Kerala Election Result 2026: : The picture of the results of assembly elections in Kerala has become clear. In Keralam, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is leading by 104 seats against the ruling Left alliance LDF. According to the data released by the Election Commission, the Congress Party has so far won 62 assembly seats. At the same time, he is maintaining his lead on one assembly seat. After defeating the 10-year-old Left government in Kerala, Leader of Opposition in Lok Sabha and Congress MP Rahul Gandhi has thanked the people of the state for this decisive mandate.

Rahul Gandhi expressed gratitude to the people of Kerala

After registering victory in the Keralam Assembly elections 2026 on Monday (May 4, 2026), Congress MP Rahul Gandhi expressed his gratitude to the people of the state by sharing a post on social media platform X. He said, ‘Heartfelt thanks to my brothers and sisters of Kerala for this decisive mandate. Congratulations to every leader and worker of UDF for this hard work and well-organized campaign.

Thank you to my brothers and sisters in Keralam for a truly decisive mandate.

Congratulations to every UDF leader and worker for a hard-fought, well-run campaign.

As I said before, Keralam has the talent, Keralam has the potential and now Keralam has a UDF government with a…

—Rahul Gandhi (@RahulGandhi) May 4, 2026

He said, ‘As I said earlier, Kerala has talent, Kerala has immense potential and now Kerala has a United Democratic Front (UDF) government which has the vision to realize both. I look forward to meeting my Keralam family soon.

Left power in Kerala dealt a huge blow

The Left Democratic Front (LDF), a coalition of leftist parties, has been ruling Kerala for the last 10 years. Left parties ruled the state for 10 years under the leadership of Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, but this time the results of the assembly elections have given a huge blow to the leftist government of CM Pinarayi Vijayan. This time in the elections, UDF has been reduced to only 35 seats and the workers and leaders of UDF, the alliance led by Congress Party which has returned to power in the state after 10 years, are celebrating the victory.

Also read: Tamil Nadu Election Result 2026: Whose hand will Vijay hold to become CM in Tamil Nadu? Who will tie the knot with TVK – DMK or AIADMK?

Exit polls of Kerala Assembly Elections 2026 are presenting a clear picture that Congress led UDF is not only ahead but also seems to be standing close to power with a comfortable lead. According to Poll Mantra’s exit poll, the estimate of 88 to 92 seats takes it much above the majority figure of 70. In comparison, the ruling LDF seems to be limited to 42 to 46 seats, which is a sign of its weakness in many areas. NDA and other parties seem to be marginalized this time too, but the story is not just about seats. The real interest is in the leadership race, where the contest still remains open and tough.

What is the wind saying on the ground?

If we talk about Poll Mantra’s exit poll, the signals coming from different parts of the state are not one-sided but definitely show a clear inclination. UDF has gained a strong hold on the narrative in the Malabar region. This increase seems to be increasing further in Central Kerala. There is definitely competition in Travancore, but it is not enough to change the picture of the entire state.

These trends clearly mean that there is no longer a close fight here, rather a clear inclination of public opinion is visible. The LDF still has some strong pockets, but the statewide wave seems to be moving away from it.

Who is making the narrative?

According to Poll Mantra, in the last 60 days the election discussion has not revolved around any one face. Many leaders have together created a political environment. In this period, KC Venugopal (21.4%) has emerged as the most influential leader, who gave direction to the narrative. After him, the influence of Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan (18.6%) continues, while V.D. Satishan (16.2%) also remains close. Apart from this, leaders like Shashi Tharoor (12.5%) and Shafi Parambil (10.1%) have also registered a strong presence. Here UDF is ahead not only in seats but also at the level of discussion. At the same time, the influence of LDF seems to be mostly limited to Pinarayi Vijayan.

CM face: open and tough contest

The interesting thing is that despite such a clear lead, the picture regarding the Chief Minister’s face is not clear. According to Poll Mantra’s survey, this contest remains completely open and competitive. V.D. Satheesan is in a slight lead with 21.2%, but Pinarayi Vijayan is close behind with 20.5%. KC Venugopal is in third place with 17.8% and this makes him the ‘dark horse’ of this race. At the next level K.K. Shailaja and Ramesh Chennithala are tied with 11.2%, while Rajeev Chandrasekhar is in the contest with 10.5%.

Political signals of Kerala elections

The biggest indication is that voters are not standing behind any one face. The three top leaders are very close to each other, which means the final decision is still open. This situation can be beneficial for UDF, because it has many strong faces. Whereas LDF still seems to be more dependent on the leadership of Pinarayi Vijayan.

Also read: West Bengal Exit Poll 2026: Congress’s ‘balle-balle’ in this Exit Poll, five times the gain of seats in Bengal, TMC-BJP kept watching

Congress has changed the entire game in Kerala. This is not what we are saying but the recent exit poll figures are saying this. Among these, Chanakya Strategy and Materise’s survey have indicated the return of the UDF government i.e. the Congress coalition government. Meaning the Left alliance is not able to score a hat-trick this time. However, a tough fight between both the alliances has been predicted in all the polls. In the Kerala Poll of Polls, everyone is seen forming the UDF government.

