Indian Currency: The direct impact of the ongoing turmoil in the international market is being seen on the Indian currency. The rupee has fallen 3.54% so far this year, making it Asia’s second worst performing currency. There are many big reasons behind the fall of rupee – selling by foreign investors, strengthening of the US dollar and fluctuations in crude oil prices.

Rupee fell even today

During early trade on Wednesday, the rupee slipped 15 paise to 88.65 per dollar. According to forex traders, the expectation regarding the US-India trade deal supported the rupee to some extent, but pressure remained due to the strength of the dollar.

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 88.61, and later fell by 15 paise to 88.65. A day earlier, i.e. on Tuesday, the rupee had closed at 88.50 per dollar. The dollar index, which gauges the US dollar’s position against six major currencies, rose 0.06% to 99.50. The strength of the dollar continues to put pressure on the currencies of emerging markets.

What do market experts say?

Anuj Chaudhary, Research Analyst, Mirae Asset Sharekhan, says that the main reason behind the rise in rupee seen a day earlier i.e. on Tuesday was the increased tendency to take risks in the global markets and the weakness of the dollar. He said that expectations of the US government’s ‘shutdown’ ending soon have strengthened the sentiment in the global market.

Anuj Chaudhary said that due to the rise in global markets and weakness in the dollar in the coming sessions, the trend of rupee may remain positive to some extent. However, he added that higher crude oil prices and dollar demand from importers could limit the rupee’s gains. At the same time, HDFC Securities Research Analyst Dilip Parmar believes that the main reason for the recent strengthening of the rupee is the statements of US President Donald Trump.

There was momentum in the stock market

However, expectations of the US shutdown ending soon have created a bullish atmosphere in the Indian stock market.

• Sensex jumped by 502.82 points to reach 84,374.14 points.
• Nifty 50 was also trading at the level of 25,839 with a gain of 144.05 points.

In the international market, Brent crude fell by 0.26% to $ 65 per barrel. At the same time, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth Rs 803 crore on Tuesday, which increased further pressure on the rupee.

Why did the rupee weaken?

• US dollar strength
• Selling by foreign investors
• global economic uncertainty
• Crude oil fluctuations

The Indian rupee is currently under pressure, but experts believe that due to the US-India trade deal and the strength of the domestic market, some stability may return to the currency in the coming weeks.

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Indian rupee vs us dollar: The Indian rupee is continuously showing strength between positive sentiments and trump tariffs in the domestic market. During the early trade on Thursday, the rupee rose 14 paise to reach 86.93 against the dollar. Forex traders say that the expectations of peace between Russia and Ukraine have increased the risk of investors in global markets, which is supporting the rupee.

Why strengthen the rupee?

In the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market, the rupee opened at 87.04 as compared to dollars. After this it reached an initial high of 86.93 per dollar, which is 14 paise stronger than the previous closed price. On Wednesday too, the rupee closed firmly against the US dollar at 87.07. At the same time, the dollar index, which showed the dollar status against six major currencies, rose 0.08 percent to 98.30.

Stock market boom

The domestic stock market also saw a boom. The 30 -point Sensex of BSE rose 373.33 points to 82,231.17 points in early trade. NSE’s Nifty 50 was also trading at 25,144.85 points with a gain of 94.3 points.

In the international market, Brent crude rose 0.37 percent to $ 67.09 per barrel. At the same time, according to the stock market data, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were selling on Wednesday and purely sold shares worth Rs 1,100.09 crore.

Major reasons for the strength of rupee

Expectations of peace between Russia and Ukraine
Risk appetite in global markets
Show up dollar index, but rupee remains strong
Domestic stock market boom
Sustainability in Brent Crude prices
Stay domestic sentiments positive despite the selling of foreign institutional investors

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Rupee vs dollar: As part of efforts to reduce stress, the much awaited meeting of Russia and America on August 15 could not fill the Indian rupee. During the early trade on Thursday, 14 August 2025, the rupee fell by 2 paise against the US dollar and it broke to 87.46 levels. A day earlier, the Indian currency had a strong growth of 0.32 percent i.e. 28 paise. So far, about 2.25 percent of the rupee has been demalled in the current financial year, although in August, there has been a strength of 0.18 percent so far.

Why the rupee declines?

