In the first phase of Bihar Assembly elections 2025, voting has been completed on 14 assembly seats of Patna district. According to ABP Live’s Expert Exit Poll 2025, NDA is seen getting 8 seats while Grand Alliance is seen getting 6 seats.

This estimate is based on the opinion of three senior journalists of Patna, Arun Kumar Pandey, Dhirendra Kumar and Santosh Kumar. Experts believe that compared to 2020, this time NDA seems to be gaining three seats.

Anant Singh will be crowned with victory on Mokama seat

According to ABP report, first of all talking about Mokama seat, all three journalists have predicted the victory of JDU candidate Anant Singh. He says that after the recent murder of Dularchand Yadav, unity among the upper caste voters has increased, due to which JDU is benefiting. Whereas on Barh Assembly seat, all three experts believe that BJP will register a comfortable victory.

Party wise seat distribution of 14 assembly seats of Patna district

BJP: 5 seats

JDU: 3 seats

RJD: 4 seats

Congress: 1 seat

CPI(ML): 1 seat

Complete equation in favor of RJD in Bakhtiyarpur and Fatuha seats.

RJD seems to be successful in maintaining its strong position in Bakhtiyarpur and Fatuha seats. According to the three journalists, the caste equations on these seats are completely in favor of RJD. BJP is said to be leading in Patna Sahib and Kumrar assembly seats. However, Santosh Kumar has expressed the possibility of a close contest in Kumrar because Jan Suraj’s candidate KC Sinha can influence the Kayastha voters.

Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar

BJP took lead in Bankipur and Digha seats

On Bankipur and Digha seats, all three journalists are of the same opinion that BJP is leading in these two urban seats. Two journalists have claimed BJP’s victory on Danapur assembly seat, while Santosh Kumar has said that the contest here is tough. He says that the Grand Alliance can benefit in Yadav dominated areas.

Rekha Paswan seems to be getting lead on Masodhi seat

Two journalists have expressed the possibility of victory of JDU’s Shyam Rajak on Phulwari assembly seat, while Santosh Kumar called it a close contest. RJD candidate Rekha Paswan seems to be getting the lead on Masaurhi seat. Whereas Sandeep Saurabh of CPI(ML) from Paliganj is seen saving his seat.

Out of 14 seats in Patna district, NDA took lead in 8 seats.

Apart from this, the three journalists on Vikram and Maner assembly seats have unanimously said that RJD will maintain its hold here. Overall, out of 14 seats in Patna district, NDA is leading on 8 seats and Grand Alliance is leading on 6 seats. This is indicating that the contest is tough, but NDA has a slight lead.

Also read- Bihar Exit Poll 2025: NDA or Grand Alliance, whose MLA will be on 4 seats of Buxar? Exit poll figures surprised

Bihar’s opposition alliance party India Alliance has announced its chief ministerial candidate. Senior Congress leader Ashok Gehlot has projected Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) leader and former Deputy Chief Minister of Bihar Tejashwi Yadav as the CM face. He has said that the Grand Alliance is contesting the elections under the leadership of Tejashwi and if the government of India is formed, Tejashwi will be the Chief Minister.

Along with this, Ashok Gehlot also told the reasons for electing Tejashwi Yadav as the CM face. In the joint press conference of the Grand Alliance held on Thursday, October 23, Ashok Gehlot said that Tejashwi Yadav is a youth leader and connects with the youth of Bihar. He knows the problems of the youth and always works forward to find their solutions. Ashok Gehlot also said that Tejashwi Yadav is the future of Bihar.

‘Tejashwi did wonders in Bihar elections 2020’- Ashok Gehlot

Apart from this, Congress’ Bihar election in-charge Ashok Gehlot praised Tejashwi Yadav and said that Tejashwi had done wonders in the year 2020. He was very close to victory. NDA government came to power only due to minor vote difference and money power, otherwise Tejashwi Yadav would have won. Therefore, India Alliance unanimously projects Tejashwi Yadav as the Chief Minister face of the Grand Alliance.

