Before the results of Bihar Assembly elections (2025), the exit poll results show the formation of NDA government. Today’s Chanakya exit poll has also been released. In this, the NDA alliance government seems to be getting 160 seats while the RJD alliance is getting 67 seats. 6 seats are going to others’ account. In many exit polls that came before this, the data also showed that NDA government will be formed again in Bihar.

On the other hand, Today’s Chanakya has also conducted a survey on the basis of caste. From this it has come to light that people of Yadav caste have also voted for the NDA alliance. RJD alliance seems to be getting 67 percent votes of Yadavs. At the same time, BJP-JDU alliance has got 23 percent votes.

How many seats for which alliance?

• NDA- 160 seats (+/- 12 seats)
• Grand Alliance- 77 seats (+/- 12 seats)
• Others- 6 Seats (+/- 3 Seats)

How much vote share does which alliance get?

• NDA – 44 (+/- 3%)
• Grand Alliance- 38 (+/- 3%)
• Others- 18 (+/- 3%)

Who got how much votes from which other category?

According to Today’s Chanakya survey, the NDA alliance seems to be getting about 55 percent votes of the two classes OBC and EBC in this election. At the same time, the Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 24 percent. BJP alliance can get 58 percent votes from Scheduled Castes (SC). The Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 26 percent votes.

#TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025
Bihar 2025
Caste Analysis – OBC & EBC
BJP+ 55% ± 3%
RJD+ 24% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis

— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025

Muslim voters with whom?

The Muslim community votes the most for RJD. If we talk about it, these voters are still supporting Tejashwi Yadav. Today’s Chanakya has said in its exit poll that RJD alliance can get 69 percent votes of Muslims. The BJP-JDU alliance may have to be satisfied with only 12 percent votes.

#TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025
Bihar 2025
Caste Analysis – Muslim
BJP+ 12% ± 3%
RJD+ 69% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis

— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025

Brahmin-Baniya vote for BJP alliance

Today’s Chanakya also conducted a survey on the voting trends of Brahmins, Banias and Rajputs. It was revealed that BJP-JDU alliance is getting 63 percent votes of these castes. The Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 19 percent.

Everyone is waiting for the results of Bihar assembly elections. Counting of votes will begin on November 14. Before this, exit polls regarding the elections have also come out. Even though the exit poll of Axis My India has predicted full majority for NDA, this time Nitish Kumar has emerged as the King Mayor. According to the figures, whoever he is with will form the government in Bihar.

Even though the exit poll of Axis My India has predicted full majority for NDA, but Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD is emerging as the largest party, Nitish Kumar’s JDU may remain at the second position while BJP seems to be getting a setback in this election. BJP may remain the third party this time. In such a situation, the role of JDU has become important in forming the government.

JDU’s role important in Axis India My Exit Poll

In the exit poll, NDA may get 121 to 141 seats out of total 243 seats in Bihar. In which BJP is expected to get 50-56 seats whereas in the last election BJP had won 74 seats. At the same time, JDU is expected to get 56-62 seats, Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party 11-16 seats, Hindustan Awam Morcha 2-3 seats and Upendra Kushwaha’s party is expected to get 2-4 seats.
At the same time, the Grand Alliance is estimated to get 98-118 seats. But RJD can emerge as the largest party. In the exit poll, RJD is predicted to get 67-76 seats. Indian National Congress may get 17-21 seats, Vikassheel Insaan Party may get 3-5 seats, Left parties may get 10-14 seats and India Inclusive Party may get 0-1 seat.

Where Nitish Kumar is, there is government

If we look at these figures, this time the role of Nitish Kumar became important. Wherever Nitish Kumar goes, his government can be formed in Bihar. Nitish Kumar is in alliance with NDA, according to statistics NDA government is being formed. But if he leaves NDA and joins Tejashwi Yadav, then a grand alliance government can easily be formed by combining 67-76 seats of RJD and 56-62 seats of JDU.

Most of the exit polls in Bihar have predicted that NDA will return to power again. Everyone’s eyes are also on BJP candidate and folk singer Maithili Thakur from Alinagar seat of Darbhanga. Meanwhile, abp news talked to journalists regarding Alinagar seat. According to this, Maithili Thakur’s condition is not good and she may lose the election on this seat. Here he is competing against RJD candidate Vinod Mishra.

