The picture of elections in West Bengal is clear. On March 15, the Election Commission has released the election schedule. To whom will the public hand over power, it will be known only after the results are declared, but before that, the mathematics of electoral equation has started being calculated through opinion polls. MATRIZE-IANS has conducted a survey to know the mood of the public, in which shocking figures have emerged. For TMC chief and current Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee, he also seems special in many ways.

Who will get power in Bengal?

In Bengal, Mamata Banerjee is trying to capture power for the fourth consecutive time, while BJP has also left no stone unturned to blossom in the state for the first time. There are a total of 294 assembly seats in West Bengal, out of which 148 seats will be required for majority. Political parties have started preparations to woo the public. Now it has to be seen to whom the people of Bengal hand over the keys of power. Mamata Banerjee is the Chief Minister of Bengal since 2011.

What do opinion poll figures say?

According to MATRIZE-IANS opinion poll, TMC may get 155 to 170 seats in the elections. According to the survey, the public can hand over power to Mamata Banerjee again but the number of seats she gets seems to be decreasing. In the assembly elections held in 2021, Trinamool Congress had won 213 seats. Its seats are seen decreasing in opinion polls. BJP seems to be gaining in opinion polls, in 2021 BJP had won 77 seats. BJP is expected to get 100 to 115 seats in this election. At the same time, AIMIM is expected to get 5-6 seats and others 0-1.

When will elections be held in Bengal?

Elections will be held in two phases in West Bengal. Voting in the first phase will be held on 23 April while voting in the second phase will be held on 29 April. The election results will be declared on May 4. After a long time, elections are being held in Bengal in only two phases. Earlier in 2021, voting was held in 8 phases in the state. There are a total of 294 assembly seats in West Bengal. To achieve majority, 148 seats will be required.

From Bengal to Assam, whose government will be formed in five states? Know what the opinion poll figures say

Dates have been announced for elections to be held in five states. Elections will be held in two phases in West Bengal. At the same time, voting will be held in one phase in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry and Tamil Nadu. Only the results of May 4 will tell which party will win the elections, but before that, MATRIZE-IANS has conducted an opinion poll to know the election mood. Know which party seems to have the upper hand from West Bengal to Assam and Tamil Nadu.

West Bengal Elections; MATRIZE-IANS OPINION POLL

There are a total of 294 assembly seats in West Bengal. To achieve majority, 148 seats will be required. According to the opinion poll of MATRIZE-IANS, Mamata Banerjee’s party Trinamool Congress can return to power again. If this happens, TMC will be able to capture power with majority for the fourth consecutive time. According to opinion poll, Trinamool Congress may get 155 to 170 seats. Whereas BJP is expected to get 100 to 115 seats. In the opinion poll, AIMIM is expected to get 5-6 seats and others 0-1.

Assam Elections; MATRIZE-IANS OPINION POLL

According to the opinion poll of MATRIZE-IANS, BJP can return to power again with a huge majority in the upcoming Assam Assembly elections. BJP is expected to get 96-98 seats, Congress is expected to get 26-28 seats and AIUDF is expected to get 1-5 seats, apart from this, others are expected to get 1-3 seats. According to the poll, the performance of Congress and AIUDF may appear weak compared to BJP.

Tamil Nadu Elections; MATRIZE-IANS OPINION POLL

Opinion polls have predicted that the NDA alliance will get a lead in the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections also. According to the opinion poll of MATRIZE-IANS, AIADMK and BJP alliance may get majority in the upcoming assembly elections in Tamil Nadu. In the poll, NDA may get 114 to 127 seats, DMK may get 104 to 114 seats and TVK may get 6 to 12 seats.

Let us tell you that currently Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is in power in Tamil Nadu. MK Stalin is the Chief Minister of the state. The politics of Tamil Nadu has mainly revolved between AIADMK and DMK. DMK alliance got 159 seats in the 2021 elections. At the same time, the AIADMK alliance was reduced to 75 seats.

