Now only a few days are left for Bihar Assembly elections 2025. In such a situation, many surveys have come out so far regarding the elections. The latest survey of C-Voter has come out regarding the candidate for the post of CM in Bihar, in which till now RJD leader and former Deputy Chief Minister Tejashwi Yadav is at the forefront.

In the latest survey conducted by C-Voter in the month of October, 36.2 percent people have given their support to Tejashwi Yadav, while only 15.9 percent people have considered the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar worthy of the post of CM again.

Prashant Kishore is most popular in Bihar these days
Jan Suraj Party founder Prashant Kishore is most popular in Bihar these days. After Tejashwi, PK has got the highest support of 23.2 percent people, who want to make him the Chief Minister of Bihar this time. 8.8 percent people have expressed their trust on Chirag Paswan and 7.8 percent people have expressed their trust on Samrat Chaudhary.

When people were asked about the lead in Bihar elections, 40.2 percent people supported the NDA, while 38.3 percent people said that the Grand Alliance had the lead. 13.3% people have said that the newly formed party Jan Suraj will have the lead. At the same time, 8.2 percent people said that they cannot say anything.

What did the founder of C Voter tell?
While talking to a news channel, C Voter founder Yashwant Deshmukh said that if we look at the Chief Ministerial candidate, Prashant Kishore has gradually made his place in the last one year and his graph is continuously moving upwards. He has emerged as an X factor in Bihar. This cannot be denied.

What was said about Grand Alliance and NDA
Regarding NDA and India Block, he said that there is a close contest between the two, because the gap in votes between the two is not much. In the last assembly elections, the vote share of both (37-37 percent) was almost equal. This time 2 percent more people are seen in favor of NDA.

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The seat sharing formula in NDA for Bihar Assembly elections has been decided. However, till now the grand alliance is stuck on this matter. Prashant Kishor’s party Jansuraj has also released the first list of 51 candidates. Meanwhile, a shocking survey of Vote Wise has come out, according to which PK will spoil the game of Grand Alliance and NDA on about 83 seats out of 243.
Amitabh Tiwari, founder of Vote Vibe, said that Prashant Kishore’s vote share had increased in the February survey, but now it has fallen again to around 9 percent. However, the vote share of Grand Alliance and NDA has increased. There is a face-to-face contest between the NDA and the Grand Alliance in the elections. It cannot be said that after PK entered the fray, the election has become triangular because only if he is successful in getting 15-20 percent vote share then the election can become triangular. At least in terms of vote share, Prashant Kishore’s party has not reached that level.

Whose vote will Prashant Kishore cut?

Expert Amitabh Tiwari said that according to what has come to light so far, PK is taking the votes of independents and small parties because they are anti-NDA and Grand Alliance votes and now he is seeing a face. Therefore he can get that vote. The vote share of independents in Bihar has been 8-10 percent.

Margin of victory on 83 seats less than 5 percent

Election expert said that the margin on 83 seats where Prashant Kishor is contesting is less than 5 percent votes. If Jansuraj gets 5 percent vote share there, he will spoil the game of some party or the other. If we see which party PK has damaged, then the votes of independents and small parties will be cut the most. After that, they will harm the Grand Alliance because they have harmed Tejashwi’s brand status by talking about education. Thirdly, by raising corruption, they are causing harm to BJP or NDA.

Which 83 seats will PK cause harm?

However, it is difficult to say right now on which 83 seats PK will cause harm and which party he will harm, this can be said only when the names of the candidates are revealed. Then the caste of the candidates, how educated they are and whether they have ever contested elections before or not, all these factors will decide. Amitbha Tiwari said, ‘One thing they are continuously saying is that JDU will not get 25 seats and Nitish Kumar will not become CM. Now it remains to be seen whether PK now focuses on harming only Nitish Kumar’s party. As Chirag Paswan had done last time, he had fielded his candidates only against JDU.