US President Donald Trump announced on Monday that 25% import duty (tariff) will be imposed on all medium and heavy trucks imported in the US from 1 November 2025. This step has been taken to protect American truck manufacturers from foreign competition.

Trump wrote on his social media platform, “From 1 November 2025, 25% tariffs will be imposed on all medium and heavy duty trucks coming from other countries.” Trump said that the decision has been taken to protect American companies and workers from unfair foreign competition. He said, “We will not let our industries suffer from foreign dumping and wrong trade policies.”

Which countries will be affected

The decision will affect many countries, including Mexico, Canada, Japan, Germany and Finland.

• Mexico exports the most medium and heavy trucks to the US. Since 2019, the truck export of Mexico has increased three times to about 3.4 lakh units.
• Under the USMCA agreement between the US, Mexico and Canada, trucks can still be imported without any duty, provided their 64% value comes from North America. The new tariff can affect this system.

Impact on companies

• Stellantis (which makes ‘Ram’ brand trucks and vans) may now have to face more costs on trucks made in Mexico.
• The Volvo Group is a Sweden company that is constructing a new 700 million dollar truck plant in Montere, Mexico, which is expected to be operational in 2026. The new tariff can also affect this investment.

Time to implement tariff increased

Last month, Trump had said that this tariff could be applicable from October 1, but now its date has been extended to 1 November 2025. He claimed that this step would benefit American companies like Peterbilt, Kenworth and Freightliner.

Currently, under the trade agreements with the US, Japan and the European Union, light vehicles impose 15% tariffs, but it is not clear how the new rule will apply to large vehicles.

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Chinese refineries have increased the purchase of crude oil from Russia. This increase has happened at a time when the demand for oil from Russia has decreased from India. US President Donald Trump has warned that a secondary tariff can be imposed on the countries buying oil from Russia to put pressure on Moscow and end the Ukraine War.

China saw ‘opportunity’ in Russia oil

Senior analyst Mayu Shu of Kepler, who tracks commodity and shipping data, said that this move of China is ‘opportunism’, as Russian oil is at least $ 3 per barrel cheaper than the Middle East.

India reduced purchases, China handed over a chance

According to the Reuters report, the Indian government refineries banned the purchase of Russian oil last month. According to Jones of Energy Aspects, India has reduced its purchase of about 6 to 7 lakh barrels per day. Mayu Shu says, ‘Right now there is a very good opportunity for China to shop, because the pressure of Trump continues on India. Prices are low, so more refineries can be purchased in the next one or five weeks.

China bought 15 cargo for delivery

According to Reuters, China has bought 15 cargo from Russia for the delivery of October and November. After the Russia’s attack on Ukraine in 2022, western countries reduced the purchase of oil from Russia. After this, India emerged as the biggest buyer of Russia, which buys oil by sea route at cheap prices.

Trump imposed 50 percent tariff on India, also warns China

Trump said that at present there is no plan to impose a tariff immediately on China, but ‘in two to three weeks’ can be considered. At the same time, Trump has first imposed 25 percent tariff on India and has also announced to impose 25 percent extra tariff, which will be applicable from August 27.

China will not be able to fulfill India’s deficiency

Analyst Shu said that China buys about 1.2 million barrels of Russian oil on the sea route daily, but it is not enough to fulfill India’s deficiency as India buys about 17 lakh barrels of oil daily from Russia. He said, ‘If India stops buying, it will be a big problem for Russia. China alone cannot take full quantity of India.

India and America have now reached the lowest level of several decades. India does not seem to get relief from the tariff imposed by US President Donald Trump. According to sources, on Saturday (August 16, 2025), India suffered a major setback when the US postponed the sixth round of the proposed bilateral trade agreement. This meeting was to be held in Delhi from 25 to 29 August. An American official said that the visit would probably be rescheduled later.

Sixth round postponed, shock to India
So far, five rounds of talks have been held between India and America regarding the trade deal. The sixth round of meeting was considered important, but due to its postponement, difficulties have increased for India. This delay will directly affect the tariff as the additional 25 percent penalty tariff i.e. 50 percent fees imposed by the US are going to be implemented from August 27.

American pressure on agriculture and dairy
The US wants it to get more markets in India’s agriculture and dairy sector. But India has made it clear that the interests of farmers will not be compromised. India is an agricultural country and if the American market interferes with the Indian agriculture sector, it will have a big impact on the farmers and the economy.

Future of trade
India and America have been a long time trade partner. The two countries have targeted that the first phase of bilateral trade deal will be completed by September-October 2025. Also, the plan is to increase bilateral trade by $ 500 billion by 2030. Currently, about $ 191 billion is being traded between the two countries.

