By Admin 
The mood of the Nation Poln (MOTN) of August 2025 tells that if elections are held now, the NDA will get power again. The NDA is getting an estimated 324 seats. Opposition coalition India can get 208 seats. However, in January 2025, NDA seats were more than this. That is, the bounce shown at the beginning of the year has come down till August. Prime Minister Narendra Modi still remains the most popular leader in the survey. Modi has got about 51–52% support for the post of Prime Minister (earlier this figure lived up to 55%). Rahul Gandhi’s rating has increased to about 25%. It was earlier between 18–20%. This means that Modi’s popularity remains stable, while Rahul Gandhi is constantly emerging as the main challenger.
An important aspect of the survey is that the NDA could not get the political benefit of the recent operation vermilion. There was a surge after the operation in January, but by August, the support decreased. Comparison, after the 2019 Balakot operation, the government got a bump of about 15%, which lasted for 12 weeks. In contrast, the jump was just 5% after the operation vermilion and barely 4 weeks. That is, people accepted that India’s reply was strong, but should have been more tough than that. Due to non -fulfillment of this increased expectations, BJP supporters were disappointed.
Rahul Gandhi’s lead and opposition solidarity
The survey also revealed that Rahul Gandhi’s stature has increased among the leaders of the opposition. Rahul Gandhi has now emerged as the biggest face of the opposition. The rating of other leaders like Mamta Banerjee, Akhilesh Yadav, Arvind Kejriwal has come down to Rahul’s favor at the national level. The large part of the opposition votes is now shifting towards Rahul Gandhi.
In which states the opposition benefits?
According to Yashwant Deshmukh, the India alliance seems to be gaining in some states between February to August 2025. This includes Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Telangana. At the same time, BJP and NDA are seeing benefits in Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu, because the alliance of AIDMK and BJP is increasing vote share.
Details of satisfaction and dissatisfaction
The number of people angry with the central government has increased this time and the number of people who are happy has decreased. The BJP supporters also saw the most disappointment about the ceasefire after Operation Sindoor. However, this does not mean that BJP supporters have gone in favor of Congress or Rahul Gandhi. Rather, this despair is strengthening numbers in the opposition camp itself.
Opinion of experts
PM Modi’s support in the survey is stable around 50%. Rahul Gandhi’s support has increased to 25% baseline. That is, there is a ratio of 1: 2 between BJP (40%) and Congress (20%) at the party level and Modi (50%) at the leader level. Opposition profit will be limited until the Congress makes a dent in the middle class vote bank.
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