After the completion of Bihar Assembly elections, the future of candidates of all political parties is locked in EVM, which will be revealed tomorrow on Friday (November 14, 2025). The Election Commission of India (ECI) will count the votes received by candidates on 243 assembly seats in the Bihar Assembly elections on Friday (November 14, 2025). After this it will become clear which coalition government will be formed in Bihar.

However, before the counting of votes, in almost all the exit polls that came out regarding Bihar elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) seems to be getting an overwhelming majority.

Which party got how many seats in exit polls?,

According to the exit polls of IANS-Materize after voting on 243 assembly seats of Bihar, NDA will get 147 to 167 seats, while the opposition Grand Alliance is expected to get 70 to 90 seats.

According to CHANAKAYA STRATEGIES, NDA may get 130-138 seats, Grand Alliance may get 100-108 and others may get 3-5 seats in Bihar. At the same time, in the exit poll of POLSTRAT, NDA is seen getting 133-148 seats, Grand Alliance getting 87-102 seats and others getting 3-5 seats in Bihar elections 2025.

According to the exit poll of TIF Research, the BJP-led NDA may get 145 to 163 seats in the Bihar Assembly elections, while the Grand Alliance may get 76-95 seats and others may get 3 to 6 seats. At the same time, according to POLL DIARY data, NDA is likely to get 184-209 seats, Grand Alliance is likely to get 32-49 seats and others are likely to get 1 to 5 seats.

What was the result of Bihar Assembly elections in 2020?

At the same time, in the assembly elections held in Bihar in the year 2020, the figures of 11 exit polls were proved wrong. In the exit polls in Bihar in 2020, the opposition Grand Alliance was expected to get 125 seats and the NDA was expected to get 108 seats, but when the results came out, the NDA had got 125 seats, which is three seats more than the majority figure. In this, BJP got 74 seats and JDU got 43 seats, while the opposition grand alliance was reduced to 110 seats. In this, RJD got 75 seats and Congress party got 19 seats.

Also read: Bihar Election Result: Preparations for Bihar election counting completed, every nook and corner is being monitored, know the answer to every question.

Everyone is waiting for the results of Bihar assembly elections. Counting of votes will begin on November 14. Before this, exit polls regarding the elections have also come out. Even though the exit poll of Axis My India has predicted full majority for NDA, this time Nitish Kumar has emerged as the King Mayor. According to the figures, whoever he is with will form the government in Bihar.

Even though the exit poll of Axis My India has predicted full majority for NDA, but Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD is emerging as the largest party, Nitish Kumar’s JDU may remain at the second position while BJP seems to be getting a setback in this election. BJP may remain the third party this time. In such a situation, the role of JDU has become important in forming the government.

JDU’s role important in Axis India My Exit Poll

In the exit poll, NDA may get 121 to 141 seats out of total 243 seats in Bihar. In which BJP is expected to get 50-56 seats whereas in the last election BJP had won 74 seats. At the same time, JDU is expected to get 56-62 seats, Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party 11-16 seats, Hindustan Awam Morcha 2-3 seats and Upendra Kushwaha’s party is expected to get 2-4 seats.
At the same time, the Grand Alliance is estimated to get 98-118 seats. But RJD can emerge as the largest party. In the exit poll, RJD is predicted to get 67-76 seats. Indian National Congress may get 17-21 seats, Vikassheel Insaan Party may get 3-5 seats, Left parties may get 10-14 seats and India Inclusive Party may get 0-1 seat.

Where Nitish Kumar is, there is government

If we look at these figures, this time the role of Nitish Kumar became important. Wherever Nitish Kumar goes, his government can be formed in Bihar. Nitish Kumar is in alliance with NDA, according to statistics NDA government is being formed. But if he leaves NDA and joins Tejashwi Yadav, then a grand alliance government can easily be formed by combining 67-76 seats of RJD and 56-62 seats of JDU.

Most of the exit polls in Bihar have predicted that NDA will return to power again. Everyone’s eyes are also on BJP candidate and folk singer Maithili Thakur from Alinagar seat of Darbhanga. Meanwhile, abp news talked to journalists regarding Alinagar seat. According to this, Maithili Thakur’s condition is not good and she may lose the election on this seat. Here he is competing against RJD candidate Vinod Mishra.

