Indian Economy: Many people are currently in a state of confusion regarding the Indian economy. On one hand, inflation seems to be decreasing. On one hand, inflation seems to be decreasing, interest on loans is decreasing, there is not much fluctuation in the stock market, but still there is uncertainty. People are confused about whether it would be right to invest now or should they wait?
When the economy is in such a situation, it is called ‘Goldlocks phase’ in the language of economists. That means neither too cold nor hot, absolutely balanced. According to recent estimates, India seems to be entering its Goldilocks phase. The Reserve Bank of India has also indicated that inflation may fall to around 2 percent in the financial year 2026, while economic growth is expected to remain strong at around 8 percent. These two things rarely go together because when the pace of growth is fast, inflation starts increasing and when inflation remains under control, growth usually slows down. This is what makes the current situation of the economy unusual.
What is Goldilocks?
The name Goldilocks is taken from children’s fairy tales. One day a girl with this name, while roaming in the forest, reaches the house of bears. On reaching there, he sees three bowls kept on the table, which are filled with porridge. The porridge in the first bowl is hot, the porridge in the second bowl is cold and the porridge in the third bowl is neither too hot nor too cold. Goldilocks liked the porridge served in the third bowl, so she ate it. This is the reason why when the economy remains balanced, economists call it ‘Goldilocks phase’.
This moment is very delicate
Goldilocks economy occurs when despite increasing economic output, inflation decreases, prices stop rising rapidly, but factories keep producing, companies keep hiring people and consumption also remains. This condition is short-lived and often very critical. In the case of India, the latest assessment of RBI shows that inflationary pressure is decreasing faster than expected, while the pace of growth remains strong. In simple words, things are not becoming more expensive, while there is a flow of more goods and services throughout the economy.
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