Dollar vs Rupee: The direct effect of international tension is being seen on the Indian currency. On Monday morning, the first trading day of the week, the rupee weakened by 4 paise against the US dollar to 90.24 per dollar. Due to geopolitical uncertainties created by the US intervention in Venezuela, demand for dollars has increased, due to which there is pressure on the rupee.

Rupees weakening due to stress

According to foreign exchange traders, due to global tensions, the rupee may remain weak in the coming days. However, softening of crude oil prices may provide some relief.

On the other hand, the rupee opened at 90.21 in the interbank foreign exchange market and slipped to 90.24 in early trade. Whereas on Friday it fell by 22 paise and closed at 90.20. During this period, the dollar index, which shows the strength of the dollar against six major currencies, increased by 0.36 percent to 98.50.

stock market crash

Weakness was also seen in the domestic stock market, where the 30-point Sensex on BSE was trading 135.81 points down at 85,626.20 in early trade. Whereas, Nifty 50 on NSE also slipped 25.75 points to 26,302.80. Among the 30 Sensex companies, shares of HCL Tech, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Tata Consultancy Services and NTPC saw the biggest decline, while shares of Bharat Electronics, Tata Steel, Axis Bank and Reliance Industries were seen trading with gains.

Talking about Asian markets, South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225 and China’s SSE Composite index were in profit, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index closed with a slight decline. American stock markets closed with a positive trend on Friday, the effect of which was also visible on the global sentiment. Meanwhile, in the international market, Brent crude fell slightly by 0.08 percent and stood at $ 60.70 per barrel. According to stock market data, foreign institutional investors remained buyers on Friday and bought shares worth a net Rs 289.80 crore.

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Rupee vs Dollar: The Indian currency rupee is continuously weakening against the dollar. On Friday, the rupee fell by 22 paise to 90.20 dollars. This means that now you will have to spend more than 90 rupees for one dollar. However, a day before this on Thursday, an increase of six paise was seen in the rupee and with this it reached 89.92 against the US dollar. Due to the increasing demand for the dollar among importers and low liquidity, the dollar is continuously rising against the rupee.

Earlier, public sector banks sold US dollars to RBI, so this helped in controlling the rupee to some extent. But again due to increasing demand among oil importers, the dollar again became stronger against the rupee. At present, the market’s focus remains on currency fluctuations and RBI intervention, which includes FX swaps and liquidity operations.

5% decline in 2025

In the year 2025, the rupee fell by 5 percent against the US dollar, which was its worst performance since 2022. However, SBI has predicted that this is expected to change in 2026. According to a recent report by SBI Funds Management, the currency was under pressure last year due to continuous selling by foreign investors, reduced pace of exports and increased hedging demand from importers.

Foreign investors pulled out about $18 billion from Indian equities citing declining earnings, limited participation in AI-led global growth and better opportunities in other emerging markets. Last year, when the dollar weakened and most global currencies strengthened, the rupee still remained weak due to all these reasons.

Will the situation improve in future?

In the next financial year, the rupee will fall by about 2 percent and the exchange rate will be around 92 against the US dollar. It will be supported by many important factors. SBI said in its report that due to strong service exports and low crude oil prices, India’s current account deficit is likely to be less than 1 percent of GDP. Inflation is expected to remain close to RBI’s target of 4 percent, which will help the currency recover from any major shock.

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Rupee vs Dollar: With the beginning of the new year, the Indian rupee has strengthened. On Friday, January 2, 2026, the last trading day of the week, the rupee rose by six paise to reach 89.92 against the US dollar in early trade. According to Forex traders, the rupee is likely to trade in a tight range as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is actively intervening to save the 90 level. The rupee was supported by a positive trend in domestic stock markets, although continued foreign capital outflows limited this strength to some extent.

Rupee strengthened

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 89.95 per dollar and strengthened during trading to reach 89.92, which is an increase of six paise over the previous closing price. Earlier on Thursday, the rupee had closed at 89.98 per dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which reflects the dollar’s position against six major currencies, fell by 0.15 percent to 98.17, providing some relief to emerging currencies.

Talking about the stock market, there was a bullish atmosphere in the domestic markets. Sensex rose 158.19 points to 85,346.79 points in early trade, while Nifty was seen trading at 26,202.35 points with a gain of 55.8 points. In the international market, Brent crude fell by 0.38 percent and stood at $ 61.08 per barrel. However, selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continued and they sold shares worth a net Rs 3,268.60 crore on Thursday, keeping pressure on the rupee and market sentiment.

Increase in GST collection

Meanwhile, according to government data, gross Goods and Services Tax (GST) collection in the month of December increased by 6.1 percent to more than Rs 1.74 lakh crore. However, due to relatively slow growth of revenue from domestic sales after tax cuts, the pace of GST collection appeared to be somewhat slow.

The gross GST collection in December 2024 was recorded at more than Rs 1.64 lakh crore. The data indicates that consumption remains stable, but revenue growth remains under pressure due to tax rate cuts and limited domestic demand momentum.

