could be his next target. This clearly means that once again a major geopolitical upheaval in the Middle East is considered certain.
ABP Live talked in detail with IIMC Professor Shivaji Sarkar on this entire incident.
Is Iran Trump’s next target?
Professor Shivaji Sarkar says that Trump himself has indicated that Iran is on his next agenda. However, this controversy is not new. “The tension between Iran and America is decades old. There have been attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities before as well,” he says, adding that when India’s role regarding Chabahar Port and Afghanistan came to light, America had also adopted a somewhat soft stance on Iran. Trump feels that America can reach Central Asia by using the North-South Corridor through India.
According to Professor Sarkar, “America’s strategy is not limited to any one President. There, there is planning for 20-30 years ahead. The President is only the face to implement that strategy.”
What does America want?
In response to this question, Shivaji Sarkar says that America’s economic situation has been under continuous pressure since the financial crisis of 2007-08. Many countries are staying away from the dollar. The dollar’s hold on global trade is weakening. Pressure on American manufacturing and employment has increased. “The dollar has long been America’s greatest strength – whether through trade or foreign investment through bonds. Now that its hold is weakening, America needs new ways to manage its economy.”
War, weapons, and the American economy
Professor Sarkar says that the American people do not want war, but “if there is no war, weapons will not be sold.” If the Ukraine war stops and the Israel-Gaza conflict calms down, Iran could become a new front. Confrontation is necessary to keep the arms industry alive—it has been a key part of American strategy.
Why is America eyeing Iran’s oil?
They point out that even though Venezuelan oil may be of low quality, America still captured its reserves. “On the contrary, Iran’s oil is counted among the best oils in the world. If America gets control over Iran’s oil, then it can also have a big hold on the global energy market.”
China is Iran’s biggest oil buyer. In such a situation, America believes that by increasing pressure on Iran, it can also weaken China’s energy security.
Why increased concern for India and Asia?
If America takes any major step against Iran, then the distance between Iran and India remains only 1500 kilometers. It can have a direct impact on India’s energy security, Chabahar Port, access to Central Asia, China-Pakistan equation. According to Professor Shivaji Sarkar, “This is a sign of serious strategic crisis not only for India but for the whole of Asia.”
After Venezuela, the increasing American focus on Iran makes it clear that the battle for oil, dollar and global dominance has reached a new phase. If this conflict escalates, its effects will be felt from the Middle East to Asia and India. For India, this is a time for very cautious diplomacy and strategic balance.
Also read: India’s IMF praised India in such a way that people from China-Pakistan to America will be shocked after hearing this.