There are total 10 assembly seats in Darbhanga district. Voting on these seats was held in the first phase on 6 November. On average, 63.66 percent voting took place in Darbhanga district. Whereas 60.32 percent voting was recorded in Alinagar assembly seat.

Who gets how many seats in Darbhanga?

In the exit poll of journalists, it is estimated that out of total 10 seats in Darbhanga, 6 seats will go to NDA’s account. At the same time, Grand Alliance can get lead on 4 seats in this district.

Exit poll of journalists

• District- Darbhanga
• Total seats-10
• NDA-6
• Grand Alliance- 4

Who has the upper hand over Alinagar?

Grand alliance seems to have the upper hand on Alinagar assembly seat. RJD candidate Vinod Mishra can win the election from here. On this seat, there is a direct contest between folk singer Maithili Thakur of NDA and BJP’s strong Brahmin leader Vinod Mishra of RJD, in which the Grand Alliance may win due to infighting and division of votes of Brahmins due to being an outsider and denying the BJP ticket to a local.

Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar

Exit poll of journalists

• Total seats- 243
• NDA-125
• Grand Alliance- 87
• tough fight- 31

In the exit poll of journalists, NDA is likely to get 125 seats out of total 243 seats in Bihar. Whereas the Grand Alliance is estimated to win 87 seats. Along with this, according to this poll, there will be a tough fight between NDA and Grand Alliance on 31 seats. Voting was held on all 243 seats in Bihar in two phases on 6 and 11 November. The final results will be released by the Election Commission on 14 November.

(Disclaimer: Before the results of Bihar elections, ABP News has talked to 150 journalists of the state to understand the ground reality of Bihar elections. The figures of victory and defeat in every district have been prepared according to the opinion of the journalists.)

Before the results of Bihar Assembly Elections (2025), the exit poll has increased the tension of some people and happiness has increased for others. Amidst all this, everyone wants to know who can win from the seat from which Jan Suraj’s Sutradhar was talking about contesting?

Actually, Prashant Kishore had said that if he has to contest elections, he will contest from either Karmabhoomi or Janmabhoomi. He is originally from Rohtas district. He also went to his native village and voted for Karghar assembly seat. He could have contested from here but did not contest the elections. On the other hand, there was talk of fighting from Raghopur also.

BSP can win from Karghar seat

Amidst all this, who can win in Karghar, the exit poll of journalists has revealed a shocking thing. BSP candidate Uday Pratap Singh can win from Karghar seat. This means that the candidate of NDA or Grand Alliance may have to face defeat. Both Congress candidate Santosh Mishra and JDU candidate Vashishtha Singh may lose from the Grand Alliance.

Currently, Santosh Mishra of Congress is the only MLA from Karghar seat. It is from here that Ritesh Pandey is fighting with Jan Suraj. Both of them belong to Brahmin caste and the vote was divided between them. This seat has the highest number of Brahmin voters after Kurmi. This is the reason why Santosh Mishra may suffer loss.

Who can win how many of the 7 seats in Rohtas?

• RJD- 3 seats (Sasaram, Nokha and Dinara)
• BSP- 1 seat (Karghar)
• Congress- 1 seat (Chenari)
• Tough contest: 2 seats (Karakat and Dehri)

List of total seven seats of Rohtas district

• Sasaram
• Nokha
• Dinara
• Kargahar
• karakat
• Chenari
• Dehri

RJD has made Satyendra Shah its candidate from Sasaram. They can win. RJD has given ticket to Anita Chaudhary from Nokha who can win. In front of him is Nagendra Chandravanshi from JDU. Whereas RJD can win from Dinara seat. RJD has made Rajesh Yadav its candidate from here. from Chenari seat There is a contest between Mangal Ram of Congress and Murari Prasad Gautam from Chirag Paswan’s party LJPR. However, the Congress candidate can win from here.

Tough competition between whom on two seats?

Karakat- Tough contest between CPIML and Jyoti Singh, wife of independent candidate Pawan Singh. JDU’s Mahabali Singh may remain at third position.

Dehri- There is a tough contest between RJD’s Guddu Kumar Chandravanshi and LJPR’s Sonu Kumar alias Rajeev Ranjan Singh.

(Note: ABP News has prepared this figure after talking to senior journalists of the district and according to their opinion)

Also read- Exit Poll: Tejashwi Yadav’s ‘prediction’ amid exit poll, how many seats will the Grand Alliance win?

