India GDP Growth: India’s economy was continuously wavering due to the ongoing war between Iran and the US. Meanwhile, now there are reports that its pace has strengthened and increased in the financial year 2025-26. According to the preliminary data disclosed by the government, the country’s real GDP has registered a growth of 7.7 percent, which is 7.1% higher than the previous financial year.

This data has been released by the Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation (MoSPI) on Friday itself. According to these data, the Indian economy has grown at the rate of 7.8% in the quarter of January-March 2026. This shows that economic activity remained strong even in the last three months of the financial year.

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This increase in India’s GDP has happened at a time when the economy is shaken across the world, geopolitical tensions and crude oil prices have increased, due to which continuous challenges are also emerging.

Real GDP measured on the basis of constant (2022-23) prices is estimated to increase to Rs 323.12 lakh crore in the financial year 2025-26, which was Rs 299.89 lakh crore a year ago i.e. in the financial year 2025. At the same time, nominal GDP, which also includes the effect of inflation, increased by 8.9% to Rs 346.36 lakh crore in the financial year 2026. In the last financial year it was Rs 318.07 lakh crore.

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According to the government, these estimates have been prepared on the basis of many important economic indicators. These include data related to industrial production, GST collection, results of companies, vehicle sales, freight transportation, use of telecom services, banking activities, tax collection and trade.

What did the ministry say?
MoSPI Ministry said that while preparing the new estimates, the latest data of the fourth quarter (January-March) of the financial year 2025-26 as well as the revised data of earlier quarters have also been included. The ministry also said that a new series of Index of Industrial Production (IIP) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) will be used in the GDP data released in future, the base year of which will be 2022-23.

Apart from this, the GDP data for the first quarter of the financial year 2026-27 i.e. April-June 2026 will be released on 31 August 2026.

India’s external sector showed a mixed picture in the year 2025 amid global slowdown and increasing uncertainty. On one hand, India achieved record exports of $825 billion, on the other hand, FDI flows remained quite volatile and in some months the net FDI even went negative. In this video we will understand in simple language why FDI declined between August to October 2025? Why did foreign companies send money back (Repatriation)? How did outward FDI and global uncertainty affect net numbers?

We will also know how Electronics, Pharma and Engineering sectors supported exports, services exports gave cushion to India amid global slowdown, how FTAs ​​(UK, EFTA, Oman, New Zealand) boosted trade, but the question is – will India miss the $1 trillion exports target in FY26? How strong are the chances of FDI recovery in 2026? There is also detailed discussion on government reforms, FDI liberalization and future roadmap in this video. If you are interested in economy, stock market, UPSC, banking or current affairs, then this video is very important for you.

Microsoft Layoffs: Microsoft, one of the world’s largest tech companies, is going to take a big decision once again and retrench thousands of employees. This decision has come at a time when the global tech industry is going through a recession and cast cutting. This retrenchment of Microsoft is believed to be the biggest retrenchment after the company’s 2023, which will affect thousands of families.

4% employees were fired

Microsoft has confirmed that it has fired 9,100 out of its total 2.28 lakh employees. That is, the company has reduced about 4% of its total employees. However, it has not been clarified how many of these employees are from the headquarters in Washington, USA. Earlier in May and June, 6,000 employees were trimmed in two phases, of which 2,300 were reported from Washington.

Causes of Sorting: Recession, Cost Cutting and Profit Savement

The company said in its statement that it is taking this decision to make the functioning more effective. Microsoft has taken this major step due to global recession, fall in income and cost control. This step can also affect the company’s sales team, which is already in the possibility of trimming.

Chief officer on leave, restlessness inside and outside

Microsoft Chief Commercial Officer Judson Althaoff has decided to go on a two -month holiday. The company said that he has taken this break itself and it is associated with the end of the company’s financial year. He will return in September. Meanwhile, restlessness has increased inside the company and its impact is being felt in the tech industry outside.

Continuation of retrenchment in tech industry continues

Prior to Microsoft, veteran companies like Google, Amazon and Meta have also removed thousands of employees. Experts believe that in the coming months it may intensify the period of retrenchment. Due to maintaining profits and automation, tech companies are reducing the expenditure on human resources, which is directly affecting the employees.

Us recession: At this time, there is a lot of discussion about the American economy worldwide. There is also a special reason for that. When there is a recession in America, then its threat resonates all over the world. Amid the pressure in global trade due to the imposition of tariffs by President Donald Trump, India is trying to normalize its business relations with both countries China and America. In such a situation, even if there is a recession in the American, it is going to have very little effect on India’s growth rate.

Let us know what economists and investors are saying about this-

1- How many near recession America?

On 7 April in the Economist Poll of Reuters, it was said that there is a 45 per cent probability of recession in the next 12 months, which is the highest since December 2023. The reason for this is the forecast of GDP regarding 2025 and the fall of the Capex plan. Moody’s analyst Mark Jindi said in the podcast of March 2025 that by the end of 2025, there is about 40 percent of the recession. In the Opinion of Bloomberg, Author John said that such decisions are being taken by the wrong policy of 2008.

2-Will the global recession come from American recession?

If there is a recession in America, then its effect will be global in a situation when financial shock will be received like 2008. If this does not happen, then its effect will be less. The IMF (International Monetary Fund) dismissed the possibility of global recession, saying that the US recession in 2001 did not affect globally. The world’s GDP was growing at a speed of 2.5 per cent, but business growth had fallen.

The global recession was covered between 2007-09, which for the first time after the First World War, when GDP moved to 1.3 percent in 2009. However, due to the lockdown in 2020, the global GDP came to 3 percent, which happened for the first time since 1945. Obviously, even if there is a slowdown in America in such a situation, then experts believe that India will have the least impact.

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