Crude oil prices: Increasing stress between Russia and America may hinders the global supply of oil. In such a situation, while talking to news agency ANI, Oil Market Experts said that this can increase the prices of Brent crude oil to $ 80 per barrel in the coming months. Increased geopolitical risk can increase pressure on oil prices.

The price will increase so much by the end of the year

Commodities and CRM head NS Ramaswamy in Ventura said, “Brent Oil (October 2025) can start from $ 72.07 and reach $ 76. It is expected to reach $ 80-82 of $ 80-82 by the end of 2025. US President Donald Trump has given Russia to end the rust in Ukraine, then the time has been done with Russians to end the rust in Ukraine. There is a risk of additional restrictions on countries and 100 percent secondary tariffs.

Trump’s stance can create turmoil

With this trempo’s stance, it will be difficult for the countries to import crude oil from Russia to buy crude oil at a low rate or face a huge export tariff of America. Experts for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil (September 2025) are expected to increase by $ 73 from the current $ 69.65 level.

By the end of 2025, the price can increase to $ 76-79, while the bottom support will be at 65. Experts believe that these things can create turmoil in the global oil market. Decrease in production capacity can cause a shock to supply, so that oil prices will remain high by 2026.

Energy expert Narendra Taneja told ANI, “Russia exports 5 million barrels of oil to the global supply system every day. If Russia is excluded from it, crude oil prices will increase significantly – $ 100 to 120 per barrel or more. “

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Gas Authority of India Ltd: The Gas Authority of India Ltd is expected to reduce the prices of natural gas worldwide later. This will promote its growth. The company has prepared a capital expenditure of Rs 12,000 crore for the business year 2026-27.

The company said, Henry Hub prices bounce is really no normal condition. We believe that these prices will be low. We are keeping an eye on the market regularly and making a plan according to our cost to reduce the cost. Let us know that Henry Hub is a natural gas pipeline and distribution center located in Erath of Louisiana. Gas prices in America are fixed based on the price of natural gas on the Henry Hub.

Crude oil can also be reduced

Gayle is also expected to reduce the price of crude oil in the coming years, which will remain between $ 60-70 per barrel, provided there will not be any major geopolitical obstruction, which can increase prices temporarily. The company also stated that the prices of alternative fuels like Nephtha remain low, which are related to crude oil prices. Nephtha prices are directly attached to crude oil. Since it is a product found with crude oil, its price affects the price of crude oil.

The company made a mega plan

The company has made a mega plan of Rs 12000 crore for the next business year. Of these, a plan has been made to spend Rs 4,000 crore on pipeline projects, Rs 200 crore on gas distribution project in cities, Rs 2,500 crore on petrochemical projects, 500 crore for E & P and Rs 1,400 crore on the company operations. 850 crore rupees will be spent as equity contribution and Rs 2,000 crore will be allotted to achieve the target of Net-Groers.

Company results in June quarter

The company announced its results for the first quarter of FY 2025-26 ended in June 2025 on Monday. In this quarter, Gayle’s net profit fell by 25 percent to Rs 2,382.24 crore against Rs 3,183.35 crore in the same period last year. The company’s operational revenue was recorded at Rs 35,428.81 crore with a slight increase of 1.7 percent from Rs 34,821.89 crore in the first quarter of the last financial year 2024-25.

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Iran israel ceasefire: The rapidly rising price of crude oil had created a stir in the international world. The market experts were fearing to reach 110 to 120 dollars per barrel. However, on the sidelines of heavy tension in the Middle East, US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, crude oil prices fell rapidly. On social media platform Truth Social, President Trump said that ceasefire will become effective in the next 12 hours and the struggle that is going on in the Gulf country at this time will end.

Confirming this, a senior Iran official said that Tehran has agreed on the ceasefire with Israel. Israel’s channel 12 has stated in its report that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gave his consent to the ceasefire agreement during a conversation with President Donald Trump.

Oil prices fall after ceasefire

After the announcement of the ceasefire, there has been a tremendous decline in the price of crude oil on Monday during the early trade in the Asian market. The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) August crude fissures fell 5.1 percent to $ 65.02 a barrel. It is at the bottom after June 12. On this day, Iran was attacked by a missile from Israel.

The price of Brent crude oil has already fallen by 8 percent after the news of no loss of life and property in the counter -attack on the US base in Qatar.

