Dollar vs Yuan: There is a war going on between Iran and America for the last several months. The impact of this war is so much on the global market that the Indian rupee is continuously losing its value against the dollar. Not only the Indian rupee but the currencies of many countries are succumbing to the dollar. Meanwhile, there is one country whose currency is shining very brightly at the global level. This currency is ‘Yuan’.

Yuan beats dollar
In fact, China’s central bank People’s Bank of China said on Thursday that the yuan is continuously strengthening against the US dollar. In its released data, the bank said that the daily reference rate of yuan has been fixed at 6.8349 per dollar, which is the strongest level since February 2023. This clearly indicates that China wants to keep its currency stable and strong.

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Yuan shines globally
After this news came out, now many big banks in the global market are looking very positive about Yuan. On the other hand, there is pressure on the US dollar. For this reason, the confidence of investors is gradually increasing towards the Chinese currency. The offshore yuan has also strengthened continuously and on Thursday it was seen trading at around 6.803 per dollar.

Due to this the value is increasing
Let us tell you that China’s exports have strengthened since last year, which is benefiting the Yuan. Apart from this, investor confidence regarding China’s economy has also improved. The expectation of stability in relations between America and China is also supporting the Yuan. According to a report by Bank of America, the yuan may strengthen to 6.70 per dollar by the end of this year. The bank also believes that if the ongoing tension in the Middle East remains low and China continues its policy of currency stability, then the yuan may see further rise.

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The Indian Rupee is currently under heavy pressure and is continuously touching new record lows. On May 19, 2026, it reached the level of 96.52 against the dollar, which is the lowest level till date. At the beginning of the year 2026, the rupee was around 89, but till now it has weakened by 6-7%. There are many global and domestic reasons behind this decline. Tension between Iran and America has pushed crude oil prices above $105-107 per barrel. India imports 85% of its oil needs, hence rising oil prices have increased the import bill and the demand for dollars has increased. On the other hand, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are withdrawing money from Indian markets. So far Rs 2.65 lakh crore has been withdrawn in 2026.

In such a situation, there is only one question in everyone’s mind – will the rupee cross 100? Talking about this, many experts have given their opinion. Let us know the opinion of 5 experts, out of which 2 are in favor of the rupee crossing Rs 100, 2 are against and 1 is of neutral opinion…

In favor: These experts believe that the rupee can cross 100

Speaking to ANI, former UN advisor and economist Santosh Mehrotra said, ‘In the last three months, the rupee has fallen from below 90 to around 96 per dollar. This will have its own impact on inflation. He further warned, ‘If the current pressure continues, the rupee can very easily touch Rs 100 per dollar in the next quarter.’ His opinion strengthens the possibility of the rupee crossing Rs 100.

Currency expert K.N. Dey also does not rule out the possibility of the rupee crossing Rs 100. Speaking to ANI, he said, ‘The speed at which the rupee has fallen since May 11 has shocked the market, yet both the regulator and North Block are silent.’ He further said, ‘Since there is no bottom in sight, estimating the stability point is just a guess. Psychological slide towards 100 is also possible now. His statement explains the sudden turmoil in the market and the rapid pace of decline.

In opposition: These experts do not believe that the 100 mark is likely to be crossed any time soon.

Finance analyst and FX strategist Dheeraj Nim believes that RBI will not allow the rupee to reach the level of 100 anytime soon. Talking to a TV channel, he said, ‘We do not think that RBI will allow the rupee to go to the level of 100 at the moment.’ ANZ Research expects the rupee to end the year at 97.5 per dollar, indicating a move away from the 100 mark despite weakening from current levels.

Mitul Kotecha, Head of FX and EM Macro Strategy Asia (Barclays), told Business Standard, ‘It is not our forecast that the rupee will touch Rs 100 per dollar.’ However, he also admitted that the pace of rupee depreciation has been much faster and more shocking than he had anticipated. He said, ‘We have already crossed the levels which were earlier considered to be a forecast of recession.’ Nevertheless, he has clearly said that the level of 100 is not included in his official forecast.

Neutral: This expert does not consider controlled decline a matter of concern

Nilesh Shah, Managing Director, Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company, takes a balanced view on the rupee crossing Rs 100. In an interview to ANI, he said, ‘One day will we see the rupee going into three digits? There is a lot of possibility. However, his emphasis is on how this degradation occurs. He said, ‘If this is systematic depreciation, it ensures that our economy continues to compete.’ He believes that ‘rupee keeps falling against foreign currencies’ and if this happens without major changes and in an orderly manner then it is not a matter of concern, but a coordination has to be done to keep the economy competitive.

