By Admin 
This time a fierce competition is being seen on all the seven assembly seats of Purnia district. According to ABP Bihar Expert Exit Poll 2025, this time there seems to be an equal contest between the NDA and the Grand Alliance. Out of total 7 seats, NDA is getting 3 seats, Grand Alliance is getting 3 seats and there is a close fight on one seat. BJP is looking strong on 2 seats, JDU on 1, RJD on 2 and Congress on 1 seat.
Let us know what is the equation seat by seat and who has the upper hand.
Lacey Singh’s lead continues in Dhamdaha
NDA’s JDU candidate and minister Lacey Singh is leading from Dhamdaha Assembly. Lacey Singh has once again proved her strong hold. Lacey Singh, who comes from Rajput caste, has influence on every community in the area. Be it Kushwaha, Koeri, Backward-Extreme Backward or Muslim voters.
Lacey Singh, considered close to CM Nitish Kumar, has won the trust of the people through development works like Purnia Airport, roads, electricity, water etc. However, due to being a five-time MLA, some degree of anti-incumbency is also being seen.
Party wise distribution of 7 seats of Purnia –
– BJP: 2 seats
– JDU: 1 seat
– RJD: 2 seats
– Congress: 1 seat
– Tough competition: 1 seat
Santosh Kushwaha, who left JDU and joined RJD, is at second place. They are also getting a big benefit due to the Luv-Kush equation (40%). The effect of Tejashwi Yadav’s public meetings is visible here.
Exciting battle between Bima Bharti vs Shankar Singh in Rupauli
This time there is a triangular contest in Rupauli. RJD’s Bima Bharti is leading, while independent candidate Shankar Singh is at second place. Bima Bharti comes from Gangota community, whose population here is about 35%. Muslim and Yadav voters are also standing with him.
Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar
This time, Bima Bharti worked very hard before the elections, continuously met people and tried to erase old grievances. Like last time, Independent Shankar Singh is giving a tough fight this time too, but a large section of Muslim voters have now gone with the Grand Alliance. JDU candidate Kaladhar Mandal is considered weak in the equation this time.
BJP candidate from Purnia Sadar in strong position
BJP MLA Vijay Khemka is heading towards victory for the third consecutive time from Purnia Sadar seat. Khemka is recognized as a leader with a clean image. He has a deep hold on Vaishya and Swarn voters. The impact of PM Modi-Nitish’s development work, airport, Vande Bharat Train and DBT schemes is clearly visible here.
However, Grand Alliance candidate Jitendra Yadav is also in the contest. The functioning of the Municipal Corporation along with the Yadav-Muslim equation and the popularity of his wife (Mayor) are giving him strength. There is a slight effect of anti-incumbency here, but the face of Modi-Nitish has taken over the position of Khemka.
NDA’s Nitish Singh may win in Kasba
This time new face NDA candidate Nitish Kumar Singh is leading in Kasba Assembly. Here Congress candidate Irfan Alam is in second place, while former MLA Afaq Alam and independent Pradeep Das have made the contest interesting.
The population of Muslim voters in Kasba is 40%, but this time due to the presence of four Muslim candidates, vote dispersion is certain. Voters of Vaishya and Kushwaha communities seem united in favor of NDA. Political pundits say that Nitish Singh has completely mobilized the voters of his camp in the last days of the elections.
BJP’s Krishna Kumar Rishi ahead again from Banmankhi.
Once again BJP MLA Krishna Kumar Rishi is in a strong position on Banmankhi seat. This seat is SC reserved and Rishi comes from SC community. He has been a four-time MLA and twice a minister. They are getting the benefits of development schemes, railway station renovation and policies of Modi-Nitish.
Congress candidate Dev Narayan Rajak is at second place. There is definitely anti-incumbency in the area, but the caste equation is tilted in favor of BJP.
RJD’s Haji Abdus Subhan returns in Bayasi
RJD candidate and former minister Haji Abdus Subhan is leading in Bayasi. His influence remains intact in Muslim dominated areas. AIMIM candidate Ghulam Sarwar is in second place. Here Surjapuri community is in majority (70%) among Muslim voters, due to which Haji Subhan has got a huge lead.
Tejashwi Yadav’s gathering and RJD’s old vote bank have strengthened Subhaan’s position. Ghulam Sarwar’s clean image and the speeches of AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi definitely have an impact, but due to the scattering of votes, his position is limited to the second position.
Strong comeback of Congress’s Jalil Mastan in Amour
Senior Congress leader Abdul Jalil Mastan is leading in Amour. This seat is Muslim dominated (70%), dominated by the Surjapuri community. Jalil Mastan himself belongs to this society and has a deep influence at the local level. Whereas, JDU candidate Saba Zafar is at second place.
Saba Zafar belongs to the Kulhaiya community and has a long political experience, but this time the Surjapuri vote bank is completely visible with Mastan. The Congress candidate’s honest image and active role in the development of the area have given him an edge.
According to the exit poll, this time the politics of Purnia is based on a mixed equation of caste and development. Dhamdaha and Banmankhi seem to be in the control of NDA, while RJD’s position is strong in Rupauli and Bayasi. Congress has won in Amour, NDA in Kasba and BJP in Purnia Sadar.