Exit poll data of Chanakya Strategies

According to the figures revealed in the exit poll of Chanakya Strategy, the Congress alliance is getting between 72 to 80 seats. So the Left seems to be getting between 58 to 64 seats. Others are expected to get 3 to 7 seats.

In Materise’s survey, Left has 60 to 65 seats.

According to the survey of Materise, the Left is expected to get 60 to 65 seats, while the Congress alliance is expected to get between 70 to 75 seats. However, the results of both the exit polls are not one-sided.

UDF gets majority in Vote Vibe survey

Apart from this, in the survey of Vote Vibe, LDF is expected to get 58-68 seats, UDF is expected to get 70 to 80 seats, and others are expected to get between 0 to 4 seats.

What does Axis My India’s survey say?

Apart from this, in the survey of Axis My India, LDF is expected to get 49 to 62 seats, while UDF is expected to get 78 to 90 seats. Others are expected to get between 0 to 3 seats.

UDF is expected to form government in these two polls also
In the People’s Pulse survey, LDF is expected to get 55 to 65 seats, while UDF is expected to get 70 to 85 seats. Others are expected to get 0 to 3 seats.

According to the exit poll of P. Mark, LDF is expected to get 62 to 69 seats, while UDF is expected to get 71 to 79 seats. Among these, others are expected to get seats between 1 and 7.

Also read:

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll: Stalin’s influence continues in Tamil Nadu! Vijay’s party TVK spoiled AIADMK’s game?

Exit Polls Results 2026: Assembly elections were concluded in four states of the country – Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and a union territory Puducherry – with the second phase of voting in West Bengal on Wednesday (April 29, 2026). As soon as the voting is over, the exit poll data of all the states has come out, in which the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is seen forming the government in two states and one union territory with a clear majority in West Bengal, Assam and Puducherry.

At the same time, according to exit poll data, Congress-led alliance UDF seems to be forming the government in Kerala with absolute majority. Whereas in Tamil Nadu, the alliance led by ruling Chief Minister MK Stalin’s party DMK may once again return to power.

What are the exit poll figures in West Bengal?

This time assembly elections have been conducted in two phases in West Bengal. According to the exit poll data revealed in the survey by poll agencies, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) government, which has been ruling West Bengal for 15 years, seems to be wavering in the elections this time, while the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) can form the government in the state with a clear majority.

• Matrix – BJP may get 146-161 seats, TMC may get 125-140 seats, others may get 6-10 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 150-160 seats for BJP, 130-140 seats for TMC, 6-10 seats for others.
• Praja Polls – BJP 178-208, TMC 85-110, others 0-5 seats.
• Poll Diary – BJP 142-171, TMC 99-127, others 5-9 seats.
• P-Mark – 150-175 seats for BJP, 118-138 seats for TMC, 2-6 seats for others.
• People’s Pulse – BJP may get 95-110, TMC may get 178-189 seats, others may get 1-3 seats.

BJP gets clear majority in Assam, Congress lags behind

According to exit poll data, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma in Assam seems to be returning to power once again. At the same time, the opposition Congress party seems to be lagging behind in this electoral field.

• Matrix – BJP may get 88-98 seats, INC may get 22-32 seats, others may get 3-5 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 85-95 seats for BJP, 25-32 seats for INC, 6-12 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – 86-101 seats for BJP, 15-26 seats for INC, 3-7 seats for others.
• Axis My India – BJP 88-100, INC 24-36, Others 0 seats.

Also read: Assam Exit Poll: NDA’s strong comeback in Assam, Congress defeated in front of Himanta magic

Stalin government returning again in Tamil Nadu?

According to exit poll data, the ruling DMK government of Chief Minister MK Stalin may once again return to power in Tamil Nadu. According to the survey data of Matrice, the opposition AIADMK seems to be giving competition to MK Stalin’s party. Whereas Thalapathy Vijay’s party TVK is expected to get 98-120 seats according to India Today-Axis My India.

• Matrix – DMK 122-132, AIADMK 87-100, TVK 10-12, Others 10-18 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 145-160 seats for DMK, 50-65 seats for AIADMK, 00 for TVK, 18-26 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• Praja Poll – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – DMK 92-110, AIADMK 22-32, TVK 98-120, Others 00 seats.

Congress may get power in Kerala

At the same time, according to exit poll data, this time Congress Party led UDF alliance may get power in Kerala. Whereas the ruling leftist alliance LDF seems to be lagging behind in the election results.

• Matrix – LDF+ 60-65, INC+ 70-75, BJP 00, Others 05-09.
• Chanakya Strategies – LDF+ 58-64, INC+ 72-80, BJP 00, Others 03-07 seats.
• People’s Pulse – LDF+ 55-65, INC+ 75-85, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – LDF+ 49-62, INC+ 78-90, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.

Who is getting majority in Puducherry??

According to exit poll data in the Union Territory of Puducherry, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is forming the government with a majority. Whereas the Congress party seems to be lagging behind in the electoral field.

• Praja Poll – BJP+ 19-25, INC+ 06-08, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – BJP+ may get 16-20, INC+ may get 06-08, others may get 03-07 seats.

Also read: Signs of reshuffle in power in Kerala after 10 years, majority in favor of Congress, what do the data of ‘Poll of Polls’ say