RBI’s role is important amid the fall of rupee

Whether the rupee will cross 100 or not will largely depend on oil prices and the trend of foreign investment. If tensions in West Asia ease, the rupee may come back to the level of 92-93. At the same time, RBI still has foreign exchange reserves of about 700 billion dollars, on the basis of which it can prevent excessive fluctuations in the rupee. However, if global conditions worsen further, the psychological level of 100 could become a real possibility.

At present, experts’ opinions are divided, but everyone agrees that the coming months are going to be very challenging for the Indian economy.

Currency Value: The value of the Indian rupee has fallen significantly at the global level. So the price of dollar has increased. This news is very disturbing for the general public, because it will increase inflation in the country. Well, every country in the world has its own currency. Somewhere the dollar is used, somewhere the rupee, and somewhere else the dinar or pound. But have you ever wondered why the value of some country’s currency is higher and that of another is lower?

Why do currency values ​​differ?
In fact, the value of any currency depends on that country’s economy, trade, inflation and its confidence in the world. When the currency of one country is bought or sold against the currency of another country, then its exchange rate is decided.

For example: The value of 1 US Dollar is equal to 96.283 Indian Rupees, while the value of 1 Kuwaiti Dinar is much higher than the Indian Rupee. This does not mean that a country is poor or rich, but the demand and supply of its currency is different.

These are the main reasons for the difference in value of currency.
There can be many reasons for the currency value of each country being different. We have prepared a list of these for you. Know these reasons here:

• Its biggest game is the strength of the economy. People have more confidence in the currency of a country whose economy is strong. As the US economy is considered strong, hence the demand for US dollars remains worldwide.
• If inflation increases too much in a country, then the currency there starts weakening. Because people’s purchasing power decreases. Like these days the currency of India has weakened a bit.
• If the country’s central bank increases interest rates, foreign investment may increase. This increases the demand for that country’s currency and its value may strengthen.
• The country which exports more goods, receives more foreign exchange. This may strengthen its currency.
• If a country has political stability and good policies, then investors like to invest money there. This keeps the currency strong.
• The country which has more foreign exchange reserves has less pressure on its currency.

However, let us tell you that expensive currency does not always mean a rich country. Many times countries deliberately keep their currency weak so that their goods can be sold cheaper abroad and exports can increase. The world’s strongest currencies include Kuwait’s Kuwaiti Dinar, Bahrain’s Bahraini Dinar and United Kingdom’s Pound Sterling. In simple words, the more the world trusts the currency, the stronger its value will be.

India Tops in Global Remittance List: India has once again been on top in terms of receiving money from abroad. According to the latest report for the year 2024, India has stood first in the global remittance list. According to World Bank estimates, India will receive more than $137 billion in remittances from NRIs in 2024. Which is much more than last year 2023.

India dominates the report
After the arrival of this new report, India has become the only country which has crossed the 100 billion dollar mark. According to the International Migration Organization’s World Migration Report 2026 released on Tuesday, India continues to top the list. Apart from this, Mexico is at second position, Philippines and France are at third and fourth position in this list.

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There has been an increase compared to previous years
India’s remittances from abroad have been continuously increasing over the years; in 2010, this figure was 53.48 billion dollars, which increased to 68.91 billion dollars in 2015. After this, in the year 2020 this figure increased to 83.15 billion dollars and now in 2024 this figure has become 137.67 billion dollars.

The biggest contribution came from Indians settled in America
The biggest contribution to the remittances received by India is from Indians settled in America. Apart from this, a large amount of money also comes to India from Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Indians working in IT, health services and other sectors and living in America send the maximum amount of money to India. It is because of this that this increase has occurred.

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Dollar vs Rupee: Amid rising tensions in the Middle East and rising crude oil prices, the Indian rupee fell sharply on Friday to its lowest ever level of 94.82 per dollar. The rupee opened at 94.18 in the interbank foreign exchange market, but after being under pressure throughout the day, it fell further and closed at a record level. Earlier it had fallen to the level of 93.96, which was the lowest level at that time.

The main opposition party Indian National Congress has targeted the central government over this historic fall in the rupee. Congress, while sharing an old video of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, raised questions on the current situation and criticized the economic policies of the government.

The party says that the weakness of the rupee raises questions on the country’s economic condition and policy management. At the same time, the government usually cites global reasons like rise in crude oil prices, dollar strength and geopolitical tension as the main reasons in such cases.

Record fall in rupee

The main reasons for this decline are believed to be the continuous selling by Foreign Institutional Investors, the strengthening of the dollar and the ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. The strength of the dollar globally is also putting pressure on the rupee, where the dollar index remains in the lead against six major currencies.

The effect of this instability was clearly visible in the domestic stock markets also. BSE Sensex fell by more than 1,690 points or 2.2 percent and closed at 73,583, while Nifty 50 also recorded a decline of about 487 points. This weakness in the market was seen due to withdrawal of foreign investors and global uncertainty. Due to heavy selling, investors lost about Rs 8.5 lakh crore.

stock market crash

At the same time, the prices of Brent Crude Oil in the international market have increased to around $ 109.8 per barrel, which is putting additional pressure on import-dependent countries like India. High prices of crude oil not only increase inflation but also have a negative impact on the current account deficit and currency.

