IMF on Pakistan Economy: The economic plight of the neighboring country Pakistan is no longer hidden from anyone. The economy of neighboring country Pakistan has been facing serious crisis for a long time due to continuously increasing debt, falling currency, inflation and sharp decline in investment. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest assessment has once again presented the real situation of Pakistan before the world.

IMF exposed

According to the IMF, Pakistan may have achieved short-term stability, but its economy is still badly affected by serious factors such as heavy debt pressure, weak investment climate and sluggish employment growth. This report came out when IMF announced to release a new installment of about 1.2 billion dollars to Pakistan.

The IMF estimates that Pakistan’s economic growth could reach 3.2 percent in 2025-26, which is slightly better than 2.6 percent in the previous fiscal year, but this growth is almost equal to the population growth rate of Pakistan’s population of more than 240 million — about 2.55 percent.

slow pace of per capita income

In such a situation, the pace of economic improvement on the basis of per capita income appears to be very slow. At present, Pakistan’s per capita income is around $1,677, which shows a situation of economic stagnation rather than stability.

At the same time, the severe inflation of 23.4 percent in 2023-24 has definitely come down to 4.5 percent in 2024-25, but IMF estimates that it may increase to 6.3 percent in 2025-26. Rapid population growth, limited resources and political instability are deepening Pakistan’s economic challenges, making the country’s financial revival look extremely difficult.

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India’s GDP has once again done wonders. According to the data of the National Statistical Office, in the second quarter (July-September) of the financial year 2025-26, India’s economy has performed better than expected and recorded a strong growth rate of 8.2 percent. India’s performance is being discussed in Pakistan also. Pak expert Tahir Gora has congratulated India for this and expressed embarrassment over the condition of his country.

Tahir Gora said that India is developing at a growth rate of 8.2 percent and Pakistan is counting how many operations were conducted against terrorism. He said that Pakistani Army spokesperson is saying that from November 4 to November 28, 4,910 operations were conducted against terrorism. Tahir Gora said that see the difference between the two countries that India is noting its growth rate at a record level with 8.2 percent and Pakistan is counting terrorism related operations.

He said, ‘The whole world is surprised to see this growth rate of India. US President Donald Trump had said that India’s economy is dead and India’s leader of opposition Rahul Gandhi was also saying that yes our economy is far behind, but now the whole world and even the Indians themselves are surprised to see this figure.

Tahir Gora said that Indians were expecting that even if the growth rate is around 6.7 percent then it is a big thing, even then it is more than the whole world, but India comes at a growth rate of 8.2 and here the spokesperson of Pakistani Army is counting the operations against terrorism. He said, ‘I was telling repeatedly that I was not able to count these operations. I thought this figure would be in hundreds, yet I was not able to count them. Now the Army spokesperson says that 4,910 operations were conducted i.e. hundreds of operations were being conducted in a day. These are the circumstances.

Tahir Gora said that two couplets are coming to his mind on this condition of Pakistan. These couplets are by Punjabi Urdu poet Baba Abeer Abbu Zari of Pakistan. These are the couplets – ‘Every day there are explosions in some cities, there is continuous chaos in my country. We did not even invent anything, their wonders are visible continuously. These are the couplets that Pakistanis can sing.

Tahir Gora said, ‘Congratulations for India’s growth rate of 8.2 percent and it is beyond my understanding as to what I should congratulate Pakistan for. Should I congratulate him for the calculations he is making?

Indian economy: us President Donald Trump Heavy of-Barkam Tariff on India’s economic status Worry Has born All Indians fear that America’s tariff policy will not slow down the pace of economic development of India. Many about India Reports Has come, which have answers to all these questions and They It is that these tariffs are not going to have any effect on India’s development. Recently global counseling company EY A report issued that India said to the purchase power equality by the year 2038 (Ppp) Based on it can become the second largest economy in the world.

EY Before Goldman Sachs Also has released a report on the economies of India and Pakistan, in which it was told that when India becomes the second largest economy in the world, Pakistan will be at number six and both will be at number six. GDP There will be a difference of more than four times. India is the fourth largest economy in the world today, but in a few years it will reach third and second place. At the same time, Pakistan is at number 41.

Presentation

• Of India GDP: 4.187 Trillion Dollar
• Pakistan’s GDP: 377 Billion Dollar
• India’s economy is about 9 times bigger than Pakistan

Estimation of years to come
Goldman Sachs According to the report, by 2075, India will be the second largest economy in the world after China. At that time of India GDP 52.5 Trillion Will reach the dollar. Pakistan 12.3 compared to this Trillion Will be at number six with the dollar economy.