Dollar vs Rupee: There is a continuous trend of weakness in the Indian Rupee. Recently, due to the intervention of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), there was some recovery in the rupee, but due to the continuous withdrawal of foreign capital and the slow start of the domestic stock markets, the pressure has increased once again. In early trade on Monday, the rupee fell by 5 paise to 89.95 against the US dollar.

Why is the rupee falling?

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency opened at 89.95 per dollar, which shows a decline compared to the previous closing price. According to forex traders, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have been continuously selling in the Indian stock market for the last few months, which is directly impacting the rupee. On Friday, the rupee had closed at 89.90 against the dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which reflects the dollar’s strength against six major global currencies, stood at 98.00 with a slight decline of 0.02 percent. There was also a rise in the prices of Brent crude oil in the international market and it increased by 0.92 percent to reach $ 61.20 per barrel, which created additional pressure on the rupee due to the fear of increasing import bill.

What do experts say?

Talking about the domestic stock market, in early trading, BSE Sensex was seen trading with a gain of 22.24 points at 85,063.69 points while Nifty was seen trading with a rise of 18.10 points at 26,060.40 points. However, this rise in the market did not prove to be enough to strengthen the rupee. According to stock market data, on Friday, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers and sold shares worth Rs 317.56 crore.

Responding to this, Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, said that if there is a permanent return of foreign investors to the Indian stock market in the coming time, then it can support the rupee. He also said that currently the rupee is among the weakest performing currencies among emerging market and Asian currencies, and the direction of foreign investment inflows will play an important role in determining the further movement of the rupee.

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Rupee vs Dollar: There has been a continuous weakness in the Indian Rupee in recent times and its direct effect seems to be related to the inflow of foreign capital and the trend of domestic stock markets. In early trade on Tuesday, the rupee fell by five paise to 89.73 against the US dollar, whereas earlier it had opened at 89.67.

Why is the rupee falling?

Experts of the foreign exchange market say that on one hand, there is pressure on the market due to continuous selling by foreign institutional investors, on the other hand, sluggishness in the domestic stock markets is also hindering the strengthening of the rupee. However, weakness in the dollar index and fall in international crude oil prices have definitely supported the rupee at lower levels to some extent.

Even on Monday, the rupee could not maintain its initial gains and closed with a slight fall at 89.68 per dollar, where the bullish support in the stock market weakened due to the rise in crude oil prices. During this period, the dollar index, which shows the position of the dollar against six major currencies, fell by 0.20 percent to 98.08, but despite this, the weakness in the domestic markets continued to dominate the rupee.

What do experts say

Talking about the stock market, Sensex fell 116.57 points to 85,450.91 in early trade and Nifty slipped 27.15 points to 26,145.25. At the same time, Brent crude was also seen trading at $ 61.99 per barrel with a slight decline of 0.12 percent. Market data also revealed that foreign institutional investors remained sellers on Monday by selling shares worth a net Rs 457.34 crore, which further increased the pressure on the rupee.

Experts believe that in the coming days, the rupee may get some relief due to weak dollar and possible strength in domestic markets, but due to delay in India-US trade agreement and global uncertainties, there may remain pressure on the upper levels. According to analysts, at present the spot price of dollar-rupee may remain in the range of 89.20 to 89.80 and investors will keep their eyes on other important global economic data including US GDP.

Rupee vs Dollar: Due to uncertainty regarding the India-US trade agreement and continuous withdrawal of foreign capital, pressure on the Indian rupee was clearly visible in early trading on Monday. After this, it fell by nine paise and reached its lowest ever level of 90.58 against the US dollar.

According to foreign exchange market experts, investors are waiting for some concrete signal related to the India-US trade deal, due to which the market remains cautious and the rupee continues to trend weak. In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 90.53 per dollar, but within some time it slipped to the level of 90.58, which shows a decline of nine paise compared to the previous closing price.

Why the fall in rupee?

Earlier on Friday also, the rupee fell by 17 paise and closed at an all-time low of 90.49 per dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar remained a bit soft globally and the dollar index, which reflects the dollar’s strength against six major currencies, declined by 0.05 percent to 98.35.

Pressure was also seen in the domestic stock markets, where in early trade, BSE Sensex fell by 298.86 points to 84,968.80 points, while NSE Nifty slipped by 121.40 points and was seen trading at the level of 25,925.55. There was a slight rise in the prices of crude oil in the international market and Brent crude rose by 0.52 percent to reach $ 61.44 per barrel, which can cause additional pressure for an oil importing country like India.

heavy pressure on rupee

According to stock market data, foreign institutional investors remained sellers on Friday as well and sold shares worth a net Rs 1,114.22 crore, showing deepening pressure not only on the equity market but also on the rupee.

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Rupee vs Dollar: The weakness of the Indian rupee is continuously deepening and this decline is showing no signs of stopping. Despite the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, the rupee has not been able to get any support. On Friday, the last trading day of the week, the rupee once again witnessed a huge fall and it fell by 24 paise and reached a new record low of Rs 90.56 per dollar against the US dollar.

