Puducherry Exit Poll 2026: Different exit polls that have emerged regarding the elections for the 30-member Puducherry Assembly are now pointing towards a common trend. In the integrated analysis of ‘Poll of Polls’, NDA seems to be emerging with a clear lead. The majority figure in the 30-seat assembly is 16 and most of the surveys seem to be taking the NDA beyond this figure.

Strong position of NDA

If we look at the data of three major agencies Axis My India, Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll, NDA’s position appears strong. According to Axis My India, NDA may get 16 to 20 seats, taking it close to or above the majority. Peoples Pulse also shows NDA in the range of 16 to 20 seats, while Praja Poll, giving the highest estimate, is taking NDA to 19 to 25 seats. The average of these three surveys indicates that NDA is in a position to form the government in Puducherry.

Congress alliance behind, but hope remains

On the other hand, the Congress-led alliance seems to be lagging behind in these projections. Axis My India gives it 6 to 8 seats, while according to Peoples Pulse it may get 10 to 12 seats, which is a slightly better sign for it. Praja Poll’s estimate is between 6 to 10 seats. Overall, the picture looks challenging for the Congress alliance, although some surveys are also showing the possibility of it reaching double digits.

TVK’s limited but significant presence
An interesting aspect in this election is the presence of TVK (Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam). According to Axis My India, it may get 2 to 4 seats, but both Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll do not give it any seat. This indicates that TVK’s impact may be limited and may remain confined to a few selected seats only.

Role of other parties also important
Other parties and independent candidates are expected to get 0 to 3 seats. The numbers may be less, but in a close contest these seats can affect the equation of government formation.

Political analysis: Big impact in small states
There is definitely a difference in the figures of seats in different surveys, but the trend is in the same direction – NDA is close to or ahead of majority. Political experts believe that in small states and union territories, local issues, candidate’s image and the mathematics of fewer seats can change the results rapidly. In such a situation, even a difference of 2-3 seats can change the balance of power.

If we talk about ‘poll of exit polls’ then NDA seems to be getting a clear lead in Puducherry. According to estimates, NDA is in majority with about 18 seats, while Congress seems to be limited to about 9 seats. TVK is expected to get 2 seats and others will get 1 seat, due to which NDA government seems to be formed.