Bihar Assembly Elections 2025: Preparations for Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have intensified. There is a discussion in the political corridors that this time the match can be triangular-NDA, Grand Alliance and Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party. Recently, five big opinion polls have emerged, in which Nitish Kumar and BJP alliance are seeing an edge and some wave of Tejashwi Yadav.

Prashant Kishore’s party is also seen getting some seats for the first time. In such a situation, the question is, who will finally win Nitish Kumar’s experienced politics, Tejashwi Yadav’s youth power or new political style of PK.

JVC Survey: Majority to NDA

The JVC survey shows Nitish Kumar and BJP alliance getting majority. JDU is likely to get 52 to 58 seats, BJP 66 to 77 and other allies are expected to get 13 to 15 seats. Overall, NDA can get 131 to 150 seats. The Grand Alliance is seen getting 81 to 103 seats, RJD 57 to 71, Congress 11 to 14 and others 13 to 18 seats. Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party can get 4 to 6 seats. In the case of CM, Nitish Kumar is seen with 27%, Tejashwi Yadav 25%, Prashant Kishore 15%, Chirag Paswan 11%and Emperor Chaudhary with 8%vote share.

Public Survey: Grand Alliance edge

In the Lokpol survey, the grand alliance has been given an edge over the NDA. In this, NDA is seen getting 105 to 114 seats and the Grand Alliance is getting 118 to 126 seats. The grand alliance is also slightly ahead with 39-42% vote and NDA 38-41% votes in vote share. Others are expected to get 12-16% votes. This survey indicates that if the public gives importance to the anti-incumbency factor, then Nitish Kumar and BJP may find it difficult.

C-Voter Survey: Tejashwi Yadav is the most popular

In the C-Voter survey, the public has described Tejashwi Yadav as the most popular leader. As CM face, Public’s inclination is showing 36%, Nitish Kumar 16%, Chirag Paswan 10% and Emperor Chaudhary 7%. The name of Prashant Kishore is not included in this survey, that is, the public is still not considering him as the first choice.

Spick Media Network Survey: NDA to overwhelming majority

In the survey of Spick Media Network, NDA seems to get 158 ​​seats (46% vote share) and the Grand Alliance is getting 66 seats (41% vote share). Jan Suraj Party is seeing 0 seats (8% vote share). Tejashwi Yadav as CM face is 30.5%, Nitish Kumar 27.4%, Prashant Kishore 13% and Chirag Paswan 12% vote share. PK may not get much benefit in seats, but their popularity is increasing.

Ascendia Survey: Area -wise equation

The Ascendia survey collected data from 18 districts and 9 administrative units of Bihar. NDA 12, Grand Alliance 7 and other 5 seats can be found in Purnia region. NDA 6 and Grand Alliance are seen getting 20 seats in Magadh region. NDA 2, Grand Alliance 19 and other 1 seats can be found in Bhojpur region. NDA 9 and Grand Alliance are seen getting 15 seats in Saran region. In this survey, the Jan Suraj Party has been described as strong in some places.

Mixed result of five poles

If all five opinion polls are seen, it is clear that the competition is tough. JVC and Spick Survey are showing NDA government, while Lokpol and C-Voter are giving an edge to the Grand Alliance. Prashant Kishore’s party has not been able to show more than 5-6 seats in any major survey, but the popularity of PK is increasing rapidly as CM option. Overall, this time the electoral battle in Bihar is going to be very exciting. Nitish Kumar’s experience, Tejashwi Yadav’s youth strength and new politics of PK – the competition of three will maintain the thrill till the final results.

Bihar is expected to hold assembly elections in October-November, although the dates of elections have not been announced yet. As soon as the elections approached, the political stir is at its peak. Political parties have intensified their strategy amidst the controversy over the name cutting from the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) and the voter list. During this time, the C-Voter has released the latest survey, which shows which leader’s popularity is increasing among the public and who is left behind. According to the survey, this election can prove to be a big opportunity for the NDA vs India alliance as well as an independent face Prashant Kishore.

This time the election has been made interesting by the voter list controversy and SIR. Rahul Gandhi and Tejashwi Yadav are also interacting continuously among the public through voters rights yatra. In such a situation, it is very important to know who the public wants to see as CM. Regarding this, C-Voter conducted three separate surveys in February, June and August 2025. Come, let’s see what the opinion of the public says.

C-Voter Survey Nitish Kumar and NDA’s faces
Nitish Kumar has been a big face of Bihar politics for a long time, but the C-Voter survey shows that his popularity is steadily declining. In February, 18% of people were liking him as CM Face. The figure remained at 18% in June, but by August it decreased to 15%. The second face of NDA is Chirag Paswan and Emperor Chaudhary. Chirag Paswan was at 4% in February, suddenly reached 11% in June, but has come to 10% in August. Samrat Chaudhary was 8% in February, 7% in June and 10% in August. This means that no major face in NDA has been able to replace Nitish Kumar at the moment.

Tejashwi Yadav public’s first choice?
Tejashwi Yadav is considered to be the biggest contender from India alliance. He has been at number one in all three stages of the survey. 41% in February, 37% in June and 31% in August. In this way, his popularity is seen to decline, but despite this, he is overshadowing Nitish Kumar, Chirag Paswan and Samrat Chaudhary. These figures show that the public’s inclination is still towards Tejashwi Yadav, even if the graph has come down a bit.

Will Prashant Kishore become kingmaker or player?
The most interesting face is that of Prashant Kishore. He got 15 percent of the votes in February, this figure increased to 16 in June and reached 22 with an increase of 6 percent in August. That is, his popularity is continuously increasing. If this speed is maintained then they can become a big challenge by November. Since they are not associated with any alliance, the question is arising whether they will be a kingmaker or try to become a king themselves.

Election Commission and Rahul Gandhi dispute
In this electoral atmosphere, Rahul Gandhi has also questioned the name of the voter list and the fairness of the Election Commission. In a survey, 59% of the people admitted that Rahul Gandhi’s allegations have power. At the same time, 67% of the people said that the Election Commission should answer Rahul Gandhi’s questions. This issue can directly affect voters and change the electoral equation.

Also read: India-China Relations: ‘We always wanted good relations with China’, said former Army Chief General MM Narvane