China Economy Archives -

China Crisis Explained! What will be the impact of recession on India? Money Live

Admin — Tue, 16 Dec 2025 06:00:52 +0000

China’s economy seems to be heading towards recession and recent data strengthens this concern. China’s retail sales grew by only 1.3% in November, which is the lowest level in the last three years.
Industrial production stood at 4.8%, which is lower than estimates and gives a signal of slowdown. Due to the weakness of the property sector, there has also been a decline in Fixed Asset Investment.

Urban Unemployment Rate is stable at 5.1%, which means no significant improvement is visible in the job market. If this weakness persists, Global Trade and Commodity Prices will be affected. For India, along with risk, it can also bring opportunity in manufacturing and exports.

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China Industrial Profit Fell by 9 1 Percent in the month of May this year which is the biggest decline since 2018.

Admin — Fri, 27 Jun 2025 10:23:20 +0000

China economy: China’s industrial sector suffered a major setback in May 2025 as profits declined by 9.1 percent over the last one year, while in April, there was a 3 percent decline in profit in April. On Friday, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data revealed that the pressure on manufacturers has increased due to weak domestic demand and American tariffs. Due to the low profit in May, the cumulative performance of the first five months of the year also became weak. It is being told that this decline in China’s industrial profit is the biggest decline after 2018.

After all, why was China’s condition battered?

From January to May, industrial benefits have declined by 1.1 percent. Whereas during January to April, it increased by 4 percent. That is, the whole game has deteriorated in a single month. Senior Statisticsian U Veanings in NBS said, “This decline in May has come due to a decrease in domestic demand, falling prices of industrial goods and fluctuations in the sector.” After the US was imposed heavy tariffs in April, many factories were forced to temporarily stop work. This further dropped the profit margin.

Agreement between the two countries in May

Even though by the end of May, there was a trade agreement between China and the US. Both countries also reduced tariffs on each other. The US imposed a tariff of 30 percent on China and China on the import of American goods. The purpose of this agreement for 90 days was to reduce the impact of the tariff war. However, many expoters had to bear the brunt of the production being closed for weeks.

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This stock created a gather in the stock market, a long jump of Rs 620 in a single day; Brokerage increased so much target

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Beijing Factory Growth Slow to Six Month But Relief for Retail sales

Admin — Mon, 16 Jun 2025 06:48:51 +0000

Chinese factory output growth slow: The second major economy of the world is showing the direct impact of Trump Tariff on China’s economy. Now even though he has held trade talks with America, Tariff has worked to put his economy in the trough. This is the reason that China’s factory output has gone down in the last six months. However, a slight rise in retail sales has given some relief to Beijing.

Significantly, this figure of decline in China’s factory growth has come at a time when China’s economy is going through a bad phase due to President Trump’s tariff. The property sector there is broken. The prices of houses have fallen considerably and there is no hope of recovery in it far and wide.

Slow speed of industrial production

According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday, industrial production has been a growth of 5.8 percent compared to the same period last year. This was 6.1 percent in the month of April. This is the slowest speed ever compared to November 2023.

However, retail sales have increased by 6.4 percent. This growth was 5.1 percent in the month of April. This is the fastest older after December 2023. Experts were expecting its growth at a speed of 5.0 percent. Obviously, this figure is showing recession or slow growth in the industrial sector in Beijing, while domestic consumption has improved with a rapid pace. It is also a sign of economic reform and consumer development.

Why shock China

Significantly, on April 2, China suffered a major setback after the announcement of Trump Tariff. The US had put a break of 90 days on the tariff over the rest of the countries, while the tariff was increased over China. The decision of the big companies like Tariff War between the two countries and the already trading in China was no less than a big shock. However, the tension is now over after the business talks between the two countries later.

Also read: India’s hand is big oil reserves amidst Iran-Israel stress! Dependence on other countries will end, if …

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Trump’s tariff policy spoiled China’s game, now the dragon is seen failing on every front

Admin — Tue, 03 Jun 2025 13:16:11 +0000

There has been a sudden decline in China’s factory activities in May. This decline was the fastest after 2022. The reason for this is being considered as America’s strict tariff policy and increasing uncertainty in global trade.

Factory output biggest decline of 20 months

Caixin/s & amp; p Global Manufacturing PMI, according to the PMI survey, China’s PMI fell to 48.3 in May, which was 50.4 in April. This figure has first gone below 50 since September 2023. Let me tell you, more than 50 PMI indicates growth and falls below 50.

tremendous decline in export order

Caixin said that the decline in the new export order was the highest after July 2023. That is, there has been a sharp decline in demand for sending goods out of China. Total orders have also decreased, that is, there is a decline in demand in both domestic and international places.

job crisis and sales lethargy

There is also a bad condition on the employment front. Employment has decreased for the second consecutive month and the fastest decline has been observed since January. Also, the stock of the prepared goods near the factories is starting to accumulate again after four months because the sale is reduced and the shipment is being delayed.