It is noteworthy that whenever the Indian Rupee weakens, it has a direct impact on inflation. Imported goods become expensive, especially crude oil, due to which the prices of petrol, diesel and everyday items may increase. This also increases the fiscal deficit of the government, because there is pressure on both subsidies and import bills. Additionally, expenses increase for students studying abroad as they have to pay more in dollars.

However, the fall in rupee also has a positive aspect. This benefits the exporters because they get paid in US Dollars and due to the weak rupee, they get more rupees. This can boost export-based sectors like IT, pharma and textile. That is, until the tension in West Asia does not subside and crude oil prices stabilize, the rupee is expected to remain under pressure.

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Dollar vs Rupee: Due to tensions related to Iran, the Indian Rupee is under heavy pressure and it has reached near the level of 94. On Wednesday, the third trading day of the week, while on one hand the stock market opened with strength, on the other hand the rupee continued to fall. In early trade, the rupee fell by 20 paise to reach 93.96 against the US dollar.

Why is the rupee falling?

Investors’ concerns have increased due to continuous withdrawal of foreign capital. Forex traders say that the fall in global crude oil prices, slight weakness in the dollar and strong start of the domestic stock market have limited the fall of the rupee to some extent. However, the rupee remains under pressure due to uncertainties related to the West Asia crisis and selling by foreign investors.

In the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market, the rupee opened at 93.94 per dollar, which shows a decline of 18 paise from the previous closing price. A day earlier i.e. on Tuesday, the rupee had fallen by 23 paise and closed at 93.76. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the US dollar’s position against six major currencies, fell 0.15 per cent to 99.28.

strength in stock market

Strength was seen in the domestic stock market. BSE Sensex rose 1,161.61 points or 1.57 percent to 75,230.06, while Nifty rose 372.85 points or 1.63 percent to 23,285.25. Internationally, the price of Brent crude fell by 4.4 percent to $ 99.89 per barrel. According to stock market data, foreign institutional investors sold shares worth Rs 8,009.56 crore on Tuesday.

According to Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, there is pressure on the rupee due to withdrawal of foreign capital and strengthening of the US dollar. He told that in this month alone the rupee has fallen by about 4.5 percent and in the near future it may remain in the range of 93.65 to 94.25.

Whenever the rupee depreciates, it has a direct negative impact on the economy. This increases inflationary pressure, because imported goods become expensive. Apart from this, GDP growth rate is also affected. Besides, the possibility of increase in trade deficit also increases due to increase in import bill.

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Dollar vs Rupee: Amid rising tensions in the Middle East, the Indian rupee has become the weakest performing currency in Asia. According to Bloomberg data, on Friday morning, the last trading day of the week, the rupee fell by 64 paise and for the first time reached a record low of 93.28 against the US dollar. A day before this, on Thursday, it had closed at the level of 92.63 during trading. So far this year, a huge decline of about 3.64 percent has been recorded in the rupee.

Rupee falling, oil rising

On Thursday, a sharp jump was seen in the prices of Brent crude oil and at one time it increased by 10.9 percent to reach $ 119.1 per barrel. However, later there was some decline in it and on Friday morning it was seen trading at $ 107.2 per barrel. This rise in oil prices is being seen at a time when Israel has attacked Iran’s South Pars gas field.

After this, Iran warned the Gulf countries that many energy sites are now “legitimate targets”. However, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu later indicated that attacks on energy infrastructure would be avoided in the future, while US President Donald Trump also clarified that there are currently no plans to deploy troops in West Asia.

What are experts saying?

According to Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director of Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, the Indian currency is looking very weak amid the increasing tension in West Asia. He believes that unless crude oil prices come down to around $80 per barrel, the outflow of foreign capital may be higher than the government’s estimate, which will affect both the current account deficit and fiscal deficit.

He further said that the market is now waiting for the action of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). According to him, unless some concrete steps are taken, we may see buying on falling rupee, while exporters may avoid selling dollars while waiting for improvement in oil prices.

For India, falling rupee directly means increasing pressure on inflation. In such a situation, if this decline continues despite all the efforts of RBI, then the central bank may have to take further steps regarding the repo rate.

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Dollar vs Rupee: Amidst the war-like situation related to Iran, while on one hand there is a huge rise in the prices of crude oil, on the other hand the Indian Rupee fell to its all-time low of 92.62 per dollar on March 18. In such a situation, according to Goldman Sachs, the position of the Indian rupee is the weakest among South Asian countries and it may fall to Rs 95 against the US dollar by next year. If this happens, it can prove to be a big blow to the Indian economy.

