31 Jan 2026, Sat

Steer or roll? How is the stock market after the budget? Know the trend of last 15 years

Budget 2026-27: At last the moment has come for which the entire country has been waiting. The Union Budget 2026 is to be presented in Parliament on Sunday, February 1. A lot of ups and downs were seen in the Indian stock market before the budget. In such a situation, now investors or traders may get confused as to what will be the trend of the stock market after the budget. To remove this confusion, we are going to give you information about how the market has behaved after the presentation of the last 15 union budgets i.e. interim and final budgets.

SBI Securities has analyzed the market performance after the presentation of the last 15 union budgets. In this report, the focus has been on the post-budget returns of Sensex, Nifty, Midcap, Smallcap and other big sectors.

How was the trend of Sensex?

According to the report, in the last 15 years, the Sensex remained positive 11 out of 15 times for the next one week of the budget presented. During this period, an average return of about 2.10 percent has been received. During this period, the Sensex closed with a loss on an average about 4 times, in which an average decline of about 2.05 percent was recorded. During the next three months after the presentation of the budget, the Sensex has risen 9 times out of 15 and has given an average return of about 6.77 percent. At the same time, six times Sensex has given negative returns with an average fall of about 5.28 percent.

How was the performance of Nifty?

The trend of Nifty has also been almost similar to that of Sensex. During the next one week after the budget, Nifty has given an average return of about 2.04 percent, closing with a positive trend 12 times out of 15. At the same time, it weakened three times and during this period there was an average loss of about 2.65 percent. Similarly, in the next three months after the presentation of the budget, Nifty showed an increase 9 times out of 15, with an average gain of about 7.40 percent. At the same time, there were negative closings six times, where an average decline of about 5.46 percent was recorded.

How was the performance of midcap and smallcap?

After the budget, in the next one week, both midcap and smallcap indices closed with a positive trend 11 out of 15 times. During this period, there has been an average increase of 3.1 to 3.3 percent. At the same time, the index has declined 4 times, where the average decline was 2.7 to 3 percent. In the next three months period after the presentation of the budget, the midcap index has given positive returns 10 times out of 15, with an average increase of about 8.67 percent.

At the same time, the performance of the smallcap index was a bit volatile. It has had positive closing 7 times out of 15, with an average return of about 14.54 percent. At the same time, it went down 8 times, where the average loss was about 8.77 percent.

Disclaimer: (The information provided here is being given for information only. It is important to note here that investing in the market is subject to market risks. Always consult an expert before investing money as an investor. ABPLive.com It is never advised for anyone to invest any money here.)

Also read:

Budget 2026: Market fell before the budget? No worries, trading on NSE-BSE on Sunday for the second time in history

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