‘We have chosen, who is the CM face of NDA?’- Ashok Gehlot

Along with the announcement of his CM face, Ashok Gehlot also asked the ruling coalition party NDA as to who is their CM candidate? In fact, despite repeated demands from current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, BJP has not yet declared him as the CM face. It has only been said that NDA will contest Bihar elections under the leadership of Nitish Kumar. In such a situation, it is not yet confirmed whether Nitish Kumar will become the CM of Bihar again if the NDA government is repeated.

‘Nitish Kumar will not be the CM face of NDA’- Tejashwi Yadav

In the same press conference, Grand Alliance’s CM candidate Tejashwi Yadav even claimed that BJP will not allow Nitish Kumar to become the Chief Minister this time. Tejashwi Yadav said that injustice is being done to Nitish Kumar in NDA. There was neither any joint PC nor was Nitish formally declared the chief ministerial face.

In such a situation, Tejashwi Yadav also claimed that due to Nitish Kumar being unwell, he will not be able to become CM next time. Neither NDA government will come nor BJP will make him the CM.

A big political development has come to light amid Bihar Assembly elections. Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) candidate from Sasaram seat, Satyendra Sah, was arrested soon after filing his nomination on Monday (October 20). Jharkhand Police has made this arrest in connection with an old criminal case.

According to the information, as soon as Satyendra Sah reached the Circle Officer (CO) office and completed the enrollment process, a team of Jharkhand Police reached there and served the pending non-bailable warrant (NBW) against him. RJD supporters were completely surprised by this action. As the news of the arrest spread, political activity increased in the area.

Bank robbery accused Satyendra Sah arrested

According to Jharkhand Police, Satyendra Sah is an accused in the bank robbery that took place at Chironjiya turn in Garhwa district in 2004. Garhwa Sadar police station in-charge Sunil Tiwari said that a permanent warrant was issued against him in this case in 2018. According to police records, more than 20 cases related to robbery, dacoity and violation of Arms Act are registered against him in various police stations.

Elections to be held in two phases in Bihar

Elections for the 243-member Bihar Assembly are to be held in two phases – the first phase on November 6 and the second phase on November 11, while the counting of votes will take place on November 14. In the election environment, the arrest of a candidate on the day of nomination has increased the political temperature.

This case is the third case of arrest of candidates of ‘India’ alliance. Earlier, two candidates of CPI(ML) Liberation, Jitendra Paswan from Bhore and Satyadev Ram from Darauli were also arrested soon after nomination.

Alleged conspiracy to influence the electoral process

The opposition has targeted the ruling coalition regarding these continuous arrests. CPI (ML) Liberation said in its statement that we strongly condemn the politically motivated arrests of Comrade Jitendra Paswan and Comrade Satyadev Ram. He was arrested on false charges outside the nomination centre, which shows that NDA leaders are afraid of the growing public anger and demand for change.

Both RJD and CPI (ML) parties have called it a conspiracy to influence the electoral process, while the administration says that the action has been taken completely as per the legal process. At present, the arrest of Satyendra Sah has brought Sasaram seat into the limelight of Bihar elections.

Regarding Bihar assembly elections, National General Secretary of CPI (ML), an important party associated with the leftist camp, Dipankar Bhattacharya has given a big statement on seat sharing and unity of the alliance. He admitted that this time the alliance is bigger than before, due to which delay in seat coordination and some disagreements were natural.

Dipankar Bhattacharya said that this time there was a desire to include Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) in the alliance. Due to this, all the parties had to sacrifice some of their seats. He told that due to this process there was some delay in ticket distribution and complete unity could not be achieved immediately on some seats.

There should be complete unity in every assembly constituency

Dipankar Bhattacharya also clarified that it has been decided by the alliance that there will be no ‘friendly fight’ on any seat. He said that we have made it clear that there should be complete unity in every assembly constituency. Wherever there is some confusion, that too will be resolved by the last date of withdrawal of nominations.

