In the Bihar Assembly elections 2025, Prashant Kishore’s Jansuraj Party had given a different atmosphere to the entire election by entering the field with tremendous campaigning. While fielding candidates on 238 seats, the party had claimed that the public is ready for change and Jansuraj will play a decisive role. However, the picture that emerged after the counting of votes made the political strength of the party clear. The results showed that the impact of heavy campaigning could not translate into votes on the ground.

The party did not get a single victory in the fight for 238 seats. Only in Madhaura, Jansuraj candidate came second, in almost all other areas the party was reduced to third or fourth position. The counting of votes also made it clear that in many places the party got better votes than expected, but they were not enough to win any seat or pose a serious challenge.

In some seats, Jansuraj’s votes were many times more than NDA’s defeat.

An interesting aspect in the election results was that in many places the number of votes received by Jansuraj candidates was much more than the margin of defeat of the NDA candidate. Because of this, there is a heated discussion in political circles that if Jansuraj had not been in the fray, the result of these seats might have looked different.

Those seven seats where Jansuraj’s votes became a big factor

Below are the details of those 7 seats where NDA lost by a very small margin, but Jansuraj got many times more votes. These seats became the most interesting story of the election results.

Dhaka – NDA lost by only 178 votes, Jansuraj got 8,347 votes.
Jehanabad – difference 793, Jansuraj got 5,760 votes
Makhdumpur – margin 1,830, Jansuraj 4,803 votes
Tikari – margin 2,058, Jansuraj got 2,552 votes
Goh – margin 4,041, Jansuraj 7,996 votes
Bodhgaya – margin 881, Jansuraj 4,024 votes
Chanpatia – margin 602, Jansuraj 37,172 votes

Chanpatia became the biggest example

In Chanpatia, Jansuraj candidate Manish Kashyap secured 37,172 votes, while the NDA candidate lost the election by just 602 votes. This is the reason why this seat became the most discussed seat of the entire election.

Complete picture of Jansuraj in figures

Jansuraj Party contested elections on 238 seats, but could not convert any seat into victory. Naveen Kumar Singh stood second in Marhaura, but he had to face defeat from the RJD candidate by about 27 thousand votes. In all other areas, the party’s performance was mediocre and it could not reach above the third-fourth position.

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The biggest day of Bihar Assembly elections 2025 has arrived. Counting of votes for 243 assembly seats of the state will start from 8 am on Friday (14 November 2025). Curiosity, waiting and political excitement is at its peak throughout Bihar because in a few hours from now it will become clear on whom the public has expressed its trust. Meanwhile, there are some VIP seats in Bihar, where it will be interesting to see who will win. The VIP seats on which everyone’s eyes are in the Bihar Assembly elections 2025 are: Raghunathpur (Osama Shahab), Raghopur (Tejashwi Yadav), Mahua (Tej Pratap Yadav), Tarapur (Samrat Chaudhary), Lakhisarai (Vijay Sinha), Alinagar (Maithili Thakur), Maner (Bhai Virendra), Mokama (Anant Singh), Danapur (Ritlal Yadav) and Subhash Singh from Gopalganj. Is included.

A total of 2616 candidates have contested elections on 243 seats in the state. Big faces are contesting elections by putting their political reputation and future at stake. The counting of votes starting from the morning of today (November 14) will decide who will win on these high-profile seats and who will write the next political chapter of Bihar. JDU, RJD and BJP have fielded their candidates on these VIP seats.

Today’s vote counting will proceed in three phases, first the postal ballots will be counted. After this, the EVMs will be opened and the votes will be tallied and official results will start coming round by round. Although it will take time for official results to come out, initial trends will start emerging between 8:30–9:00 pm. This means that the direction of the results will become clear in just one hour.

In this election, both NDA and Grand Alliance have claimed victory during the entire campaign. NDA has expressed confidence in the joint leadership of PM Modi and Nitish Kumar. The Grand Alliance claims that they will win the elections on the issues of employment, inflation and change.

The exit polls that came after the voting for Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have created a tremendous stir in the politics of the state. This time the trend of results does not seem to be leaning towards any one side. While some surveys are giving a slight lead to the NDA, many agencies are telling the Grand Alliance (INDIA Bloc) to be near the threshold of power. Now the entire state is waiting for the results to come on 14th November.

The figures of news channels and survey agencies are very interesting this time. In some exit polls, the grand alliance led by Tejashwi Yadav seems to be reaching more than 130 seats, while the NDA is in the range of a little above 100. In other surveys, the contest is so close that both the alliances are seen almost equal on the majority line of 122 seats. Overall, according to the average data of four major survey agencies, the Grand Alliance is seen getting 120–130 seats, while the NDA is seen getting 110–120 seats.