There are total 10 assembly seats in Darbhanga district. Voting on these seats was held in the first phase on 6 November. On average, 63.66 percent voting took place in Darbhanga district. Whereas 60.32 percent voting was recorded in Alinagar assembly seat.

Who gets how many seats in Darbhanga?

In the exit poll of journalists, it is estimated that out of total 10 seats in Darbhanga, 6 seats will go to NDA’s account. At the same time, Grand Alliance can get lead on 4 seats in this district.

Exit poll of journalists

• District- Darbhanga
• Total seats-10
• NDA-6
• Grand Alliance- 4

Who has the upper hand over Alinagar?

Grand alliance seems to have the upper hand on Alinagar assembly seat. RJD candidate Vinod Mishra can win the election from here. On this seat, there is a direct contest between folk singer Maithili Thakur of NDA and BJP’s strong Brahmin leader Vinod Mishra of RJD, in which the Grand Alliance may win due to infighting and division of votes of Brahmins due to being an outsider and denying the BJP ticket to a local.

Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar

Exit poll of journalists

• Total seats- 243
• NDA-125
• Grand Alliance- 87
• tough fight- 31

In the exit poll of journalists, NDA is likely to get 125 seats out of total 243 seats in Bihar. Whereas the Grand Alliance is estimated to win 87 seats. Along with this, according to this poll, there will be a tough fight between NDA and Grand Alliance on 31 seats. Voting was held on all 243 seats in Bihar in two phases on 6 and 11 November. The final results will be released by the Election Commission on 14 November.

(Disclaimer: Before the results of Bihar elections, ABP News has talked to 150 journalists of the state to understand the ground reality of Bihar elections. The figures of victory and defeat in every district have been prepared according to the opinion of the journalists.)

The results of many exit polls regarding Bihar assembly elections have come out. Most of the exit polls show NDA forming the government. Meanwhile, before the results of Bihar elections, ABP News has talked to 150 journalists of the state to understand the ground reality of Bihar elections. After the voting was over, this conversation was held with different journalists from all the 38 districts present at ground zero. The figures of victory and defeat in every district have been prepared according to the opinion of journalists.

Exit poll of journalists

Buxar- Anand Mishra, BJP, can win. He is a former IPS officer of Assam cadre.

Lakhisarai- Vijay Sinha, BJP, may lose. He is the Deputy CM of Bihar.

Siwan- Mangal Pandey, BJP, may lose. He is the Health Minister of Bihar.

Raghunathpur- Osama, RJD can win. Bahubali is the son of Shahabuddin.

Sasaram- Snehlata Kushwaha, RLM, may lose. She is the wife of Rashtriya Lok Morcha President Upendra Kushwaha.

Karghar- Ritesh Pandey, Jan Suraj may lose. Hero and singer of Bhojpuri films. BSP can win this seat in journalist poll.

Warisaliganj- Aruna Devi, BJP, may lose. She is the wife of Bahubali Akhilesh Singh. The other strongman Ashok Mahato’s wife is against him from RJD.

Rupauli- Bima Bharti, RJD can win. Bahubali is the wife of Awadhesh Mandal and a former minister.

Supaul- Bijendra Yadav- JDU, can win. He is the Energy Minister of Bihar.

Katihar- Tarkishore Prasad, BJP, can win. He is the former Deputy CM of Bihar.

After the second phase of counting of votes in Bihar Assembly elections (2025), exit polls are being released by various agencies. On this, Mukesh Sahni’s Vikassheel Insaan Party, which is part of the grand alliance, has reacted. The party has rejected the exit poll figures. VIP’s national spokesperson Dev Jyoti claimed that the election result would be far from this.

Dev Jyoti said that the exit poll is just a survey of some people. This is far away from the ground reality. He said that all the exit polls had proved unsuccessful in the last Lok Sabha and Assembly elections. This time too this exit poll seems to be repeating the same story.

‘People voted to remove the present government’

VIP spokesperson said, “The way people voted in large numbers and the reports coming from different areas, it is clear that people have voted in this election for change and to remove the present government. Voters have united against the administrative abuses and anarchy of NDA supporters and voted in favor of the Grand Alliance. No one can deny this.