Trump announces ceasefire

President Donald Trump officially posted on Truth Social and wrote that this time is now of peace. Both parties have fully agreed on the session. It is worth noting that after the US attack on Iran’s nuclear installations in the weekend, the price of Brent crude oil on Monday jumped to $ 81 per barrel. However, this increase was very limited. Oil producing countries did not cut any kind of cut in its production nor did Iran take any such step threatening to shut down the Straight of Hormuz.

In such a situation, despite geopolitical tension, there was no such jump in oil prices, which the market experts were expecting. One of the reasons for this is that the group of oil producing countries OPEC+ had agreed that even if the oil supply is interrupted from Iran, the rest of the member countries will continue to supply global supply.

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Indian Stock Market: The Indian stock market has touched the lower level after the tariff of Trump and after that has now also recovered completely. Market experts say that now within this financial year, the Indian market can now touch new heights. It is believed that Vikas Khemani, founder of Carnelian Asset Advises. Khemani said this in The Wealth Formul show. He said that the matter of domestic investment in the stock market remains strong despite the global uncertainties such as the relationship between tariffs and instability in crude oil prices.

Khemani said- I think the market has now recovered from bad days. He said that I had also said during the crisis that it is difficult for the Nifty to go below the level of 22 thousand, because from this level, valuations start coming to our favor and the worries are very reduced.

Market bottom out

Khemani also said that the results of the existing quarters will be normal. That means neither good nor too weak. He said that there is no great hope but this is not going to be a big loss. However, he has warned that there are uncertainties related to tariffs in the June quarter and some problems may come due to inventory deficit.

However, the earnings are expected to reverberate again from the September quarter. Despite the new tariffs imposed by the US and unstable prices of crude oil, Khemani said that India’s position is slightly positive than neutrous. Khemani said that India can only suffer losses when its tariff rate is more than countries like China, Vietnam or Mexico, which does not seem possible at the moment.

Khemani also said that the portfolio, who had joined the market at the height of the retail investors market, has a loss of 40 to 50 percent. While the index has seen a correction of about 20 percent.

Retail investors weaken morale

This is the reason why the morale of retail investors remains weak. However, those who are experienced investors are investing capital and they are seeing this decline as an opportunity. Khemani said that according to me it is going to be a great vintage. India’s growth story remains the world’s strongest wealth creation story. Khemani further said that the Reserve Bank of India has cut interest rates to promote growth and has indicated to continue these deductions. He said that sector like banking will lead this rally in the market and the market can touch a new heights this year.

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US President Donald Trump’s tariff policy (US President Donald Trump Tariff Policy) has caused a ruckus in the entire world. In the global stock market, only red is seen red everywhere. This tariff policy of Trump has not only put China, India or other countries in trouble, but it has also created a big economic crisis over Russia. Actually, Russia’s economy, which is mainly dependent on oil, gas and mineral exports, is moving towards a serious crisis.

What is the whole matter?

On Monday, there was a huge decline in crude oil prices, where Russia’s Urals crude oil reached close to $ 50 per barrel. The decline occurred when former US President Donald Trump announced a tariff globally. Under Trump’s new tariff policy, 34 percent of goods from China, 26 percent on India and 20 percent on imports from European union have been imposed. Apart from this, an additional 10 percent tariff has also been imposed on the whole world.

The fall in oil prices has a direct impact on Russia’s income. In March itself, the country’s oil and gas earnings had fallen by 17 percent and the situation has worsened in early April itself.

What did Russia say?

Reacting to this, Kremlin spokesman Dimitri Peskov said that the government is keeping an eye on this situation and will take necessary steps to reduce its effect. This whole incident did not only affect Russia, but there has been upheaval in the financial markets of the whole world. In just 72 hours, wealth of more than Trillian dollars was erased from global markets. The price of the American benchmark WTI crude came to $ 60 per barrel, while the international brent crude reached $ 64 per barrel.

Trump said everything is fine

However, amidst all this, Donald Trump claimed on his social media platform ‘Truth Social’ that everything is fine. He wrote, “Oil prices are below, interest rates are also low, there is no inflation and America is now earning billions of dollars every week through tariffs.” He attacked China directly and said that China has been exploiting America for decades and now he has been taking revenge by imposing 34 percent additional tariffs, which is wrong.

Russia’s economy in crisis

This entire situation has seriously challenged Russia’s economy, because its biggest source of earning oil is now in danger. In other countries of the world, the recession of recession is being heard and investors are in dilemma. It will have to be seen further how Russia recovers from this crisis and will Trump’s policies affect the global economy further.

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