The election campaign for Bihar Assembly elections will end at 6 pm today (4 November). Before this, an opinion poll has come out to understand the pulse of the people of Bihar. In this, people’s opinion was sought regarding which leader is their choice for the post of CM. People have given their opinion in this.

How many people like Nitish Kumar as CM?

According to MATRIZE-IANS opinion poll, Nitish Kumar is the people’s first choice as CM. According to the survey, 46 percent people want Nitish Kumar to become the Chief Minister again. Whereas RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav has become the second choice as CM in the opinion of people. 15 percent people have given their opinion about Tejashwi Yadav as CM.

What is your opinion about Chirag Paswan and Prashant Kishore?

Union Minister and LJP (Ram Vilas) chief Chirag Paswan has been liked by 8 percent of the people as the Chief Minister of Bihar. According to this survey, 8 percent people have also named Jansuraj Party founder Prashant Kishore as their first choice as CM. Apart from this, 4 percent people have named Bihar Deputy CM and BJP leader Samrat Chaudhary as their first choice as Chief Minister.

First choice as CM (Source MATRIZE-IANS)

• Nitish Kumar- 46 percent
• Tejashwi Yadav – 15 percent
• Chirag Paswan – 8 percent
• Prashant Kishore – 8 percent
• Samrat Choudhary – 4 percent

Who will get how many seats? (Source MATRIZE-IANS)

According to MATRIZE-IANS opinion poll, NDA is expected to get maximum 153-164 seats. At the same time, according to this survey, the grand alliance can get 76-87 seats. Apart from this, Prashant Kishore’s Jansuraj Party may get 1-3 seats. At the same time, Asaduddin Owaisi’s party AIMIM may get 1-2 seats. Whereas others may get 0-4 seats. Voting for 243 assembly seats in Bihar is to be held in two phases on 6th and 11th November, while the counting of votes will take place on 14th November.

(Disclaimer: For the Bihar Assembly elections, opinion poll has been conducted by MATRIZE-IANS, POLSTRAT-PEOPLE’S INSIGHT and CHANAKYA STRATEGIES. This opinion poll has been prepared on the basis of conversations with the people of Bihar. For this, people were talked to on all 243 seats of Bihar. The margin of error in the results of the opinion poll is plus minus 3 percent. This opinion poll was not conducted by abp news. is.)

As the Bihar Assembly elections are approaching, the political turmoil has intensified and the JVC survey that came in the meantime has further increased the political temperature. In this survey, Grand Alliance’s CM candidate Tejashwi Yadav has emerged as the most liked Chief Minister face, while the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is left behind in the popularity contest. Prashant Kishore and Chirag Paswan, who are contesting the elections for the first time, have also made their place in the list of people’s choices.

Tejashwi Yadav is at the forefront in CM choice

According to JVC poll, 33% people have chosen Tejashwi Yadav as the Chief Minister. After him is Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, who was liked by 29% people. After this, 10% each considered Chirag Paswan and Prashant Kishore suitable for the post of Chief Minister. 9% people described Deputy Chief Minister Samrat Chaudhary as their favorite CM.

In the survey, 5% voters believe that some other face from the Grand Alliance can become the Chief Minister, while 4% people expressed confidence in some other BJP leader. According to the report of Times Now, this survey was conducted between October 23 and October 30. During this period, opinions were taken from 32,657 people through both phone calls and direct interviews.

NDA has lead in seat estimates
Popularity may be in favor of Tejashwi Yadav, but NDA is ahead in the probable figures of seats. According to the survey- NDA can get 120 to 140 seats. The grand alliance is expected to have between 93 to 112 seats. The majority figure in Bihar Assembly is 122 seats.

potential seats
NDA-
BJP: 70 to 81 seats, JDU: 42 to 48 seats, LJP (Ram Vilas): 5 to 7 seats.

Grand alliance-
RJD (contesting 143 seats): 69 to 78 seats, Congress: 9 to 17 seats.

Overall, the latest surveys show that while Tejashwi Yadav remains the voters’ first choice for the post of Chief Minister, NDA’s position appears to be stronger in the seat estimates. Although this is just a survey, the picture will be clear only after the results of Bihar assembly elections on November 14.

Bihar Assembly Elections 2025: Preparations for Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have intensified. There is a discussion in the political corridors that this time the match can be triangular-NDA, Grand Alliance and Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party. Recently, five big opinion polls have emerged, in which Nitish Kumar and BJP alliance are seeing an edge and some wave of Tejashwi Yadav.

Prashant Kishore’s party is also seen getting some seats for the first time. In such a situation, the question is, who will finally win Nitish Kumar’s experienced politics, Tejashwi Yadav’s youth power or new political style of PK.