There are many reasons behind the fall in the rupee. Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director of Finrex Traders LLP, says that the rupee did not fall much due to the continuous selling and intervention of dollars from the RBI. Despite this, this month, foreign institutional investors have sold Rs 18,710 crore this month.

International level geopolitical tension is also affecting. US President Donald Trump has warned Russian President Vladimir Putin that if he was not ready for a ceasefire, serious consequences will have to be suffered. At the same time, American Treasury Secretary Scott Besant has also threatened that if Trump and Putin’s conversation fails, 25 percent of tariffs imposed on India as penalty can be increased further.

What do experts say?

Research analyst of HDFC Securities, Dilip Parmar, says that the rupee recorded its biggest one day since July 3. After a decline in US inflation, the dollar weakened amid hopes of cutting the interest rate of September from the Federal Reserve. He further stated that there were many domestic and regional factors to carry forward the performance of the rupee, including profit in Indian shares and other Asian currencies, fall in crude oil prices and domestic consumer price index (CPI).

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Rupee vs dollar: The Indian rupee weakened against the US dollar on Monday due to increasing concerns about American tariffs and frequent withdrawal of foreign capital from the Indian market. On the first day of the week, the rupee fell 11 paise to 87.29 per dollar in early trade.

According to foreign exchange traders, the weak trend of US dollar and softening in crude oil prices definitely supported the rupee to some extent. But despite this, the rupee opened at 87.21 compared to the US dollar in the interbank foreign exchange market, which was 11 paise weaker than a day earlier.

Major reasons for rupee fall

Uncertainty for American tariffs: The possibility of increasing the import duty (tariff) by the US has affected the perception of global investors, increasing pressure on the currency of emerging markets.

FII selling: Foreign institutional investors (FII) on Friday made a net selling of shares worth ₹ 3,366.40 crore, which affected the domestic currency.

Increase in dollar demand: Dollar demand remained in the Interbank Forex Market, which weakened the rupee.

Some auxiliary factor

Dollar index falls: The dollar index, depicting US dollar strength against major currencies, fell 0.40% to 98.74.

Softening of crude oil prices: According to Brent Crunt International Standard, 0.26% fell to $ 69.49 per barrel, which can provide relief to the oil importing country like India.

Domestic stock market rose: BSE Sensex rose 262.90 points to 80,861.80 in early trade, while NSE Nifty gained 98.50 points to 24,663.85.

Now look at RBI’s decision

The market is now looking at the next monetary policy of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to bring stability in the rupee and attract foreign investment. If the RBI intervenes a big or changes the rates, then it will directly affect the direction of the rupee.

Dollar vs rupee: The Indian rupee reached its lowest level in the last four months due to the continuous strong US dollars and the selling of foreign investors in the domestic stock market. On Tuesday, the price of the rupee fell 18 paise to 86.88 against the dollar. Foreign traders say that the US currency remains strong due to the continuous demand of the dollar from the importers, which has put pressure on the rupee. Along with this, the withdrawal of foreign capital and domestic stock market lethargy has also weakened the notion of investors.

Why is the rupee weakening?

Actually, the rupee opened at 86.76 against the US dollar in the interbank foreign exchange market. After this, the low -lying level of 86.88 per dollar touched a decline of 18 paise in the previous closed price. The rupee closed at 86.70 against the dollar on Monday. Meanwhile, the dollar index showed 0.01 percent to 98.64, depicting the US dollar position against the currencies of six major countries.

stock market crash

Talking about the domestic stock market, the S&P BSE Sensex was trading down 62.31 points to 80,828.71 on Tuesday at around 9.30 am. While the Nifty 50 on NSE also fell 7.20 points to 24,673.70. Today, the shares which have seen a boom during early trade, have gained 0.77 percent jump in Trent. While Realis Industries has also gone up 0.77 percent, Tato Motors 0.66 percent, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries 0.63 percent and Kotak Mahindra 0.58 percent.

International Standard Brent crude gained 0.04 percent to a price of $ 70.07 per barrel. According to the stock market data, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were selling on Monday. He purely sold shares worth Rs 6,082.47 crore.

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Rupee vs dollar: Retail and wholesale inflation rates are being strengthened by the Reserve Bank of India and the rupee is getting stronger with the hope of cutting possible interest rates. During the early trade on Tuesday 15 July 2025, the rupee opened at 85.97 against the US dollar, which is strengthened by 2 paise in the rupee as compared to the previous days. Significantly, during the current financial year, the rupee has declined by 0.52 percent.