Pakistan will take 30 to reach India’s level today-35 Year
According to the report, Pakistan’s current GDP (4.1 Trillion It will take 30 to 35 years to reach the dollar) itself. Pakistan’s by 2050 GDP 3.3 Trillion Dollar and 6.1 by 2060 Trillion It is estimated to reach the dollar. That is, it is clear that even in the next 50 to 70 years, Pakistan will not be able to match India financially.

This year, India has left Japan behind and has come at number four. Many reports have estimated that by 2028 India will also lead Germany and will reach the third number. At present, the world’s largest economy is America, then China, Germany, India and Japan.

Pakistan Economic Survey Report 2024-25: The Economic Survey Report of the Government of Pakistan is giving 2024-25 testimony of what bad state the country is in. At present, a total loan of Rs 76,000 billion has been loaded on the country, including Rs 51,500 billion from domestic banks and Rs 24,500 billion rupees. In this way, a loan of more than three lakh rupees has been felt on every Pakistani citizen. Despite such a terrible situation, the Government of Pakistan and the army are busy with efforts to surround India, while the citizens of their country themselves are struggling for bread, electricity, gas and jobs on the ground.

Pakistan Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has claimed that the country’s economy is in recovery mode and by 2025 GDP growth will reach 2.7%. Pakistan’s GDP growth was -0.2% in 2023. The country’s debt is more than two-thirds of GDP. Due to this, a large part of the annual income is being spent only in paying interest. Export is $ 27.3 billion, while import $ 48.6 billion is not a recovery, but a mere cycle of debt.

IMF and economic ‘Sanjeevani’ depended on foreign countries
Even though there may have been a slight increase in Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves ($ 16.64 billion), most of it is the result of a loan taken from IMF, World Bank, and Saudi-Amirat. There is a plan to privatize 24 government companies at the behest of IMF. This has claimed to reduce the loss of 800 billion rupees annually, but it is going to fall in the coming time, the country’s employment declines, expensive services prices and a burden on the common man.

Anti-India stance tried to raise ego in poverty
When the government and army of Pakistan do not have the policy and resources to handle their country, they are still increasing the army in POK. Trying to discredit India on international forums. Busy in conspiracy and rhetoric against India, all this is only a political show so that the attention of the people can be diverted from inflation, unemployment and economic plight.

Pakistan GDP: Pakistan puts the entire strength to increase stress from India instead of strengthening the economy of its country. Whatever money he gets from the IMF or other global agencies for the good of his people, he spends it in spreading the propaganda against India. This is the reason that Pakistan’s financial condition is not improving despite a lot of love. The government itself is doing this.

The current Shahbaz government there has admitted that the target of Pakistan’s GDP growth which was set 3.6 percent, now it can decrease to the rate of 2.7 percent in the financial year ending in June 2025. However, last year this growth rate was 2.5 percent.

GDP will be less than expected

This information has been given by the Government of Pakistan in the Economic Survey on Monday, a day before the federal budget there. The target of GDP growth was kept by 3.6 percent by the government there, which reduced to 2.7 percent last month. The GDP hike speed for FY 2025 was estimated by the IMF to increase 2.6 percent for FY 2025 and 3.6 percent for FY 2026.

No benefit of taking steps

All efforts are being made by the Government of Pakistan to speed up its decaying economy. Pakistan’s central bank had cut the policy interest rate by more than 100 basis points in the current financial year to increase the economic speed. After recent cuts, it has reached 11 percent, which had come up to 22 percent earlier.

Significantly, Pakistan is constantly increasing its defense spending rapidly. On the one hand, where the poverty rate has increased considerably there, on the other hand, in the report that came in the past, it was told that more than one crore population in Pakistan can reach below the poverty line this year.

In such a situation, Pakistan, which is passing the period of Kangali, should put all the strength on its sinking economy, but by not doing so, it remains in conspiracy against India. According to a report, it has been told by Pakistan that its total debt will reach 76,007 billion Pakistan rupees i.e. 76 trillion by 31 March 2025. This is the highest debt in history so far. This debt of Pakistan has doubled in the last four years.

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Pakistan action on beggars: A large number of people from Pakistan go to begging in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar and other Gulf countries, this has become well known and due to this, it has also been very much troubled in international level. In such a situation, taking strict action to Pakistani beggars, the Gulf country is denying them. The countries that have taken these action include Muslim countries like Qatar, Oman, Iraq, Malaysia. The Shahbaz government of Pakistan, which is suffering internationally, has announced to take action against the deputed beggars.