JVC Survey: Majority to NDA

The JVC survey shows Nitish Kumar and BJP alliance getting majority. JDU is likely to get 52 to 58 seats, BJP 66 to 77 and other allies are expected to get 13 to 15 seats. Overall, NDA can get 131 to 150 seats. The Grand Alliance is seen getting 81 to 103 seats, RJD 57 to 71, Congress 11 to 14 and others 13 to 18 seats. Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraj Party can get 4 to 6 seats. In the case of CM, Nitish Kumar is seen with 27%, Tejashwi Yadav 25%, Prashant Kishore 15%, Chirag Paswan 11%and Emperor Chaudhary with 8%vote share.

Public Survey: Grand Alliance edge

In the Lokpol survey, the grand alliance has been given an edge over the NDA. In this, NDA is seen getting 105 to 114 seats and the Grand Alliance is getting 118 to 126 seats. The grand alliance is also slightly ahead with 39-42% vote and NDA 38-41% votes in vote share. Others are expected to get 12-16% votes. This survey indicates that if the public gives importance to the anti-incumbency factor, then Nitish Kumar and BJP may find it difficult.

C-Voter Survey: Tejashwi Yadav is the most popular

In the C-Voter survey, the public has described Tejashwi Yadav as the most popular leader. As CM face, Public’s inclination is showing 36%, Nitish Kumar 16%, Chirag Paswan 10% and Emperor Chaudhary 7%. The name of Prashant Kishore is not included in this survey, that is, the public is still not considering him as the first choice.

Spick Media Network Survey: NDA to overwhelming majority

In the survey of Spick Media Network, NDA seems to get 158 ​​seats (46% vote share) and the Grand Alliance is getting 66 seats (41% vote share). Jan Suraj Party is seeing 0 seats (8% vote share). Tejashwi Yadav as CM face is 30.5%, Nitish Kumar 27.4%, Prashant Kishore 13% and Chirag Paswan 12% vote share. PK may not get much benefit in seats, but their popularity is increasing.

Ascendia Survey: Area -wise equation

The Ascendia survey collected data from 18 districts and 9 administrative units of Bihar. NDA 12, Grand Alliance 7 and other 5 seats can be found in Purnia region. NDA 6 and Grand Alliance are seen getting 20 seats in Magadh region. NDA 2, Grand Alliance 19 and other 1 seats can be found in Bhojpur region. NDA 9 and Grand Alliance are seen getting 15 seats in Saran region. In this survey, the Jan Suraj Party has been described as strong in some places.

Mixed result of five poles

If all five opinion polls are seen, it is clear that the competition is tough. JVC and Spick Survey are showing NDA government, while Lokpol and C-Voter are giving an edge to the Grand Alliance. Prashant Kishore’s party has not been able to show more than 5-6 seats in any major survey, but the popularity of PK is increasing rapidly as CM option. Overall, this time the electoral battle in Bihar is going to be very exciting. Nitish Kumar’s experience, Tejashwi Yadav’s youth strength and new politics of PK – the competition of three will maintain the thrill till the final results.

Bihar Assembly Election 2025 Opinion Poll: Before this year’s assembly elections in Bihar, a shocking figure has been revealed in the Poll Tracker opinion poll. According to the survey, Rahul Gandhi has emerged as the most popular leader among the youth of the state.

In this survey, the youth were asked who is their favorite national leader? In response, 47% of the youth took the name of Rahul Gandhi, while Prime Minister Narendra Modi got 39% votes. Other leaders got the remaining 14% votes.

Combat between NDA and Grand Alliance

The political stir has intensified in Bihar in the end of this year. Once again, the competition is going to be between the NDA and the Grand Alliance, but this time the equations are changed.

CM Nitish came back to NDA and returned to NDA

In January 2024, CM Nitish Kumar left the Grand Alliance and returned to the NDA. This caused a new twist in state politics. BJP and JDU together this time again making Nitish Kumar the Chief Minister’s face and are entering the field. At the same time, Tejashwi Yadav can take charge of the grand alliance on behalf of the opposition.

Congress may come in a decisive role in Bihar

According to the Poll Tracker survey, Rahul Gandhi’s popularity among the youth of Bihar has increased and he has emerged as the first choice of 47% youth. With this, the Congress hopes that this time it can come in a decisive role, not just the assistant party. However, the Congress is still not able to clarify the situation regarding the face of the Chief Minister’s post, due to which there is a strategic confusion in the Grand Alliance.

This party may play an important role in Bihar elections

Prashant Kishore has established his Jan Suraj Party (JSP) as a strong option for Bihar assembly elections 2025. His party may play an important role in the upcoming Bihar elections. In Bihar, this party is also seen as the third option.

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