Effect of tariff war, Trump again showed strictness

US President Donald Trump imposed up to 145 per cent tariffs on imported products from China in April, which has recently been stopped for 90 days. But its effect has already started appearing. The average American tariffs are still at 51.1 per cent, while China has imposed 32.6 per cent duty on American goods.

Why difference between official and private data?

According to government PMI data, China’s factory activity was 49.5 in May, which is a little better, but still below growth. This data was taken at the end of the month, while Caixin’s data was taken in the middle of the month, when the tariff discount probably did not have a complete effect.

construction and services also dull

China’s non-industrial activity such as construction and service sector PMI has also fallen to 50.3, compared to 50.4 in April. Although it is still in the growth zone.

Rate cut and liquidity increased

To handle the situation, Beijing reduced the bank reserve ratio by 50 basis points and cut policy interest rates by 10 basis points. Its aim is to increase cash with banks so that the loan can be easily given.

Property sector also falls

The biggest problem of China remains, real estate. Between January and April, property investment has fallen by 10.3 per cent. Apart from this, retail sales were also less than expected. There was only 5.1 percent increase in April. Consumer and wholesale prices are in constant deflation.

Is China now in dire need of reform?

Nomura Bank Chief Economist Ting Lu while talking to CNBC said that now China will have to take big steps in compulsion. Such as pension reform, birth subsidy and direct consumption support. Because property and export are no longer growth engines.

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Expensive liquor, cigarettes, roaming in hotels all closed, who and why did Chinese President Xi Jinping release?

Admin — Tue, 20 May 2025 12:25:50 +0000

China’s economic condition is not right. Due to the trade war run with America, the money has reduced the money with the government of Xi Jinping that now there has been a decree for government officials, about which you will be surprised to hear.

Actually, China has clearly told its government officials that now stop walking more, food in expensive hotels or excessive space in the office. Apart from this, the habit of blowing alcohol and cigarettes from government money will also have to be left.

reduce spending, understand the condition!

According to the report of government news agency Xinhua, this new order has been issued by the Communist Party of China and the government for the officials of the entire country. It clearly states that it is necessary to rein in extravagance and "Strict discipline and savings" Have to adopt.

China is struggling with financial constraints

Actually, China’s economy is under pressure at this time. The earnings from the sale of land have come down and this has started to waver the budget of local governments. The burden of debt is also increasing. In such a situation, President Xi Jinping has returned to his old line again, "Tight the belt, stop showing."

2012 campaign continues from

When Xi Jinping took power in 2012, he started a campaign to curb corruption and glory in the government. Now the same campaign is intensifying again. During the Parliament session held in March 2025, the authorities promised that the government will control its pocket to give relief to the public.

"Now expensive party will not run"

Powerful leader of the ruling party of China and member of the Politburo Standing Committee, Kai Chi, went to Hebei province and warned the officers themselves that "Heavy feasts and liquor bottles should now be closed."

This is a period of savings

Beijing had taken big steps to bring government debt under control last year, so that the economy could be handled. Now that the situation is more serious, China is showing a mirror to its own officers.

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America-China will be left behind, India’s economy will continue to move continuously; Revealed in the report

Admin — Thu, 08 May 2025 11:45:31 +0000

Indian Economy: A report by Kotak Alternate Asset Managers has revealed that the world’s economic growth is coming in the coming months. Large economies like America and China can also be a victim of recession. The report also said that the US economy is likely to fall by 90 basis points, while China’s growth may decrease by 60 basis points. However, in contrast, India’s fastest growing economy is likely to maintain its position.

The manufacturing sector of the country became strong & nbsp;

It is its sharp manufacturing activity amid this strength of the Indian economy. India is focusing on its manufacturing capacity. According to the report, the country’s purchasing managers index (PMI) numbers are constantly moving forward, which keeps it separate from many other countries of the world. Despite getting mixed signals from many other parameters, India’s comprehensive economic scenario remains healthy. Meanwhile, debt has also decreased and government expenditure has also decreased slightly, which is supporting the economy. & Nbsp;

Excess rain in monsoon will also help help

It is worth noting that this year, the monsoon in the country has been projected by the general rains. This is likely to increase the demands of rural areas and decrease inflation. This will help the country’s agriculture sector on time.