TV live exit poll big relief for Tejashwi Yadav

The most talked about TV Live Exit Poll has given good news for the Grand Alliance this time. According to the survey, Grand Alliance may get 130 to 144 seats, while NDA is said to get between 95 to 109 seats. If this estimate proves correct then the return of Tejashwi Yadav to power in Bihar is considered almost certain.

Journo Mirror Survey: Public in mood for change

Journo Mirror Exit Poll figures also present almost the same picture. Here also the Grand Alliance looks strong on 130–140 seats, while the NDA is limited between 100–110 seats. This trend of two major agencies shows that the people of the state seem to be in a mood for change this time.

Opinion polls are evenly contested, suspense continues

Janmat exit poll has made the contest more interesting. In this survey, NDA has been shown between 113-125 seats and Grand Alliance between 111-123 seats. This situation shows that both the alliances are almost equal on the majority line of 122 seats. A small vote difference can completely change the direction of power.

News Pinch AI Survey Slight lead for NDA

News Pinch AI Politics Survey has made the election battle of Bihar more complicated. Here NDA is expected to get 121 seats and Grand Alliance is expected to get 119 seats. That means this is a photo-finish match, in which even minor changes can reverse the results.

Indication of repeat of situation like 2020

Political experts say that almost the same picture was seen in the year 2020 also. Even then the exit polls had given lead to the Grand Alliance, but in the final results NDA had formed the government with a very small margin. This time also the same suspense continues. Will history be repeated, or will change of power begin in Bihar?

Political activity intensifies before the results

Political turmoil has intensified in Patna, Darbhanga, Bhagalpur and Gaya. Strategic meetings are going on in the alliance offices and the candidates are in touch with supporters in their respective areas. Before the counting of votes, every party is claiming victory, but the real picture will become clear only on November 14.

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The political equation is becoming very interesting in all the exit polls and surveys released before Bihar Assembly elections 2025. While most of the surveys are showing the NDA’s lead, a survey has also emerged which has increased the political stir. Journo Mirror’s survey has shown the Grand Alliance (MGB) getting a clear majority.

Journo Mirror changed the equation

According to Journo Mirror, the Grand Alliance may get 130 to 140 seats this time, while the NDA is said to be limited to only 100 to 110 seats. This estimate is completely opposite to all other surveys. It has been claimed in this survey that this time the public is in the mood for change and a new equation can be formed in the state.

NDA ahead in remaining surveys

However, other major survey agencies like P-Marq, Peoples Pulse, DV Research, Matriz IANS, Chanakya, Poll Diary and Praja Poll Analytics have shown the NDA close to or above the majority. Among these, NDA has got an estimate of 130 to 209 seats, while the Grand Alliance is said to be limited to between 32 to 108 seats.

Source	NDA	MGB (Grand Alliance)	OTH (other)
Matriz IANS	147–167	70–90	2–6
Chanakya	130–138	100–108	3–5
Poll Diary	184–209	32–49	1–5
Praja Poll Analytics	186	50	7
Polestrat	133–148	87–102	3–5
TIF Research	145–163	76–95	0–1
JVC	135–150	88–103	3–6
People’s Insight	133–148	87–102	3–6
People’s Pulse	133–159	75–101	2–13
P-Marq	142–162	80–98	1–7
DV Research	137–152	83–98	3–12
Journal Mirror	100–110	130–140	3–7
Poll of Polls (Average)	131–157	80–93	3–6

Which party got how many seats in 2020?

Last time in Bihar assembly elections i.e. in 2020, the NDA alliance had won and formed the government. At that time NDA had got a total of 125 seats, while the Grand Alliance had got success on 110 seats.

If we look at the figures of the last elections, in the NDA alliance, BJP got 74 seats, JDU got 43 seats, Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) got 4 seats and Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) also got 4 seats.

On the other hand, RJD had emerged as the largest party from the Grand Alliance by winning 75 seats. Congress got 19 seats, CPI (ML) got 12 seats, while AIMIM and other parties got 5 seats.

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The second phase of Bihar Assembly elections 2025 is now just a few days away. After voting on 121 seats in the first phase, now on November 11, voters will decide the fate of 1302 candidates on 122 seats in 18 districts. Political parties have put all their strength into these seats and campaigning is at its peak.