Kerala elections; MATRIZE-IANS OPINION POLL

According to the opinion poll of MATRIZE-IANS, there may be a tough competition in the assembly elections to be held in Kerala. There are a total of 140 assembly seats in Kerala. In the opinion poll, LDF has been estimated at 61-71 seats, UDF at 58-69 seats and BJP at two seats. Let us tell you that the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) is led by CPI(M) while the opposition United Democratic Front (UDF), which is led by Congress.

In the year 2021, the LDF alliance formed the government in Kerala by winning 99 seats. Whereas UDF (Congress alliance) had got 41 seats. This is the only state in the country where the Left is in power.

Will Mamata score a victory in Bengal or will the lotus bloom for the first time? Know how many seats the opinion poll gave to which party

The Election Commission announced the dates of Bihar assembly elections on Monday. During the first phase, voting will be held on 121 seats on November 6 and 122 seats on November 11 in the second phase. The result of this election will be declared on 14 November. Matrize -ians have done opinion polls for the Bihar assembly elections, in which the NDA is clearly getting a majority.

According to the opinion poll by Matrize -ians, NDA can get 150-160 seats in this election. At the same time, 70-80 seats of the Grand Alliance and others can get 9-12 seats. According to the survey, 49 percent of the NDA’s 49 percent, the grand alliance can get 36 percent and others can get 15 percent votes.

How satisfied people are with CM Nitish’s functioning?

Very Satisfied	42 percent
Satisfied	31 percent
Disgusted	23 percent
Can’t say	04 percent

Bihar’s biggest election issue?

Unemployment	24 percent
Corruption	10 percent
PM Modi’s face	9 percent
Education	8 percent
other issue	49 percent

Who is the first choice for the post of Chief Minister?

Nitish Kumar	42 percent
Tejashwi Yadav	15 percent
Prashant Kishore	9 percent
Chirag Paswan	8 percent
Emperor Chaudhary	3 percent
Other	23 percent

How much effect the popularity of PM Modi?

Great effect	57 percent
Slight effect	8 percent
no bearing	21 percent
Can’t say	14 percent

People’s opinion on SIR in Bihar

Good step for election commission	54 percent
Sir required	17 percent
Electoral benefits	13 percent
Can’t say	16 percent

Bihar’s first opinion poll

Party	2025 opinion poll	2020 election results
NDA	150-160 seats	125 seats
Grand alliance	70-85 seats	110 seats
Other	9-12 seats	8 seats

Which party has seats in opinion poll

NDA	Grand alliance
BJP- 80-85 seats	RJD- 60-65 seats
JDU- 60-65 seats	Congress- 7-10 seats
Ham- 3-6 seats	CPI-ML-6-9 seats
LJP (R)- 4-6 seats	CPI- 0-1 seat
RLM- 1-2 seats	CPIM-0-1 seat
	VIP- 2-4 seats

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Dates have been announced for the assembly elections 2025 in Bihar. Votes will be cast on November 6 and 11 in two phases and results will come on 14 November. Political temperature is increasing with the announcement of election dates. The first opinion poll conducted by Matrize -ians has presented an initial idea of ​​this election picture. Who can benefit in this 243 -seat assembly election and which political parties are ahead, this survey has revealed this survey.

Seat equation: NDA ahead, grand alliance behind
According to the opinion poll, the NDA can get 150–160 seats in 2025, while the Grand Alliance can be reduced to 70-85 seats. Other parties and independents are likely to get 9-12 seats. Last time in 2020, NDA got 125 seats and Grand Alliance got 110 seats.

NDA edge
NDA is also visible in terms of vote share. In this survey, NDA is estimated to get 49% votes, the grand alliance may get 36% and other parties can get 15% votes. According to 2020 data, NDA got 37.26%, the grand alliance got 37.23% and others got 25.51% votes.

People satisfied with CM Nitish’s functioning?
It was also seen in the survey that 42% of the people are very satisfied with the functioning of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, while 31% people were said to be satisfied and 23% dissatisfied. Only 4% of people could not answer this question.