#WATCH Patna, Bihar | CPI(ML) leader Dipankar Bhattacharya says, “It’s a bigger coalition this time. The VIP party (Vikassheel Insaan Party) wanted to accommodate this new party. And that meant that everybody had to sacrifice a few seats. So the whole thing got a bit delayed.… pic.twitter.com/LRuyLY1KVp

— ANI (@ANI) October 19, 2025

Left parties performed their responsibilities with full honesty

The CPI(ML) leader claimed that the Left parties have played their part honestly and have given top priority to strengthening the alliance. He said that our aim is not to win or lose on any one seat, but to stop the fascist forces in entire Bihar and strengthen the voice of the people.

Dipankar Bhattacharya also said that even though seat distribution may have taken time, the unity of the India alliance will be even stronger at the time of elections. He expressed hope that by the time the process of withdrawal of nominations is completed, the alliance’s common candidate on every seat will become clear and opposition unity will emerge in a stronger form than before.

Our goal is not power, but change – Bhattacharya

Dipankar Bhattacharya finally said that our goal is not power but change. The expectations of the people in Bihar are high and we will unite and try to live up to them.

Political analysts believe that this statement of CPI(ML) is not only an attempt to calm the dissatisfaction related to seat sharing, but also gives a message that the Left parties still want to maintain balance and cooperation within the alliance.

Neither the ruling nor the opposition alliance party is able to finalize seat sharing in the Bihar Assembly elections. Talking about the opposition grand alliance, political differences are still going on between the allies Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and Congress. If sources are to be believed, there is a huge conflict between Congress and RJD. Congress is adamant on the demand of more than 60 seats and RJD has set a limit of 58 seats for it.

Sources are also saying that Congress is preparing to field candidates on about 65 seats. Congress has kept a formula to give 138 seats to RJD. In the remaining 40 seats, VIPs of Left parties and Mukesh Sahni have been asked to adjust.

Not only this, the situation on the political ground is such that even before the picture on seat distribution is clear, the allies have issued symbols to the candidates. RJD has so far given symbols to a total of 71 candidates. At the same time, BHPKA (ML) has given symbols to candidates on 18 seats. Apart from this, CPI released the list of 6 candidates, it has claimed to field candidates on 4 other seats after consent.

VIP Chief Mukesh Sahani in restlessness

One candidate also filed nomination in CPM and on Thursday, October 16, other candidates will also file nomination. Mukesh Sahni is uneasy seeing the number of his VIP seats continuously decreasing. RJD has so far given consent to VIP on 12 seats.

There may be a friendly fight in the Grand Alliance

The situation so far in the Grand Alliance shows that if the issue of seat sharing is not resolved soon, then there will be a situation of friendly fight between the constituent parties on some seats.

Political activities have intensified regarding the assembly elections in Bihar. Political parties have put their full strength into the elections. After Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), CPI(ML) has released the first list of candidates for Bihar elections. CPI(ML) is included in the India alliance for Bihar assembly elections.

Announcement of names of 18 candidates
The party announced the names of 18 candidates. According to the CPI(ML) list, Madan Singh Chandravanshi has got the ticket from Tarari, Shivprakash Ranjan from Agiaon, Qayamuddin Ansari from Ara, Ajit Kumar Singh alias Ajit Kushwaha from Dumraon and Arun Singh from Karakat assembly seat.

Mahanand Singh from Arwal seat, Rambali Singh Yadav from Goshi, Sandeep Saurabh from Paliganj, Divya Gautam from Digha seat and Gopal Ravidas from Phulwari will contest the assembly elections, while Satyadev Ram from Darauli, Amarjeet Kushwaha from Jiradei and Amarnath Yadav from Darunda will contest the elections. Jitendra Paswan has been made candidate from Bhore, Virendra Prasad Gupta from Sikta, Phoolbabu Singh from Warisnagar, Ranjit Ram from Kalyanpur and Mehboob Alam from Balrampur.