Indian stock market vigorous comeback

The report also mentions that even though the income of the fourth quarter of FY 2025 was less than expected and geopolitical tension with Pakistan is increasing, the Indian stock market has made a strong comeback after a recent decline. Domestic investors are investing fiercely on Indian shares. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are also shopping fiercely for the second consecutive months. However, the report also warned that the market may remain unstable in the near future due to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. & Nbsp;

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India Pakistan Tension and Trump Trade War a Storm of Destruction is About to Hit China Stock Market

Admin — Mon, 05 May 2025 13:37:54 +0000

After the Pahalgam attack, there is tension between India and Pakistan. On the other hand, Trump’s trade war has also created panic all over the world. However, despite this, most of the big stock markets of the world were seen in the last one week. Index like India’s Nifty 50, France’s CAC 40, Germany’s DAX, America’s Dow Jones, NASDAQ and Japan’s Nikkei 225 saw a significant increase.

But in this entire global rapid period, China’s Shanghai Composite Index was the only big index that closed down with a decline. The big thing is that this decline is not only of data, but it shows that there are some serious underlying problems in China’s economy and market, which are affecting the trust of investors.

Strength in markets around the world including India

Talking about the figures, India’s Nifty 50 has risen to +1.28 per cent last week, America’s Nasdaq +3.42 per cent, Dow Jones +3.00 per cent, Japan’s Nikkei 225 +3.15 per cent, German’s dax +3.80 per cent and France’s CAC 40 +3.11 per cent. Apart from this, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +2.38 percent, South Korea’s KOSPI +0.53 percent, and S&P of America also went up 500 +2.92 percent. It is clear from these data that global economic perception has been positive and the trend of investors has increased towards taking risks. There has been good purchase in technical shares, banking and consumer sectors around the world.

China’s stock market alone

Apart from this, China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell -0.49 per cent, which suggests that investors suffered losses in China’s stock market. The question arises that when all the rest of the markets are showing fast, what happened in China that the market has come down?

Challenges of China’s economy

According to the expert, the first major reason for this is the slowdown in the Chinese economy. There is a huge recession in the property sector there. Large real estate developers are burdened with loans and new projects have come to a standstill. Along with this, common people are also avoiding spending, due to which domestic demand is weakening.

The second major problem is geopolitical stress. China’s relations with the US and other Western countries remain constant stressful. Due to this, investors are afraid that more ban or business obstacles do not come in future.

Questions on the policies of China government

Some policies adopted by the Chinese government have also affected the notion of the market. From curbing technology companies to strictness on the private sector, there are many steps that make investors uncomfortable. Due to this, foreign investors are investing money in other emerging markets instead of China.

Difference between global and local

One thing is clear from this whole situation that global economic activities do not have the same impact on every country. While most markets in America, India, Europe and Asian countries have shown good recovery, China is still under pressure. This will affect not only the returns of investors but also on the global economic situation of China. If there is no improvement soon, it can decline and deepening.

Also read: India will become the fourth largest economy in the world, big disclosure in IMF report, Japan will be back

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Us China Trade War China Economy is in Deep Trouble Copper is out Factories Are Quiet

Admin — Fri, 02 May 2025 17:03:27 +0000

Us-china trade war: The impact of the heavy tariff imposed by former US President Donald Trump is now clearly visible on China’s economy. Even though Beijing is showing that he does not mind this trade war, but the truth is that China has come under pressure of this trade war, and that too at a time when its economy is struggling with the lethargy, weak domestic demand and real estate crisis.

Decrease in production

Purchasing Manners’ Index (PMI), considered the measure of China’s industrial health, has fallen to 49 in April. That is, the decline in production. This figure was 50.5 in March. The score below 50 shows that the industries are shrinking. It is clear that American tariffs are shocking China’s manufacturing. Export has slowed down, unemployment is increasing and logistic sector is delayed.

China’s biggest concern

China’s copper reserves are becoming very low and if this speed is maintained then the stock can be completely over by June. The huge demand for copper from the US and the fear of potential tariffs has cut off copper supply to China from all over the world. Big trade companies like Mercuria have described it as “the biggest supply shock in history”. The situation is so bad that China has to seek exemption from the tax imposed on American copper.

China is silently making ‘whiteist’

Although the Chinese government is not ready to bow down openly, but something else is going on behind the curtain. According to the report of Reuters, China has prepared a ‘whiteist’, that is, the list of American products which will be exempted from tariffs. This includes important products like medicines, chips and aircraft engines. Companies are being contacted privately and told that their products can get exemption, provided they apply from the right channel.