He further said, “Whether it is the first or second phase of voting in Bihar, there is a wave of grand alliance. This time the government is going to be formed under the leadership of young faces Tejashwi Yadav and Mukesh Sahni.”

Let us tell you that this time Mukesh Sahni’s party has contested the elections in alliance with the Grand Alliance. Party results are to be declared on 12 seats. Different survey agencies have released exit poll data. If we look at the figures, NDA government seems to be formed again in Bihar. However, the final result will come on November 14.

Also read- Vote percentage did not increase in Bihar just like that! Women are much ahead compared to men, see figure

In the first phase of Bihar Assembly elections 2025, voting has been completed on 14 assembly seats of Patna district. According to ABP Live’s Expert Exit Poll 2025, NDA is seen getting 8 seats while Grand Alliance is seen getting 6 seats.

This estimate is based on the opinion of three senior journalists of Patna, Arun Kumar Pandey, Dhirendra Kumar and Santosh Kumar. Experts believe that compared to 2020, this time NDA seems to be gaining three seats.

Anant Singh will be crowned with victory on Mokama seat

According to ABP report, first of all talking about Mokama seat, all three journalists have predicted the victory of JDU candidate Anant Singh. He says that after the recent murder of Dularchand Yadav, unity among the upper caste voters has increased, due to which JDU is benefiting. Whereas on Barh Assembly seat, all three experts believe that BJP will register a comfortable victory.

Party wise seat distribution of 14 assembly seats of Patna district

BJP: 5 seats

JDU: 3 seats

RJD: 4 seats

Congress: 1 seat

CPI(ML): 1 seat

Complete equation in favor of RJD in Bakhtiyarpur and Fatuha seats.

RJD seems to be successful in maintaining its strong position in Bakhtiyarpur and Fatuha seats. According to the three journalists, the caste equations on these seats are completely in favor of RJD. BJP is said to be leading in Patna Sahib and Kumrar assembly seats. However, Santosh Kumar has expressed the possibility of a close contest in Kumrar because Jan Suraj’s candidate KC Sinha can influence the Kayastha voters.

Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar

BJP took lead in Bankipur and Digha seats

On Bankipur and Digha seats, all three journalists are of the same opinion that BJP is leading in these two urban seats. Two journalists have claimed BJP’s victory on Danapur assembly seat, while Santosh Kumar has said that the contest here is tough. He says that the Grand Alliance can benefit in Yadav dominated areas.

Rekha Paswan seems to be getting lead on Masodhi seat

Two journalists have expressed the possibility of victory of JDU’s Shyam Rajak on Phulwari assembly seat, while Santosh Kumar called it a close contest. RJD candidate Rekha Paswan seems to be getting the lead on Masaurhi seat. Whereas Sandeep Saurabh of CPI(ML) from Paliganj is seen saving his seat.

Out of 14 seats in Patna district, NDA took lead in 8 seats.

Apart from this, the three journalists on Vikram and Maner assembly seats have unanimously said that RJD will maintain its hold here. Overall, out of 14 seats in Patna district, NDA is leading on 8 seats and Grand Alliance is leading on 6 seats. This is indicating that the contest is tough, but NDA has a slight lead.

Also read- Bihar Exit Poll 2025: NDA or Grand Alliance, whose MLA will be on 4 seats of Buxar? Exit poll figures surprised

After the end of both the phases of voting in Bihar, all eyes are on the results, but before that, various survey agencies have released exit polls. Almost every exit poll is predicting the return of the NDA government. Although the grand alliance led by Rashtriya Janata Dal seems to be giving a tough competition to the NDA, but if we talk about majority, the exit polls show that the NDA is closer to it. Meanwhile, such a thing has been seen in a poll, which can cause a big blow to BJP and Nitish’s JDU.

There are indications of a tough contest between the NDA and the Grand Alliance in the exit polls of News Pinch-AI Politics, but Rashtriya Janata Dal may emerge as the largest party. According to the survey, on the one hand, the ruling NDA alliance can win 121 seats. At the same time, the Grand Alliance seems to be getting 119 seats.