After the end of Bihar Assembly elections (2025), NDA government is seen forming in all the exit polls. Meanwhile, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav has claimed that the Grand Alliance is going to get more than 160 seats. He said that before the counting of votes, we have got a better response than what Janata Dal got in 1995. Tejashwi Yadav was holding a press conference on Wednesday (November 12, 2025). Said this during this time.

Tejashwi Yadav said, “Yesterday, people were standing in the queue for voting from 6 o’clock till 7 o’clock… People kept standing and exit polls started coming. We are not in all. Neither live in happiness nor in misunderstanding. This survey has been conducted only psychologically under the pressure of all the officials who are engaged in the elections…” Tejashwi Yadav is RJD candidate from Raghopur.

Told the media persons present at the press conference, “Earlier also you people used to show in the survey which face of the Chief Minister is preferred by the people in Bihar… So Nitish Kumar could not get more than 16, 17 or 18 percent. There was not even an announcement in the NDA this time as to who will be the official face of the CM. This is the same media who had shown in the survey that Islamabad, Lahore and Karachi have been captured in Pakistan.”

Results on 14th…swearing in on 18th

On the exit poll, Tejashwi Yadav said, “We had said earlier also that results will be declared on 14th and swearing in will take place on 18th. This is definitely going to happen… BJP and NDA are losing their sweat. They are nervous and restless.”

Vote taken to replace Nitish Kumar

RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav said that if we compare the voting of 2020 with this time, then 72 lakh people have voted more this time. This is a very big figure. If we distribute 72 lakh in 243 assemblies, then around 29,500 votes were cast in each assembly. That means these votes have not been cast to save Nitish Kumar, these have been cast to change the government. The government is going to change. These 72 lakh people have voted for change and transformation.

Tejashwi said, “We, you and all the people of Bihar know the strategy of the administration to put pressure on the people… Survey has been conducted and every effort will be made to slow down the counting. The entire process of counting will be slowed down… No action will be taken where bomb blasts and other incidents have taken place, but to kill democracy, these people will get the army to conduct flag marches in all the districts of Bihar so that people can be created panic… Grand alliance will register a huge victory.” Going…” He said, “Last time there was a difference of only 12 thousand votes. This time we are going for a clean sweep.”

Also read- Bihar CM Nitish Kumar: Nitish Kumar took refuge in God, went from temple to tomb and Gurudwara.

The Grand Alliance is not trusting the exit poll data in Bihar, but if we look at the data of 8-10 exit polls, then everyone is supporting the NDA to form the government in Bihar again. Meanwhile, on Wednesday (November 12, 2025) evening, ‘Axis My India’ has released the exit poll data. It is surprising that in this also NDA government is being formed in Bihar.

If we look at the exit poll data of ‘Axis My India’, it comes to light that NDA may get 121-141 seats this time. Whereas the Grand Alliance can get 98-118 seats. In the exit poll, Prashant Kishor’s party Jan Suraj has been given 0-2 seats. Asaduddin Owaisi’s party AIMIM has been given 0-2 seats. Others are getting 1-5 seats. 122 seats are needed to form government in Bihar.

How many seats does which party get in the Grand Alliance?

• RJD- 67-76
• Congress- 17-21
• VIP- 3-5
• Left- 10-14
• IIP- 0-1

Which party gets how many seats in NDA?

• BJP- 50-56
• JDU- 56-62
• LJP Ramvilas- 11-16
• Rashtriya Lok Morcha- 2-4
• Hindustani Awam Morcha- 2-3

What percentage of votes did ‘Axis My India’ give to whom?

• 43 percent to NDA
• 41 percent to Grand Alliance
• 4 percent to Jan Suraj
• 1 percent to AIMIM
• 11 percent to others

Prashant Kishor got the biggest shock

If you take any exit poll so far, Jan Suraj’s founder Prashant Kishor is getting the biggest shock. No one is giving them more than 2-4 seats. The preparation with which Prashant Kishor conducted the Padyatra in Bihar and attacked the Grand Alliance along with the NDA seemed to indicate that this time the picture would be different but nothing like this is visible in the exit polls. Now it has to be seen what the true picture will be when the results come on 14th November. Let us tell you that Prashant Kishore has said many times that he will either stay on his throne or on the floor.