In the second phase, voting will be held from the areas of Seemanchal bordering UP to the seats of Champaran belt and Mithilachal. In the first phase, Nitish Kumar and Jitan Ram Manjhi were tested on the credibility of NDA, whereas in the second phase, it is considered to be the real test of BJP. RJD and Congress have to prove their strength in the grand alliance, while it will be challenging for Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM to save its credibility in Seemanchal. In 2020, Owaisi surprised everyone by winning the seats of this phase.

Districts and seats for the second phase

In the second phase, voting will be held on 122 seats in 18 districts. These include 10 from Gayaji district, 4 from Kaimur, 7 from Rohtas, 6 from Aurangabad, 2 from Arwal, 3 from Jehanabad, 5 from Nawada, 7 from Bhagalpur, 5 from Banka, 4 from Jamui, 8 from Sitamarhi, 1 from Shivhar, 10 from Madhubani, 5 from Supaul, 7 from Purnia, 6 from Araria, Along with 7 seats of Katihar and 4 seats of Kishanganj, 12 assembly seats of East Champaran and 9 assembly seats of West Champaran are included.

List of main assembly seats

• Gayaji: Belaganj, Gaya Town, Bodh Gaya, Tikari, Sherghati, Barachatti (SC), Attri, Imamganj (SC), Guruva, Wazirganj.
• Kaimur: Chainpur, Mohania, Bhabua, Ramgarh
• Rohtas: Nokha, Dehri, Karakat, Karghar, Sasaram, Chenari, Dinara
• Aurangabad: Goh, Obra, Navinagar, Kutumba, Aurangabad, Rafiganj
• Arwal: Arwal, Kurtha
• Jehanabad: Jehanabad Sadar, Makhdumpur (SC), Ghosi
• Nawada: Hisua, Nawada, Govindpur, Warsaliganj, Rajauli (SC)
• Bhagalpur: Bihpur, Gopalpur, Peerpainti (SC), Kahalgaon, Bhagalpur, Sultanganj, Nathnagar.
• Banka: Banka, Amarpur, Katoria (ST), Dhoraiya (SC), Belhar.
• Jamui: Sikandra (SC), Jamui, Jhajha, Chakai

Voting will be held on a total of 55 seats in Mithilanchal and Seemanchal also. The seats of Sitamarhi, Shivhar, Madhubani, Supaul, Purnia, Araria, Katihar and Kishanganj will be decisive for these regional voters. 21 seats of East and West Champaran belt of Champaran belt are also included in this phase.

The biggest challenge for NDA

In this phase, NDA’s challenge is the biggest, especially BJP is under pressure to save its seats. At the same time, Jitan Ram Manjhi and Chirag Paswan also have to prove themselves in their strong areas. For the grand alliance, RJD and Congress will try to show signs of returning to power. The Grand Alliance had 50 out of 66 seats on these seats in 2020, while BJP won 42 seats, JDU won 20 and MGP/Jitan Ram Manjhi’s party won four seats.

Owaisi and other regional parties

Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM has strengthened its influence by winning five seats in Seemanchal and this time too it is eyeing about 19 seats, where Muslim voters are more than 30%. Other parties like CPI-MALE, BSP and independent candidates are also participating in this election.

Political parties intensified campaigning

Political parties have intensified the campaign for this phase. The Grand Alliance has mainly focused on the seats of Seemanchal and Mithilanchal, while the NDA has shown its strength on the UP-Border and Champaran belt. The administration has also made special arrangements for security on the day of voting and to make the election process systematic.

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The manifestos of both the ruling alliance party NDA and the opposition Grand Alliance have been released for the Bihar Assembly elections 2025. The government and the opposition have made a series of promises for the people of Bihar. Now the public wants to know which of the two parties has made more attractive promises to the voters.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Who talked about more employment?

NDA’s manifesto promises to provide 1 crore+ government jobs and employment. It has been promised to provide skill-based employment by conducting skill census and to establish Bihar as a global skilling center through mega skill centers in every district. Life insurance of Rs 4 lakh has been promised to auto-taxi-e-rickshaw drivers. Collateral free vehicle loan will be given to gig workers, auto-taxi-e-rickshaw drivers at the lowest interest rate.

At the same time, in the manifesto of the Grand Alliance, a promise has been made to give a government job to one member of the family. It has been claimed that after the formation of the government, the youth will start getting jobs within 20 months. Apart from this, the existing daily wage of Rs 255 under MNREGA will be increased to Rs 300 immediately. Labor census will be done.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Where is the greater benefit for women?