Rupees rise

Foreign Money Traders says that there was no significant increase in domestic currency due to the withdrawal of foreign capital and uncertainty about the result of India-US trade talks. Here, the rupee again reached 85.92 after the rupee opened at 85.97 against the dollar in the Foreign Currency Exchange Market, which is equal to the price that was closed a day earlier.

Fall a day before

A day earlier on Monday, the rupee fell by 12 paise to close at 85.92 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, depicting the US dollar position against six major currencies, fell 0.04 percent to 98.04.

Stock market also boom

If we talk about the stock market, then it showed a boom on Tuesday. The 30 -point Sensex on BSE in domestic stock markets reached 82,457.41 points during early trade in domestic stock markets amidst ongoing business talks with the US. Whereas, the Nifty 50 on NSE also climbed 68.85 points to 25,151.15 points.

International Standard Brent crude fell by 0.42 percent to $ 68.92 per barrel. According to the stock market data, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were selling on Monday and purely sold shares worth Rs 1,614.32 crore.

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Dollar vs rupee: The Indian rupee, standing firmly for the last three days, broke up on Friday 11 July 2025, on Friday, July 11, 2025, between US President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariff announcements and new threats against business partner countries. The rupee lost 17 paise against the dollar to 85.85 in early trade.

Rupee weakened between new tariffs

During the current financial year, the rupee has declined by 0.36 percent. President Trump said during an interview to NBC News that his idea is to put a blanket tariff from 15 to 20 percent. Along with this, Trump has now announced a 35 percent new tariff on Canada after imposing 50 percent new tariffs on Brazil. He has warned that if Canada takes any kind of action on this, then the rates of higher tariffs will be imposed on him.

Market experts say that the rupee was expected to weaken since the new tariff imposed on Canada by President Trump. Along with this, no action is being seen in the Asian Equities and Forex yet.

Strong rupee from all three last day

Earlier, the Interbanking Foreign Money Exchange Market Rupee climbed 3 paise to close at 85.70 per dollar on Thursday. Foreign Money Traders says that the rupee closed up against the US dollar, amidst expecting an agreement between Indo-US to reach an agreement soon. On Thursday, the rupee opened firmly at 85.62 in the Interbank Forex Exchange Market.

After trading within the radius of 85.70 to 85.53 per dollar a day, it finally closed at 85.70 per dollar, which is three paise to a gain of three paise. The rupee closed at 85.73 against the US dollar on Wednesday.

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Rupee vs dollar: The Indian rupee stands firmly for the third consecutive day due to the tariff letter sent by US President Donald Trump to many countries. On Thursday 10 July 2025, the rupee climbed 6 paise to 85.62 against the US dollar during early trade. However, during the current financial year, there has been a decline in Indian currency of 0.15 percent. Despite the decline in the stock market, this strength is being seen in the rupee.

A day earlier on Wednesday, the rupee closed at 85.73 per dollar in the Interbanking Forex Market. Foreign Money Traders says the market’s sentiment has also been affected due to strengthening of US dollars in foreign markets and being close to $ 70 per barrel in foreign markets.

Constant strength in rupee

On Wednesday, the rupee opened at 85.84 against the dollar in the Interbanking Forex Market. But after trade in the radius of 85.93 to 85.65 per dollar a day, it finally closed at 85.73 per dollar. On Tuesday too, the rupee closed with a gain of 21 paise as compared to the dollar.

According to Jatin Trivedi, Vice Research Analyst (commodity and currency) of LKP Securities, there was some relief on the conversation on the trade deal and the tariff for some time. While the Indian rupee got stability, it has also found a large extent in stopping the decline.

50 percent tariff on Brazil

Here, Trump has imposed a huge tariff of 50 percent on Brazil. Whereas, 30 percent tariff was imposed in Iraq, Libya and Algeria. Whereas Sri Lanka will now have to pay a tariff of 25 percent for exporting goods in America. Along with this, Trump also said that from August 1, we will start taking 50 percent tariff on copper exports to America. However, here, the US Federal has indicated that whatever inflation due to the tariff will not be affected by their rate deduction plan.

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