The Shahbaz Sharif government has announced to cancel the passports of Pakistani beggars deployed from other countries including the Gulf. Apart from this, the government will also impose travel ban on all of them for five years and has also decided to register an FIR against all those people. A report revealed that Saudi Arabia, called the stronghold of Islam, deployed more than 5,000 beggars from the country in the last 16 months. Apart from this, Saudi also heard Pakistan very well with beggars.

Shahbaz government will take action on beggars

In this regard, Pakistani officials said that action will be taken against 7,873 beggars deployed in the next parliamentary meeting. All these beggars have been submitted from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Oman between 2019 and 2025, who have been part of an international begging syndicate.

Pakistan is running on the loan of IMF and ADB

People of Pakistan go to countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran and Iraq on the pretext of performing Haj and they start begging as soon as they reach there. Pakistan, which is suffering due to beggars, is now hesitant to issue visas to Pakistanis.

Despite so much trouble internationally, the government of Shahbaz Sharif of Pakistan has not taken any step so far, because the truth is that these beggars play an important role in the DGP of Pakistan. Pakistani Defense Minister Khwaja Asif recently said that around 2.2 crore Pakistani begs, who support 42 billion Pakistani rupees every year in Pakistan’s economy. In addition to the begging of beggars, the Shahbaz government is dependent on the IMF’s bailout package or UMF donation to run Pakistan’s economy.

Pakistan’s economy is again in trouble. While the new loan has passed from the IMF on one side, on the other hand the government has reduced the estimate of this year’s GDP growth. All this is happening when the situation on the border with India remains tense. In such a situation, Economic Experts believe that Pakistan’s economic situation may be even more crispy in the coming days.

GDP growth estimates reduced

Pakistan Bureau of Statistics announced on Tuesday that GDP growth in the current financial year is now expected to be 2.68 percent. Whereas earlier the government had set a target of 3.6 percent. This figure is only slightly better than last year’s 2.5 percent growth. This means that the condition of the economy did not improve.

IMF Terms and Global Recession

Bloomberg’s report states that this decline has come due to strict conditions of IMF and global economic lethargy. Both IMF and Asian Development Bank have cut Pakistan’s economic growth estimates. Between January and March 2024, the economy gained 2.4 percent, which is much less than the target.

Crisis on textile and agriculture sector

Pakistan’s economy is largely dependent on textile and agricultural exports. But under the new trade policy of America, a tariff of 29 percent has been imposed on many products, which has affected the trade balance of Pakistan.

Indo-Pak stress increased IMF concern

After the death of 26 people in the terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Kashmir on 22 April, the tension in Indo-Pak relations increased again. Due to this, the IMF also expressed concern about “Reputational Risk”.

In an IMF internal document (May 7), it was said that increasing stress between Indo-Pak could shock Pakistan’s economic reform schemes. The report said that if the IMF fund is misused or its fairness is questioned, then it can harm the credibility of the fund.

IMF passed a loan of $ 2.4 billion

Despite all these concerns, the IMF approved the loan of $ 2.4 billion to Pakistan in a meeting held in Washington on 9 May. But the condition is that Pakistan will have to implement strict economic reforms. In the coming time, the government of Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif is going to present a new budget on June 2. In such a situation, it will be interesting to see how they create a balance between the terms of IMF, falling growth and regional tensions.

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India vs Pakistan Economy: There is an atmosphere of tension between India and Pakistan after the terrorist attack on April 22 in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir. In view of this, India has taken many strict steps and banned trade with Pakistan. At the same time, Pakistan has also announced not to do business with India.

A lot of difference between the economy of both countries

There has never been such a big economic gap in both countries before. Till years ago, there have been some economic areas in which Pakistan has been ahead of India, while today Pakistan is behind India among many major economic indicators.

Whether it is about GDP growth or per capita income or inflation or until employment is generated, India has moved forward with constant reforms and strong economic performance, while Pakistan is struggling with stagnation and instability. On the one hand, there is a competition to expand its influence between the two countries, but only India is, which is constantly moving forward financially and has managed to leave its indelible impression on the global stage.

India surpasses Pakistan

According to the IMF data, India has made strong economic progress in the last few decades in terms of per capita GDP. In the year 2000, Pakistan’s per capita GDP was $ 733, which was much higher than India’s $ 442. This shows that during that time Pakistan’s per capita average economic production was stronger than India.

However, in recent years this result was reversed and India progressed rapidly in per capita average economic production. India’s per capita GDP increased to $ 2,711 in 2014 to $ 2,711 in 2014, which shows the growth of 74 % in the last 10 years.

