Before the results of Bihar Assembly Elections (2025), the exit poll has increased the tension of some people and happiness has increased for others. Amidst all this, everyone wants to know who can win from the seat from which Jan Suraj’s Sutradhar was talking about contesting?

Actually, Prashant Kishore had said that if he has to contest elections, he will contest from either Karmabhoomi or Janmabhoomi. He is originally from Rohtas district. He also went to his native village and voted for Karghar assembly seat. He could have contested from here but did not contest the elections. On the other hand, there was talk of fighting from Raghopur also.

BSP can win from Karghar seat

Amidst all this, who can win in Karghar, the exit poll of journalists has revealed a shocking thing. BSP candidate Uday Pratap Singh can win from Karghar seat. This means that the candidate of NDA or Grand Alliance may have to face defeat. Both Congress candidate Santosh Mishra and JDU candidate Vashishtha Singh may lose from the Grand Alliance.

Currently, Santosh Mishra of Congress is the only MLA from Karghar seat. It is from here that Ritesh Pandey is fighting with Jan Suraj. Both of them belong to Brahmin caste and the vote was divided between them. This seat has the highest number of Brahmin voters after Kurmi. This is the reason why Santosh Mishra may suffer loss.

Who can win how many of the 7 seats in Rohtas?

• RJD- 3 seats (Sasaram, Nokha and Dinara)
• BSP- 1 seat (Karghar)
• Congress- 1 seat (Chenari)
• Tough contest: 2 seats (Karakat and Dehri)

List of total seven seats of Rohtas district

• Sasaram
• Nokha
• Dinara
• Kargahar
• karakat
• Chenari
• Dehri

RJD has made Satyendra Shah its candidate from Sasaram. They can win. RJD has given ticket to Anita Chaudhary from Nokha who can win. In front of him is Nagendra Chandravanshi from JDU. Whereas RJD can win from Dinara seat. RJD has made Rajesh Yadav its candidate from here. from Chenari seat There is a contest between Mangal Ram of Congress and Murari Prasad Gautam from Chirag Paswan’s party LJPR. However, the Congress candidate can win from here.

Tough competition between whom on two seats?

Karakat- Tough contest between CPIML and Jyoti Singh, wife of independent candidate Pawan Singh. JDU’s Mahabali Singh may remain at third position.

Dehri- There is a tough contest between RJD’s Guddu Kumar Chandravanshi and LJPR’s Sonu Kumar alias Rajeev Ranjan Singh.

(Note: ABP News has prepared this figure after talking to senior journalists of the district and according to their opinion)

Also read- Exit Poll: Tejashwi Yadav’s ‘prediction’ amid exit poll, how many seats will the Grand Alliance win?

In view of the Bihar assembly elections, Prashant Kishore (PK), the head of the Jan Suraj Party, has given a big indication. By the way, he has not confirmed to contest elections. However, it has been announced that even if he comes to the electoral fray, he can contest from Karghar (Rohtas) assembly seat or from Raghopur (Vaishali) seat. PK chose these two seats because Karghar is his birthplace and Raghopur is his work place.

Actually, Raghopur is the seat of Tejashwi Yadav and is considered to be the stronghold of Lalu Prasad Yadav. From here, Lalu Yadav, then Rabri Devi and now Tejashwi Yadav have won. Prashant Kishore has already said that if he contests the election, then there is no point in fighting against Tejashwi Yadav, otherwise it is not meaningful to fight from another place.

Equation of Karghar assembly constituency
Karghar seat is Brahmin -dominated. The current Congress MLA (Santosh Mishra) here is also a Brahmin. Prashant Kishore was born in this field and he comes from the Brahmin community. The caste equation of Karghar seat is not limited to Brahmins only. Kurmi, Koiri and Scheduled Caste voters are also in decisive roles here. This step of PK can not only attract Brahmins, but also indicates that he also stands with other communities.

Election results of Karghar seat
Karghar Assembly came from the year 2010. In 2010, Ramdhani Singh of Janata Dal won this seat. After this, in 2015, Vasistha Singh of Janata Dal won the election from here. In the 2020 election, Congress’s Brahmin leader Santosh Kumar Mishra became an MLA from here.

Raghopur assembly seat equation
Raghopur was a Yadav dominated seat earlier and is still today. The history of this seat is that two Chief Ministers and one Deputy Chief Minister came from here. Interestingly, all three are from the same family, ie- Lalu Prasad Yadav, Rabri Devi and his son Tejashwi Yadav. The Lalu family is dominating here in all other elections except the 2010 elections.

However, both Raghopur and Karghar seats are in possession of the Grand Alliance. Roghopur RJD is with Karghar Congress. In such a situation, the contest of Prashant Kishore contesting on any one of these seats can be tough.

Raghopur seat election results
Talking about the history from the year 1995 till now, Lalu Prasad Yadav won here. Then Rabri Devi was MLA from 2000 to 2010. In 2010, Satish Yadav of JDU won by defeating RJD for the first time. However, in the very next election 2015, son Tejashwi Yadav avenged the defeat and has been an MLA in this seat for 10 years.

Jan Suraj Party founder Prashant Kishore has announced that he will contest from Karghar assembly seat of Rohtas. This was announced by Prashant Kishore in a digital channel’s Conclave on Wednesday (September 03, 2025). Santosh Mishra is currently an MLA from Congress from this seat. 2Talking about the election of 020, Vasistha Singh of Nitish Kumar’s party JDU was second from here.

Prashant Kishore said that anyone should fight his birthplace or karmabhoomi. However, he also said that Nitish Kumar does not contest elections, if he fights, he would also fight from the same seat.

Prashant Kishore said that he said about Tejashwi Yadav that he will fight Raghopur, and from where he will fight. On the other hand, PK also clearly said that the party will decide on contesting himself. PK also said that if he does not fight Karghar, he will fight Raghopur.

Understand the caste equation of Karghar (almost)

• Kurmi- 40,000
• Ravidas- 32,000
• Brahmin- 30,000
• Vaishya- 20,000
• Kushwaha- 20,000
• Yadav- 30,000
• Rajput- 15,000
• Nonia- 12,000
• Paswan- 14,000
• Bhumihar- 8,000
• Other- 18,000

Overall, this equation plays a decisive role in Karghar’s politics. Especially Kurmi, Ravidas and Brahmin votes are the largest number, while Vaishya, Kushwaha and Yadav also have a strong position. According to political experts, the Karghar assembly seat is a Brahmin dominated seat. This is the reason that last time Santosh Mishra won from this seat. Now Prashant Kishore has increased the tension of the current MLA by announcing to contest from here.

JDU told Jan Suraj Votekatwa Party

On the other hand, JDU National General Secretary Manish Verma in Sitamarhi, Bihar said on Wednesday (September 03, 2025), “Jan Suraj is a votecutwa party. They are not getting a seat, share the cards as much as you have to distribute. The people are confusing people by distributing the profit cards. People will throw this profit card in the drain.”

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