Also read- Will Tej Pratap’s magic work in Mahua? Tejashwi Yadav’s suspense cleared! Check out the exit poll of hot seat

The results of many exit polls regarding Bihar assembly elections have come out. Most of the exit polls show NDA forming the government. Meanwhile, before the results of Bihar elections, ABP News has talked to 150 journalists of the state to understand the ground reality of Bihar elections. After the voting was over, this conversation was held with different journalists from all the 38 districts present at ground zero. The figures of victory and defeat in every district have been prepared according to the opinion of journalists.

Exit poll of journalists

Buxar- Anand Mishra, BJP, can win. He is a former IPS officer of Assam cadre.

Lakhisarai- Vijay Sinha, BJP, may lose. He is the Deputy CM of Bihar.

Siwan- Mangal Pandey, BJP, may lose. He is the Health Minister of Bihar.

Raghunathpur- Osama, RJD can win. Bahubali is the son of Shahabuddin.

Sasaram- Snehlata Kushwaha, RLM, may lose. She is the wife of Rashtriya Lok Morcha President Upendra Kushwaha.

Karghar- Ritesh Pandey, Jan Suraj may lose. Hero and singer of Bhojpuri films. BSP can win this seat in journalist poll.

Warisaliganj- Aruna Devi, BJP, may lose. She is the wife of Bahubali Akhilesh Singh. The other strongman Ashok Mahato’s wife is against him from RJD.

Rupauli- Bima Bharti, RJD can win. Bahubali is the wife of Awadhesh Mandal and a former minister.

Supaul- Bijendra Yadav- JDU, can win. He is the Energy Minister of Bihar.

Katihar- Tarkishore Prasad, BJP, can win. He is the former Deputy CM of Bihar.

The results of Bihar Assembly elections (2025) will be released on Friday (November 14, 2025). The rhetoric has started on the exit poll data released before that. The reason is that most of the agencies are forming the NDA government. The opposition claims that a grand alliance government will be formed. RJD leader and Grand Alliance CM face Tejashwi Yadav has raised questions on the exit and has also said that his government will be formed and swearing in will take place on November 18. Meanwhile, BJP leader Ramkripal Yadav has hit back at him.

Ramkripal Yadav, BJP candidate from Danapur seat, while talking to the media on Wednesday (November 12, 2025) said on the exit poll of Bihar Assembly elections, “Tejashwi Yadav has lost and he is not accepting his defeat… Sometimes he is raising questions on the Election Commission, sometimes on the media, sometimes on the exit poll. The people’s mandate should be accepted. Exit poll is never false…”

#WATCH Patna, Bihar: Ramkripal Yadav, BJP candidate from Danapur, said on the exit polls of Bihar Assembly elections, “Tejashwi Yadav has lost and he is not accepting his defeat… He is ever raising questions on the Election Commission, on the exit polls. The people’s mandate should be accepted. Exit polls… pic.twitter.com/V5SOo4aq6f

— ANI_HindiNews (@AHindinews) November 12, 2025

There is a wave of NDA: Ramkripal Yadav

On MP Pappu Yadav raising questions on the exit poll, BJP leader Ramkripal Yadav said, “…we do not want to answer Pappu Yadav. Pappu Yadav keeps changing his statements every five minutes. His thinking keeps changing.” Exit polls show that NDA government is being formed, on which he said that there is a wave. In the last years, the NDA government has worked under the leadership of Nitish Kumar. That is the effect of that. Every person is affected by work. This is the effect of the exit polls that are coming out.

Who said what on the exit poll?

Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav said on the exit polls of Bihar Assembly elections 2025, “The public has voted for change in Bihar and change is going to happen in Bihar and Tejashwi Yadav is going to become the Chief Minister. To stop the India alliance, BJP is deliberately conducting exit polls and getting it done by its people.”

Karnataka Deputy Chief Minister DK Shivakumar said on the exit polls of Bihar Assembly elections, “I do not trust the exit polls… We hope that the Grand Alliance will win…”

After the second phase of counting of votes in Bihar Assembly elections (2025), exit polls are being released by various agencies. On this, Mukesh Sahni’s Vikassheel Insaan Party, which is part of the grand alliance, has reacted. The party has rejected the exit poll figures. VIP’s national spokesperson Dev Jyoti claimed that the election result would be far from this.