Government is giving trust in trust

Senior officials of Beijing are talking about supporting companies and unemployed through easy loans, support policy and sectoral help. But the ground reality is that big manufacturers are getting the most affected, because exports are being affected due to heavy tax. Small industries, which are labor-interest, are still in a little relief.

Where is China’s economy going?

Economic experts believe that this year, China’s growth can be just 3.5 percent, which is much less than in the past years. Manufacturing is weak, the service sector is also on the slope and the trust of the market is also constantly falling.

Also read: In which work does Pakistan use funding? India is preparing to interact with them after the Pahalgam attack

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Us vs china economy donald trump xi jinping tariff war China and India will be superpower in 2050 2075 GDP Projection Goldman Sachs Report

Admin — Wed, 16 Apr 2025 12:55:49 +0000

US President Donald Trump has increased the tariffs on Chinese goods by 100 percent further. On Tuesday (April 15, 2025), late night White House has announced a 245 percent tariff on Chinese exports. Till now 145 percent tariffs were being imposed, on which China also put 125 percent tariff on American exports in retaliation. Only on this retaliation of China, the US has increased the reciperook tariff by 100 percent.

Will the speed of China’s economy slow down with tariff?
Goldman Sachs and Citigroup believe that the increase in tariff from Donald Trump will have a bad effect on China’s economy. However, Goldman Sachs has predicted the world’s largest economy in the next 25 years. In such a situation, is Donald Trump’s tariff war behind the US fear of snatching the biggest economy title?

China will become the biggest superpower in 2050
Last year, Goldman Sachs released a list of 15 countries, in which their economies were estimated in the coming decades in view of the growth rate of these countries in 2021. It was projected up to 2050 and 2075. According to the list, China will be the largest economy in the world by 2050 i.e. in just 25 years. At the same time, America, which is currently on top, will come second and India will be on the third.

America will come at number three by 2075
According to the report, China will remain on top after 2050, while America will come at number three. There will be India on another. By 2075, America will shift the title of America as the largest superpower. According to the report, China’s economy will increase to $ 57 in 2075, while American economy will be 51.5 trillion. India will be at number two with a $ 52.5 trillion $.

America’s GDP growth will slow down in 50 years
According to the International Monetry Fund (IMF), the US economy is currently $ 30.340 trillion, while China is second with $ 19.530 trillion and India is at number five with $ 4.270 trillion. Compared to the 2075 and 2025 reports, the GDP growth of China and India will be much higher than the America, that is, in these 50 years, these two countries will grow faster.

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Us Indian Student Visa: US court shocked Trump administration! This decision was given to cancel the visa of Indian student

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Us China Trade War Trump Tariffs Cause Panic In China Chinese Exporters are Lending Their Goods in the Middle of the Sea

Admin — Wed, 09 Apr 2025 09:23:00 +0000

Us china trade war: Some Chinese exporters have taken a big step amidst faster trade war between China and America. They are leaving their goods in the middle of sea travel and surrendering containers to shipping companies. They are doing this to avoid America’s new heavy tariffs. The people of the industry are calling it a “preparation of long march”, that is, a long and difficult economic recession.

“50 to 3-6 containers a day”

According to a report by South China Post, an employee of an export company listed in China said that after the new tariff of the Trump government, his daily shipment to America has fallen from 40-50 containers to only 3-6 containers. The US has imposed an additional 104 per cent tariff on Chinese goods, causing the total tariff to reach 115 per cent. These new tariffs have made Beijing angry and stirred up global markets. There is a fear that this may sprinkle a trade war.

“Goods reached the sea also cancell”

The company’s employee said, “We have stopped all shipping plans from the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia and Malaysia. Every factory order has been canceled. The goods that have not been loaded yet, are being scored and which is in the sea, a new price is being paid.” A client told the company that it is leaving the goods already sent to the sea and giving it to the shipping company, because “no one will buy it after the tariff.”

“Damage on every container”

The employee said, “Now every container is suffering so much loss as earlier that there was a profit from 2 containers. Who will do this work?” China’s exporters are now turning to Europe and Japan instead of America, so that the storm of trade war can be avoided.

American buyers are also retreating

China is the world’s largest exporter and sent $ 439 billion goods to the US last year, while the US exported only $ 144 billion to China. But now American buyers are also retreating due to fear of inflation. Some manufactures say that 300 containers are being canceled daily.

Factors cut, fear of going jobs

Exporters are reducing their operations due to new tariffs and uncertain markets. In many factories, working hours are being reduced and employees are being asked to work in low shifts. The American branch of the company whose employee was talking has started trimming the frontline workers, as the demand has been badly affected.

Also read: America’s shock to Indian pharma sector, Trump warns to end tariff discount

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