In the resolution letter of NDA, it has been promised to provide assistance of up to Rs 2 lakh to women under the ‘Chief Minister Women Employment’ scheme and to make one crore women ‘Lakhpati Didi’.
The Grand Alliance has promised in its manifesto that all Jeevika CM (Community Mobilisers) Didis will be made permanent and will be given the status of government employees. His salary will be fixed at Rs 30,000 per month. Under the Mai-Bahin Maan Yojana, women will be given financial assistance of ₹ 2,500 per month from December 1.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Who made big promises for the extremely backward classes?

NDA has claimed that assistance of Rs 10 lakh will be given to various business groups of extremely backward class. A high level committee will be formed under the chairmanship of a retired judge of the Supreme Court, which will assess the social and economic condition of different castes of the most backward class. All Scheduled Caste students studying in higher educational institutions will be given Rs 2,000 every month for the welfare of Scheduled Caste category, residential schools in every subdivision and special venture funds will be established for entrepreneurs.

The manifesto of the Grand Alliance promises that the law passed by the Legislature to increase the reservation limit of 50% in proportion to the population will be sent to the Central Government for inclusion in the Ninth Schedule of the Constitution.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Who is ahead in the promise of free electricity?

NDA has promised to provide 125 units of free electricity. At the same time, the Grand Alliance has claimed that every family will be given 200 units of electricity free of cost.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Who focuses more on education in Bihar?

NDA has promised that free quality education will be provided in Bihar from KG to PG. World class ‘Education City’ will be established and major district schools will be revamped with Rs 5000 crore.

On the other hand, the Grand Alliance promises that forms and examination fees for competitive examinations will be abolished and free travel facility will be provided to and from the examination centre. Apart from this, women’s colleges will be established in every sub-division.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Which alliance will benefit the poor class more?

Under the ‘Panchamrit’ guarantee, NDA will provide free ration, 125 units of free electricity, free treatment up to Rs 5 lakh, 50 lakh new permanent houses and social security pension to the poor.

The Grand Alliance has promised to provide gas cylinders to poor families for Rs 500. This is also a successfully tried move of Congress in many states. Apart from this, this time it has also been promised to give tablets to all the poor students of class 8-12th.

NDA vs Mahagathbandhan: Where will farmers benefit more?

In the manifesto of NDA, it has been said that by starting Karpoori Thakur Kisan Samman Nidhi, farmers will be given a total benefit of Rs 3000 per year, Rs 9000. Investment of Rs 1 lakh crore in agri-infrastructure and purchase of all major crops (paddy, wheat, pulses, maize) at MSP at Panchayat level. Will establish 5 mega food parks, double agricultural exports, achieve self-sufficiency in pulses production by 2030.

In the manifesto of the Grand Alliance, it has been promised to implement Farmer Insurance Scheme along with Crop Insurance Scheme. A promise has also been made to establish Makhana processing industry.

Bihar Assembly elections 2025 are to be held at the end of this year and the results will decide which party will occupy the state’s power next five years. Two big surveys Lok Pol and S India have presented interesting results in heating up the electoral atmosphere. Both the survey shows a thorn competition between the NDA and the Grand Alliance, while Prashant Kishore’s party Jansuraj also seems to be successful in making its place among the voters.

According to the Lok Pol survey, the Grand Alliance can get 118 to 126 seats, while the NDA is estimated to get 105 to 114 seats. Other parties are expected to get 2 to 5 seats. 122 seats are necessary for the majority, and in this context, the grand alliance seems to be approaching the majority. In terms of vote share, the grand alliance is also seen at 39–42% and NDA 38–41%. Although the difference is low, the grand alliance may get an edge in the mathematics of seats.

Impact of Muslim voters on Purnia seats

The S India Survey has presented the area -wise picture. The grand alliance may get an edge due to the influence of Muslim voters in 24 seats of Purnia, while the NDA is expected to hold the hold. NDA can perform better than last time on 26 seats of Magadha, while the grand alliance may lag behind. The NDA is seen in a strong position in 22 seats in Bhojpur. Both major coalitions can benefit in 12 seats of Bhagalpur, but the impact of Jan Suraj is also gradually emerging.

Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party

Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party can prove to be a new factor in this election. Although the number of seats may be limited, the increase in vote share can affect the strategy of large parties. Overall, the Lok Pol survey shows the grand alliance further, while the S India survey tells the position of NDA better in some areas. It is clear that this time the election will be very hard and thorn. Every seat is important in the politics of Bihar and the performance of small parties can also affect the results.

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