This time many Bahubali were also in the fray in Bihar Assembly elections (2025). From where Baahubali could not contest, his relatives were given tickets. Now their fate will be decided on 14th November. Before this, the results of the first exit poll have started coming. From the exit poll data of AI Politics, we have found out what picture is emerging this time on the seats of Bahubali.

Shahabuddin’s son Osama Shahab is contesting from Raghunathpur seat of Siwan. RJD has made its candidate. Dhumal Singh is contesting from Ekma seat on JDU ticket. Talking about Lalganj seat of Vaishali, Munna Shukla’s daughter Shivani Shukla has contested the elections from here. Anant Singh has contested the elections from Mokama on JDU symbol. Ritlal Yadav was in the fray from Danapur on RJD ticket.

Who is getting victory in the exit poll?

• From Raghunathpur seat of Siwan – RJD
• From the only seat of Saran – RJD
• From Lalganj seat of Vaishali – BJP
• From Mokama seat of Patna – RJD
• From Danapur seat of Patna – BJP

Who is competing with whom on these seats?

Osama Shahab seems to be winning from Raghunathpur seat. Osama is contesting from this seat with Vikas Singh alias Jishu Singh. JDU had given ticket to Jishu Singh. Manoranjan Singh alias Dhumal Singh is contesting from Ekma on JDU ticket and is contesting against RJD’s Shrikant Yadav. Shrikant Yadav is currently the MLA from this seat.

On the other hand, there is Lalganj seat, here Shivani Shukla is contesting against BJP’s Sanjay Kumar Singh. AI exit poll has shown that Anant Singh may lose from Mokama seat. RJD’s Veena Devi is contesting from this seat. She is the wife of Bahubali Surajbhan Singh. Talking about Danapur, RJD’s Ritlal Yadav is contesting from BJP’s Ramkripal Yadav. In the exit poll, Ramkripal Yadav seems to be winning from this seat. Ritlal Yadav is currently the MLA from this seat.

From the data of these five seats, it has come to light that RJD can win on three and BJP candidate can win on two. Now it remains to be seen how accurate these figures are. Anant Singh has been told that he may lose but the possibility of this is very less.

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As the Bihar Assembly elections are approaching, the political turmoil has intensified and the JVC survey that came in the meantime has further increased the political temperature. In this survey, Grand Alliance’s CM candidate Tejashwi Yadav has emerged as the most liked Chief Minister face, while the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is left behind in the popularity contest. Prashant Kishore and Chirag Paswan, who are contesting the elections for the first time, have also made their place in the list of people’s choices.

Tejashwi Yadav is at the forefront in CM choice

According to JVC poll, 33% people have chosen Tejashwi Yadav as the Chief Minister. After him is Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, who was liked by 29% people. After this, 10% each considered Chirag Paswan and Prashant Kishore suitable for the post of Chief Minister. 9% people described Deputy Chief Minister Samrat Chaudhary as their favorite CM.

In the survey, 5% voters believe that some other face from the Grand Alliance can become the Chief Minister, while 4% people expressed confidence in some other BJP leader. According to the report of Times Now, this survey was conducted between October 23 and October 30. During this period, opinions were taken from 32,657 people through both phone calls and direct interviews.

NDA has lead in seat estimates
Popularity may be in favor of Tejashwi Yadav, but NDA is ahead in the probable figures of seats. According to the survey- NDA can get 120 to 140 seats. The grand alliance is expected to have between 93 to 112 seats. The majority figure in Bihar Assembly is 122 seats.

potential seats
NDA-
BJP: 70 to 81 seats, JDU: 42 to 48 seats, LJP (Ram Vilas): 5 to 7 seats.

Grand alliance-
RJD (contesting 143 seats): 69 to 78 seats, Congress: 9 to 17 seats.

Overall, the latest surveys show that while Tejashwi Yadav remains the voters’ first choice for the post of Chief Minister, NDA’s position appears to be stronger in the seat estimates. Although this is just a survey, the picture will be clear only after the results of Bihar assembly elections on November 14.