BJP also released the first list
At the same time, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has also released the first list. Names of 71 candidates have been announced in this list. The party has canceled the tickets of many old MLAs and has fielded many new faces in the election field. Besides, BJP has also given tickets to 9 women. The names of both Deputy CMs of Bihar, Vijay Kumar Sinha and Samrat Chaudhary are also included in this list.

According to the first list of BJP, Renu Devi from Bettiah, Pramod Kumar Sinha from Raxaul, Shyam Babu Prasad Yadav from Pipra, Rana Randhir Singh from Madhuban, Pramod Kumar from Motihari, Pawan Jaiswal from Dhaka, Baidyanath Prasad from Riga, Anil Kumar Ram from Bathnaha and Gayatri Devi from Parihar have got the ticket.

The Congress Working Committee meeting is being held today (Wednesday) in the capital Patna. Prior to Bihar elections (2025), this historic meeting is being held in Sadaqat Ashram in Patna. In the midst of this meeting, what can be the seat sharing formula in the grand alliance, it has come out of the sources. According to 2020, RJD, Left and VIP are not damaged but Congress may have a big loss.

Congress can get 52 seats in this election

If sources are to be believed, RJD can contest the most 140 seats. At the same time, Congress can get 52 seats. The Left can get 35 (it includes CPIML, CPI and CPM) and VIP can get 15 seats. There is a possibility of a little up and down in this formula, if the Pashupati Paras party comes into the RLJP and JMM Grand Alliance, then they can be given 2-2 seats.

On the said formula, talks are being held between the parties of the Grand Alliance. A formal announcement can be made as soon as all the parties agreed. Everything will be done this time on the basis of the formula of seat sharing during the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. In 2024, out of 40 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar, RJD 23 and Congress contested nine seats. At the same time, Left parties got five seats (CPIML three, CPM one, CPI one). VIP got three seats.

Talking about the 2020 assembly elections, RJD fought on 144 in the Grand Alliance. Congress fought in 70 seats. At the same time, left parties contested 29 seats. In left parties, CPM was given four seats, CPI six and CPI Male was given 19 seats.

Congress could not perform better in 2020

Please tell that in the 2020 assembly elections, Congress was given 70 seats. However, the party’s candidates did not perform brilliantly and lost most seats. The Congress won only 19 seats. Many times Lalu Yadav has also said that whether the Congress should be given more seats to lose more seats? On the other hand, it will be seen whether the Congress believes in less seats or puts some more pressure to increase.

The opposition party is opposing the special intensive revision campaign of the voter list in Bihar. RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav is raising its voice in the monsoon session continuously. They are demanding discussion on this. Meanwhile, he has said that the option of boycott of Bihar assembly elections is open with him. In such a situation, the question arises whether the allies of the Grand Alliance will be with Tejashwi Yadav? What will be their stand?

‘How can we say now…’

On Tejashwi Yadav’s election boycott statement, CPI (Male) MLA Ajit Kushwaha said, “… There is no decision on boycott yet. There will be discussion. How can we say that now we can say that we Will you boycott? But yes, it is definitely a threat to our voters and their names. If this continues, then we will definitely consider in this direction. “

Anything can be decided: Congress

On the election boycott statement, CPI (M) MLA Ajay Kumar said, “… if a decision has to be taken, we (Grand Alliance) will tell this time.” Congress leader Tariq Anwar said that the Congress has not yet decided. Tejashwi Yadav is the leader of the RJD, the leader of the grand alliance, the leader of the opposition, he will have to pay attention to his point because the matter is serious. The way the Election Commission is rigging, anything can be decided.

What did Akhilesh Prasad Singh say?

On the other hand, Congress Rajya Sabha MP Akhilesh Prasad Singh said that we want to improve the voter list. We want elections on the voter list that is already there. Because what does such an election mean? On Tejashwi’s statement, he said that he gave a statement in anger and outrage. The way the people of Bihar are being denied voting rights, then anger on it is natural. Except BJP, everyone else wants SIR to be discussed immediately.