Tariff’s effect
The US has imposed 25 percent tariff on India since August 7. Apart from this, due to purchasing crude oil and military equipment from Russia, an additional 25 percent punitive tariff has also been imposed on India, which will be applicable from August 27. This will affect both India’s exports and imports.

Indo-US business figures
According to the latest Commerce Ministry data, India’s exports to the US rose by 21.64% to $ 33.53 billion between April-July 2025. At the same time, imports from the US rose 12.33% to $ 17.41 billion during this period. During this period, America remained India’s largest trading partner.

India-as Mini Trade Deal: The negotiations on the limited trade agreement between India and the United States are in the final stages. American tariff deadline is happening on Wednesday (July 9, 2025). For other countries, this deadline has been extended till August 1, but India has not been included in it, which is estimated that the official announcement of the deal between the two countries can be made anytime tonight.

The conversation was going on for a long time
According to a senior official, talks were going on between India and the US for several weeks. However, this deal will be limited as many areas could not be agreed. India was firm on its demands and was willing to face the tariff, but the US took the initiative to negotiate.

Suspense over tariff
It is not yet clear how much tariff America will impose on India, but according to reports it can be between 10 and 20 percent. Donald Trump warned of 10% additional tariff on BRICS countries. 26% of the recipe rockel tariff has already been implemented on India.

India does not have a trade deficit from America
In the financial year 2022-23, India exported ₹ 6.84 lakh crore to the US while in 2023-24 it was ₹ 6.75 lakh crore. At the same time, India’s imports from America decreased from ₹ 4.43 lakh crore to ₹ 3.67 lakh crore in 2023-24. India exports double to America, which will benefit it despite the tariff.

China-Bangladesh loss, India will get benefit
After the Geneva Agreement, the tariff war between the US and China has intensified. The US has imposed 51% tariff on China and 35% on Bangladesh. This will affect the export capacity of these countries and India will get competitive benefits in the US market, especially in textile.

Who will benefit from this deal?
To India:

• Textile, medicines, and jewelery access to the US market
• Export will be cheaper by removing 26% reciperook tariff
• Bilateral trade can reach $ 500 billion by 2030

To America:

• Products like Pekan Nuts, Blueberry and Automobiles are a chance to sell on low tariffs in India
• An opportunity to strengthen market in Asia
• The possibilities of broad deal in future will be stronger

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After the closure of the transmission facility from India, Bangladesh has also banned the import of yarn. There is a big textile industry in Bangladesh, for which India exports yarn there. Now he has banned the import of yarn through the land port route from India.

According to Bangladesh Akhbar The Daily News, the National Board of Revenue (NBR) has taken this decision to protect the local textile industry from India’s raw materials, but it is being said that by deciding this, Bangladesh has dug a pit for itself.

According to the report, this decision of Mohammad Younus government has been welcomed by the owners of the textile mill, but the exporters have objected. The report said, “In the notification issued on April 13, NBR has banned the cotton imported from India through Benapole, Bhomra, Banglabandha, Bariwari and Sonamsjid Land Port.”

Mohammad Fazlul Haq, general manager of Plmi Fashion Limited, has objected to the government’s decision. He says that Bangladesh is already facing 10 percent tariff on exports in the US market. We are also getting a challenge from Indian products, it is not right to make this decision at such a time. He said that any kind of ban on import of yarn from India will affect Bangladesh exports and yarn imports should be allowed.

Ajay Srivastava, founder of Think Tank Global Trade Initiative, has expressed concern about the impact of this decision of Bangladesh on the quality and jobs of clothes. He said that Bangladesh has 80 percent export cloth. There is a very good quality cloth. He told that there are two ways to make cloth, one is that Bangladesh will bring fabric from China and get it cut directly with your labor and send it to the market. The second way is to bring yarn, then make fabric and stitched clothes from it, which will have a value edition, but the first way will not have a value edition.

Ajay Srivastava also told that Bangladesh’s textile traders were taking $ 1.5 billion yarn from India in a year, in such a situation, there are many industries in Bangladesh, which makes fabrics, but if fabric is called from China, then the quality of clothes will be spoiled and another will go to a large number of people’s jobs. In this way, China will benefit, but Bangladesh will be harmed.

The decision of Bangladesh is not being considered right for India because India exports 32 percent yarn in Bangladesh through Land Port. India sent 160 crore yarn and 8.5 crore man -made fiber Bangladesh last year. An expert told that out of which India exports, 45 percent occur only in Bangladesh.

Siddharth Rajagopal, Executive Director of Cotton Textile Export Promotion Council, said that this decision of Bangladesh is quite worrying because India mostly exports yarn through land port. He told that the mills of North India were exported, but now Mundra, Thuthukudi or Nahwa will have to be done from Sheva Port, due to which the cost in export will come more.

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