In the last one month alone, the rupee has declined by about 1.77 percent. However, the Reserve Bank of India is continuously trying to reduce the pressure on the rupee by intervening in the market. Considering the market situation, RBI has sold about 18 to 20 billion dollars in a single week.

Why is the rupee falling?

In the month of March, foreign investors withdrew equity worth about $5.5 billion from the Indian market, due to which the Nifty 50 fell by about 8 percent. On March 17, the rupee had hit 92.41 against the dollar, marking a decline of about 6.75 per cent in the last 12 months, and then closed at an all-time low of 92.46.

According to Shantanu Sengupta, Indian economist at Goldman Sachs, the rupee is expected to fall to 95 per dollar due to the possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the US-Israel conflict and fears of an increase in the current account deficit.

decline in growth rate

Goldman Sachs also believes that this may have an impact on India’s economic growth rate. The organization has revised its earlier estimate and reduced the GDP growth rate for the financial year 2026-27 from 7.0 percent to 6.5 percent. Along with this, the inflation rate has been estimated to increase by 30 basis points, while the current account deficit (CAD) may increase by 0.8 percent to reach 1.2 percent of the GDP.

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Dollar vs Rupee: The Indian rupee continues to fall amid tensions in the Middle East. There is pressure on the rupee due to the strength of the US dollar and rise in crude oil prices. On the third trading day of the week, i.e. Wednesday, the rupee once again fell by three paise to reach the level of 92.43 against the dollar.

Due to the ongoing war in West Asia, the domestic currency is under pressure due to the withdrawal of foreign investors and the strong trend of the US dollar. According to foreign exchange traders, slight softening of global crude oil prices and positive opening in domestic stock markets have currently kept the rupee from falling further.

Why is the rupee falling?

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 92.42 against the dollar and later fell to 92.43 per dollar, showing a decline of three paise from the previous closing price. During trading on Thursday last week, the rupee had reached its lowest level of 92.47 against the dollar.

However, it finally closed at an all-time low of 92.40 per dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the US dollar’s position against six major currencies, rose 0.03 percent to 99.60.

In the domestic stock markets, Sensex rose by 373.53 points (0.49 percent) to 76,444.37 points in early trade, while Nifty rose by 114.40 points (0.49 percent) to 23,695.55 points.

The price of international standard Brent crude fell by 1.32 percent to $ 102.0 per barrel. According to stock market data, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were sellers on Tuesday and sold shares worth Rs 4,741.22 crore.

What do experts say?

According to Anuj Chaudhary, research analyst at Mirae Asset Sharekhan, the main reasons for the decline in the domestic currency are the rise in crude oil prices and continuous capital withdrawal by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). However, improvement in domestic markets and slight weakness in the US dollar have limited the sharp fall of the rupee.

He said that expectations of reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and possible intervention of the Reserve Bank of India may support the rupee at lower levels. Additionally, investors will also keep an eye on the monetary policies of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan and Bank of England this week. According to him, the spot price of rupee against the US dollar may remain in the range of Rs 92.10 to Rs 92.75.

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Dollar vs Rupee: Due to increasing tension in the Middle East, there is tremendous pressure on the Indian Rupee. The rise in crude oil prices and selling by foreign investors from the Indian market have weakened the rupee. As soon as the second trading day of the week started, the rupee once again fell by 14 paise against the dollar and reached the level of 92.42.

According to foreign exchange traders, sluggishness in domestic stock markets and strengthening of the American currency have increased the pressure on the rupee. However, investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, due to which the market remains cautious.

Why is the rupee falling?

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 92.35 per dollar and fell to 92.42 per dollar, showing a decline of 14 paise from the previous closing price. Earlier on Monday, the rupee had closed at 92.28 per dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the US dollar’s position against six major currencies, rose 0.19 percent to 99.65. In the domestic stock markets, BSE Sensex fell 91.62 points (0.12%) to 75,411.23 points in early trade, while Nifty 50 slipped 34.25 points (0.15%) to 23,374.55 points.

What do experts say?

According to Anuj Choudhary, Research Analyst, Mirae Asset Sharekhan, the fall of the rupee may stop to some extent due to slight weakness in the US dollar index and the expectation of reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Jigar Trivedi, senior research analyst at IndusInd Securities, said that due to high crude oil prices and continuous withdrawal of foreign investors, the rupee remains close to record low.

He said that due to high prices of crude oil, importers have to buy more dollars, due to which India’s trade deficit is increasing and economic pressure is increasing. He also said that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has intervened in the foreign exchange market to keep the rupee stable and prevent excessive fluctuations.

Other key indicators

Global oil standard Brent Crude rose 2.68 percent to $ 102.87 per barrel. According to stock market data, Foreign Institutional Investors sold shares worth Rs 9,365.52 crore on Monday.

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