What is Bihar’s biggest election issue?
According to voters, unemployment (24%) is the biggest issue of elections this time. Apart from this, corruption is 10%, Prime Minister Modi’s face 9%, education 8% and other issues are in priority for 49% voters.

Who is the first choice of Chief Minister’s post?
The first choice of voters for the post of Chief Minister was Nitish Kumar (42%). Tejashwi Yadav got 15% votes, Prashant Kishore got 9%, Chirag Paswan 8% and Emperor Chaudhary got 3% votes. The remaining 23% of the voters are giving priority to another.

Impact of PM Modi’s popularity
The survey also revealed that 57% of the people believe that PM Modi’s popularity is being affected a lot. Only 8% stated a little impact and 21% said that there is no effect. 14% of the voters could not answer this question.

Voters’ opinion on sir
Voters’ opinion on the issue of SIR in Bihar also appeared in the survey. 54% people consider it a good step of EC. Only 17% of people believe that SIR was necessary, while 13% say it was applied only for electoral benefits. 16% of the voters could not answer this question.

NDA benefits, challenges Grand Alliance?
Statistics of this survey show that NDA is in the lead this time and the grand alliance may lag behind in terms of seats. At the same time, Nitish Kumar’s popularity and PM Modi’s image is working in favor of NDA. In view of the election equation and the priorities of the voter, there can be a tough competition in the 2025 assembly elections in Bihar.

Disclaimer: Matrize -ians have conducted an opinion poll for the Bihar assembly elections. This opinion poll has been prepared on the basis of interaction with the people of Bihar. For this, 46 thousand 862 people were talked to all 243 seats in Bihar. This survey was conducted between 18 September to 5 October. The margin of error plus minus in the results of the opinion poll is 3 percent. This opinion poll has not been done by ABP News.

Matrize -ians Bihar Opinion Poll: The dates of Bihar assembly elections have been announced. Matrize -ians have done opinion poll about this. According to this survey, the NDA’s pan in Bihar is looking heavy. People are seen sealing the works of CM Nitish Kumar.

According to the opinion poll of Matrize -ians, NDA can get 150-160 seats in Bihar Assembly Elections 2025. At the same time, 70-80 seats of the Grand Alliance and others can get 9-12 seats. According to the survey, 49 percent of the NDA’s 49 percent, the grand alliance can get 36 percent and others can get 15 percent votes.

How many seats in NDA and Grand Alliance: Survey

BJP can emerge as the largest party in NDA. According to the survey, BJP may get 80-85, JDU 60-65, Ham (HAM) 3-6 seats, LJP (R) 406 seats, RLM 1-2 seats. In the Grand Alliance, RJD is expected to get 60-65 seats, Congress 7-10 seats, CPI-ML 6-9 seats, CPI 0-1 seats, CPIM 0-1 seats, VIP 2-4 seats.

Bihar assembly election dates announced

For the Bihar assembly elections, voting will be held in two phases on November 6 and November 11 and the counting of votes will be 14 November. Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar announced the election schedule on Monday. Gyanesh Kumar said that in the first phase, voting will be held for 121 seats in the first phase and 122 seats in the second phase. Bihar has a total of 243 seats in Bihar. The Chief Election Commissioner also informed that the notification for the election will be released on October 10, the last date for filing nomination papers will be on October 17, nomination papers will be examined on October 18 and nomination papers can be withdrawn by 20 October.

He said that the notification for the second phase will be issued on October 13, the last date for filing nomination papers will be on October 20, nomination papers will be examined on 21 October and the names will be withdrawn by 23 October.

Disclaimer: Matrize -ians have conducted an opinion poll for the Bihar assembly elections. These opinion people have been prepared on the basis of interaction with the people of Bihar. For this, 46 thousand 862 people have been talked to all 243 seats of Bihar. This survey has been conducted between September 18 and 5 October. The margin of error plan minus in the results of the opinion poll is 3 percent. This opinion poll has not been done by ABP News.