Dev Jyoti said that the exit poll is just a survey of some people. This is far away from the ground reality. He said that all the exit polls had proved unsuccessful in the last Lok Sabha and Assembly elections. This time too this exit poll seems to be repeating the same story.

‘People voted to remove the present government’

VIP spokesperson said, “The way people voted in large numbers and the reports coming from different areas, it is clear that people have voted in this election for change and to remove the present government. Voters have united against the administrative abuses and anarchy of NDA supporters and voted in favor of the Grand Alliance. No one can deny this.

He further said, “Whether it is the first or second phase of voting in Bihar, there is a wave of grand alliance. This time the government is going to be formed under the leadership of young faces Tejashwi Yadav and Mukesh Sahni.”

Let us tell you that this time Mukesh Sahni’s party has contested the elections in alliance with the Grand Alliance. Party results are to be declared on 12 seats. Different survey agencies have released exit poll data. If we look at the figures, NDA government seems to be formed again in Bihar. However, the final result will come on November 14.

Also read- Vote percentage did not increase in Bihar just like that! Women are much ahead compared to men, see figure

In the Bihar Assembly elections 2025, voting has ended on 10 seats in Saran district and now all eyes are on the counting of votes to be held on November 14. According to ABP Bihar Expert Exit Poll, JDU may get 2 seats, BJP 4 and RJD 2 seats. Whereas tough competition is being said on 2 seats.

Chhapra became the hottest seat

According to political expert Prabhat Kiran Himanshu, this time Chhapra assembly seat has become the center of discussion in entire Bihar. Bhojpuri cinema superstar Khesari Lal Yadav is contesting here on RJD ticket, while BJP candidate Chhoti Kumari is in the fray from NDA.

The voters of the city have always been decisive, and on the day of voting, a huge crowd was seen at the urban booths. However, with former BJP mayor Rakhi Gupta contesting as an independent, NDA votes may get divided.

Himanshu says that the contest in Chhapra is very interesting. There is a direct competition between Khesari Lal’s star power and the strong organization of NDA.

Party wise distribution of 10 seats of Saran –

– NDA: 6 seats
– Grand Alliance: 2 seats
– Tough competition: 2 seats

Battle of ‘Singh vs Yadav’ in Manjhi

Political expert Prabhat Kiran Himanshu says that this time JDU’s Randhir Singh, son of former MP Prabhunath Singh, is in the fray for Manjhi assembly seat. His contest is against CPIM’s Satyendra Yadav. But with BJP rebel Rana Pratap Singh contesting as an independent, this seat has turned into a triangular contest.

Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Biharkhes

Karishma Rai changed the equations in Parsa

Chapra’s senior journalist Bipin Bihari Srivastava says that Parsa assembly seat has also become a hot seat this time. Here RJD has given ticket to Dr. Karishma Rai, sister-in-law of Tej Pratap Yadav, while outgoing MLA Chhotalal Rai has changed party and contested the elections from JDU.

According to Bipin Bihari, there is a situation of doubt among the public after the change of party of Chhotalal Rai. Karishma Rai is young, educated and there is enthusiasm about her among the local voters.

IT minister’s reputation at stake in Amanour

According to journalist Bipin Bihari Srivastava, there is a direct contest on the Amnaur seat between Bihar government’s IT Minister Krishna Kumar Mantu (BJP) and RJD’s District President Sunil Rai. The strength of the organization and the image of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar may work in Mantu’s favor, but the competition is tough.

On the other hand, this time in Baniyapur also the battle of credibility is being fought. Here too, former MP Prabhunath Singh’s younger brother Kedarnath Singh has contested the elections on BJP ticket. Who has faced competition from Chandni Devi, wife of former MLA late Ashok Kumar Singh.

While this time RJD has fielded Shailendra Pratap Singh from Taraiya, NDA has placed its bet on outgoing MLA Janak Singh, both the candidates come from Rajput community and both have a good hold in their areas.

Women voters became a factor

Political expert Ranjan Srivastava said that this time the role of women voters has become decisive in Saran. He told that Nitish Kumar has a good hold on women voters. The impact of his programs was clearly visible this time. Therefore, NDA candidates can get a big benefit from women votes.

According to Ranjan, out of 10 seats in Saran, 6 seats can go to NDA’s account, while the Grand Alliance is strong on the remaining 4 seats.