According to the exit poll of News Pinch-AI Politics, out of 121 seats of NDA and 119 seats of Grand Alliance, 6 seats are expected to increase or decrease. Apart from this, 3 to 5 seats can go to others’ account. According to this, no alliance seems to be getting a clear majority.

How many seats for which alliance?

• NDA- 121 (+/- 6 seats)
• Grand Alliance- 119 (+/- 6 seats)
• Others- 3-5 (+/- 2 seats)

Which alliance gets what percentage of votes?

• NDA- 38.4%
• Grand Alliance- 39.2%
• Jan Suraj Party- 12.7%
• Others- 9.8%

Which party gets how many seats in NDA?

• BJP- 85-93 seats
• JDU- 25-31 seats
• LJPR- 2-4 seats
• We- 0-1 seat

How many seats does which party get in the Grand Alliance?

• RJD- 89-97 seats
• Congress- 14-21 seats
• VIP- 2-3 seats
• CPI- 1-2 seats
• CPIML- 2-5 seats
• CPM- 1-2 seats

It was told in the exit poll that RJD can emerge as the largest party by winning 89-97 seats. At the same time, Bharatiya Janata Party can get 85-93 seats in its name, while JDU can get 25-31 seats, LJP can get 2-4 seats and HAM can get 0-1 seats. At the same time, the grand alliance party Congress may get 14-21 seats, VIP 2-3, CPI 1-2, CPI(ML)L 2-5 and CPIM 1-2.

After the end of voting on all 243 seats for Bihar Assembly elections, exit polls of many agencies came out on Tuesday (11 November 2025). Almost all exit polls have expressed the possibility that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) can once again form the government in Bihar with an overwhelming majority. According to Poll Diary exit poll, Mukesh Sahni’s party Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) is not likely to get even a single seat in the Bihar assembly elections this time.

In the exit poll of Poll Diary, NDA is predicted to get a huge majority. He says that the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) can perform like the 2010 assembly elections by securing 184 to 209 seats. It has been said in this survey that the opposition grand alliance may have to be satisfied with only 32 to 49 seats.

Which party will get how many seats in Bihar?,

In this exit poll, NDA party Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has been given 87-95 seats, Janata Dal United (JDU) 81-89 seats, Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) 12-16 seats, HAM has been given 5-6 seats and Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM) has been given 4-5 seats. On the other hand, if we talk about the Grand Alliance, in this survey Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) is expected to get 20-27 seats, Congress 4-8 seats and Mukesh Sahni’s Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) is expected to get 0-0 seats.

At the same time, according to the exit poll of Chanakya Strategies, Prashant Kishor’s Jansuraj Party cannot open its account in Bihar elections. In this, NDA may get 130-138 seats, Grand Alliance may get 100-108 seats, Jansuraj may get 0-0 seats and others may get 3-5 seats.

People’s mandate will come out on November 14

Voting for the assembly elections has been held in Bihar in the second phase on Thursday (November 6) and Tuesday (November 11) and now on the coming Friday (November 14, 2025), the Election Commission of India (ECI) will count the votes cast by the public in the Bihar Assembly elections and announce the final result.

Also read: From Srinivas Biwi to Sanjana Jatav… Congress appointed new secretaries, got the responsibility of these states.

After the end of voting on all 243 seats for Bihar Assembly elections, exit polls of many agencies came out on Tuesday (11 November 2025). According to this exit poll, once again NDA government seems to be formed in Bihar under the leadership of Nitish Kumar. While the NDA expressed happiness over the results of the exit poll, the Grand Alliance rejected the survey.

Exit poll not accurate: Congress

Congress MP Tariq Anwar said, “Exit polls are not accurate. These are mere speculations. They indicate what could happen. It would not be right to think that they are accurate.” Congress spokesperson Supriya Srinet expressed confidence that a grand alliance government will be formed in Bihar. Congress leader Srinet said, “My personal view is that we do not comment on exit polls. We will speak when the actual results come. However, Bihar will teach a lesson to the NDA because its voting rights have been tampered with. I have full confidence that the Grand Alliance will form the government.”

Seal on Nitish Kumar’s good governance: JDU

Regarding the exit poll, JDU’s Umesh Singh Kushwaha has again expressed confidence in the formation of NDA government in the state. He said, “I thank the people of Bihar for confirming the good governance and development of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. There is a wave of support for NDA in the entire state.” BJP leader and Union Minister Nityanand Rai described the record voting as a reflection of people’s faith in Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and the NDA.