Whereas during this time, Pakistan’s per capita GDP starts from $ 1424 in 2014 and increases only to $ 1,581 by 2024. That is, in ten years, it has increased by only 11 percent.

Big gap in GDP of both countries

Similarly, in 2000, India’s GDP was $ 468 billion, whose contribution in global GDP was 1.37 percent. At the same time, Pakistan’s GDP was $ 99 billion in 2000. His share in the global GDP was 0.29 percent in 2000. India’s economic growth has taken place rapidly in these ten years from 2014 to 2024.

India’s GDP has almost doubled from $ 2,039 billion in 2014 to $ 3,909 billion in 2024, showing a growth of 92 %. Similarly, India’s stake in global GDP increased from 2.55 percent to 3.54 percent, which is a sign of a strong role in the world economy.

Whereas during this time, Pakistan’s GDP could reach only 373 billion dollars from $ 271 billion. This reflects the growth of 37 percent. This stake in Global GDP remained at 0.34 percent. India’s annual GDP growth rate was 6.8 percent between 2015 and 2025.

Despite Corona epidemic in 2020, India made a strong comeback in 2021 with a growth rate of 9.7 percent in 2021 and 9.2 percent in 2023. While Pakistan’s GDP growth rate was just 3.43 percent.

India ahead in terms of employment

Looking at the employment angle, the unemployment rate in India was 8.9 percent in 2018, which is relatively high. Estimated by 2025, it has declined by 4.9 percent. This shows that the job market here has continued to improve. At the same time, the unemployment rate in Pakistan increased even more than 5.8 % in 2018 to 8 percent in 2025.

In 2015, 4.9 percent and in 2024, with a rate of 4.7 percent, inflation was under control in India. At the same time, there has been a surge in inflation in Pakistan. It increased from 4.5 percent to 23.4 percent in 2024 in 2015, indicating an atmosphere of economic stress and instability in Pakistan.

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Pahalgam Attack Hits Pakistan Economy: Pakistan is already immersed in heavy debt. Pakistan’s economy, which reached the verge of bankruptcy from 2022, was now slowly coming on track. The reason for this is on the one hand, while in March this year, the IMF approved it for a loan of $ 2 billion, according to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, inflation fell to 0.7 percent.

This was the biggest decline in inflation in Pakistan in the last nearly three decades, which is indicating an economic recovery after reaching a record level of about 38 percent in May of 2023.

In such a situation, the attack in Pahalgam in Jammu and Kashmir is going to prove to be suicidal for the economy of Pakistan coming on track. After this terrorist attack, India has announced to take many such steps, including cancellation of the Indus Water Agreement, which may face a huge economic crisis and can cause its economy to be bothered.

Suicide steps for Pahalgam Pakastan

The Government of India announced to stop bilateral trade after the Pahalgam attack as well as cut diplomats, cancel the SAARC visa and put a brake on the Indus Water Agreement. India’s move is expected to put more pressure on Pakistan’s fragile economy before.

A report by the recently which has been said that in this financial year, there will be a crisis of hunger in Pakistan in front of about one crore people. In such a situation, information about further deterioration of Pakistan’s economy, which is already struggling with tightness, is expressing apprehension. In addition, Pakistan’s inflation may also increase. The central bank of Pakistan hopes that the average inflation of the country in the financial year on June 2025 may remain between 5.5 per cent to 7.5 per cent.

Rice getting 340 rupees

According to reports, the prices of vegetables, fruits, flour-rice and other food and drink in Pakistan are touching the sky. Rice has reached about Rs 340 per kg while the price of chicken has come to Rs 800. In such a situation, the economic situation of India and Pakistan is being raised and the possibility of becoming serious.

On the one hand, while the AMF report released on April 22 has been estimated by 3 percent to 2.6 percent of Pakistan’s GDP growth, the World Bank report states that the poor climate situation can cause damage to the major crops like rice and maize and this will affect the people living in rural areas.

The things that Pakistan exported to India has chemicals, philosophers, medicines, churning feeds and dry fruits. In such a situation, due to the ban on business, there will be a huge shortage of these things in Pakistan and this will directly affect the lives of the people there.

Ax on your feet

After the Pahalgam attack, Pakistan is engaged in hurting its economy in every way and is hitting an ax on its leg. Now Pakistan has stopped its aircraft for Indian aircraft and by doing so it has stopped earning crores of dollars. Reports tell that after the Pulwama attack in 2019, he took a similar step and had damaged about 100 million Dr.ul. During that time around 400 flights were affected daily. Due to this, Pakistan’s Civil Aviation Authority and Pakistan International Airlines suffered a lot of economic loss.