Vijay Sinha called exit poll as exact poll

Bihar Deputy Chief Minister Vijay Kumar Sinha said, “Bihar is the motherland of democracy. The people living on this land have given a message to the nation. Bihar has rejected the politics of dynasticism and dynasty. People expressed their faith in experienced leaders like Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Nitish Kumar. Exit polls are also showing the same results. This is an exit poll, we will go even higher in the exit polls… People in Bihar want peace and social harmony, But RJD and Congress create hysteria.”

Deputy CM Samrat Chaudhary said, “I thank the people of Bihar. We are confident that the people of Bihar have voted in favor of the NDA with more than 2/3 majority. The actual report will be more than the exit poll and we believe that our vote share will be around 50 percent.”

NDA will hoist the flag of victory: BJP

BJP candidate from Katihar, Tarkishore Prasad, said, “These exit polls are not surprising because we believe that people are impressed by the way Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has changed Bihar after 2005. Many types of scholarships were given, a belief in women power was instilled. We have faith in the voters of Bihar. We have faith in our work. Mothers and sisters have come out of their homes to vote. NDA is sure to win. The flag will wave.” However, exit polls are not the final results. Whose government will be formed in Bihar will become clear only on November 14.

Voting for Bihar Assembly elections has ended. Now the discussion on the results has started. Here, speculations are being made about whether Nitish Kumar’s government will remain intact or whether Tejashwi’s lantern will create history. Most of the exit poll results show NDA forming the government, but on the contrary, the data of Phalodi’s speculative market has surprised everyone.

The market rate of Phalodi’s betting market is telling a different story than the exit polls. According to betting market, there may be a close contest between NDA and Grand Alliance in Bihar. Not only this, Tejashwi Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal can also become the largest party, leaving behind BJP and Nitish Kumar’s JDU. If Phalodi’s betting market is to be believed, the doors of possibilities are still open for both NDA and Grand Alliance in Bihar.

Who gets how many seats according to the betting market?

According to the market rates of Phalodi’s Satta Bazaar, NDA can get 105 to 135 seats in Bihar. Similarly, the Grand Alliance can get 97 to 127 seats. Similarly, others can get three to eight seats. Phalodi’s betting market is not at all enthusiastic about Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party. Opening an account for Prashant Kishor’s party would be no less than an achievement. Owaisi’s party will also face a big challenge to repeat the previous record.

According to the betting market of Phalodi, the doors of possibilities are still open for both Nitish Kumar and Tejashwi Yadav in Bihar. Here either NDA or Grand Alliance can form the government. However, 54 percent people are betting on the formation of NDA government, while 46 percent people are betting on Tejashwi Yadav’s grand alliance.

RJD can be the largest party

If the bets being placed in Phalodi’s betting market are considered as the basis, then Tejashwi Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal can emerge as the largest party in Bihar. Tejashwi’s RJD can become the largest party by winning at least 75 seats. BJP can become the second party by winning a few less seats and Nitish Kumar’s JDU can become the third party by winning around 55 to 60 seats. Congress may prove to be a weak link for the grand alliance. The Congress party does not seem to be getting even two dozen seats.

What are the chances of Nitish Kumar becoming CM?

According to the betting market, it is not certain that Nitish Kumar will become the CM even if NDA gets majority. If NDA gets majority, the chances of Nitish Kumar becoming CM will be only 60 percent. The probability of BJP becoming CM is also 20 to 25 percent. If the Grand Alliance gets majority, the chances of Tejashwi Yadav becoming the CM are more than 97 percent.

How accurate are the figures?

Now it remains to be seen whether the predictions of exit polls regarding the results of Bihar elections prove to be correct or whether the betting market of Phalodi creates history. Let us tell you that Phalodi is a town of Rajasthan which is famous all over the world for its betting market. The betting market here is known for making accurate predictions regarding the results of elections and sports.

Although let us tell you that any kind of betting in elections is completely illegal, but betting in Phalodi is still done secretly. Predictions about the election results are made on the basis of the prices prevailing in the betting market here.