Market experts say that uncertainty regarding India-US trade deal and continuous withdrawal of foreign portfolio investors have put deep pressure on the rupee, due to which investor sentiment remains weak.

Rupee at record low level

According to foreign exchange traders, there has been a sharp rise in the prices of precious metals like gold and silver in the international market, due to which the demand for dollars from importers has suddenly increased. When imports become expensive, companies buy more dollars, due to which the domestic currency comes under further pressure. The rupee opened at 90.43 in the interbank foreign exchange market on Friday, but soon slipped to 90.56. This shows a weakness of 24 paise from the previous closing price.

On Thursday too, there was a huge fall of 38 paise in the rupee and it closed at its lowest ever level of 90.32. At the same time, the dollar index—which reflects the strength of the US dollar against six major global currencies—rose marginally to 98.37, putting additional pressure on the rupee.

The initial trading in the domestic stock market today was positive. Sensex rose by 170 points to 84,988 and Nifty rose by about 98 points to 25,997. Despite the strong opening market, it did not have any significant impact on the rupee.

What do experts say?

Mirae Asset Sharekhan analyst Anuj Chaudhary says that the ongoing uncertainty regarding the India-US trade deal is the biggest reason for the fall of the rupee. Although the rally in the domestic market and weak US dollar tried to limit the decline, investors’ caution still remains. According to Choudhary, the rupee is likely to continue to fluctuate in the coming days, as the delay in the trade agreement between the two countries may increase apprehension in the minds of investors. He estimates that the dollar-rupee exchange rate may remain in the range of 90.10 to 90.75 in the near term. Any intervention by the central bank can support the rupee at lower levels.

Meanwhile, the price of Brent crude oil in the international market increased by 0.67 percent to $ 61.69 per barrel. At the same time, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) made a net sale of shares worth Rs 2,020 crore on Thursday, which increased the selling pressure on the market and had a negative impact on the rupee.

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Rupee vs Dollar: Despite the recent interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed), the fall of the Indian rupee is showing no sign of stopping. Increasing uncertainties in global markets, continuous withdrawal of foreign capital and increasing demand for US dollars from importers have put deep pressure on the rupee. For this reason, the rupee once again opened with a decline in the interbank foreign exchange market on Thursday and fell by 17 paise to reach a low of 90.11 per dollar.

Dollar strength and risk aversion sentiments

According to Forex traders, the risk-off sentiment remains very strong in the market. Global investors are increasingly turning to safe investment options—such as the US dollar and gold. Due to this, the demand for dollars is increasing further, which has created additional pressure on the Indian currency.

Along with this, the weakness seen in domestic stock markets since few sessions and continuous selling by FIIs is deepening the fall of rupee. On Wednesday alone, foreign investors withdrew Rs 1,651.06 crore from the Indian stock market, which is another negative indicator for the local currency.

Rupee starts weak

On Thursday, the rupee opened at 89.95 in the Interbank Foreign Exchange market, but weakened to 90.11 in early trade, making it clear that the demand for the dollar still remains very strong in the market. This level shows a decline of 17 paise compared to the previous closing price i.e. 89.87.

Meanwhile, the dollar index—which measures the US dollar’s strength against six major world currencies—slipped 0.15% to 98.63. Despite this, the Indian Rupee did not see any relief from this.

There was a rise in the domestic stock market in early trading on Thursday. BSE Sensex reached 84,471.42 with a gain of 80.15 points. NSE Nifty 50 was also trading at 25,792.40, up 34.40 points. However, this strength in the equity market failed to support the rupee as foreign capital outflows still continued.

Crude oil and global signals

In the international market, Brent crude stood at $ 62.35 per barrel with a slight increase of 0.22%. Generally, stability in crude oil prices is a sign of relief for the Indian economy and the rupee, but at this time due to global uncertainties and weak investment sentiment, even its positivity does not seem capable of supporting the rupee.

Market experts say that investors are currently keeping an eye on the US-India trade talks. If there are positive signals from these discussions, then the rupee may gain some strength in the coming days. But as long as selling by foreign investors, demand for dollars and global instability continues, the Indian currency will remain under pressure.

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Dollar vs Rupee: The Indian Rupee has fallen to a historic low and has crossed the 90 level against the US Dollar. The rupee fell 10 paise to 90.15 per dollar in early trade on Tuesday. This decline is being seen just before the US Fed’s decision. Apart from this, lack of significant progress so far in the India-US trade deal is also being considered a major reason for the weakness of the rupee.

and broken rupee

US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose new tariffs on Indian agricultural products, especially rice. Along with this, a warning has also been given to impose tariff on Canadian fertilizers. Trump said in the White House that cheap imports are creating problems for American farmers. According to foreign exchange traders, investors have become cautious due to the increasing demand for US dollars.

In the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 90.15, which shows a decline from Monday’s 90.05. Meanwhile, the dollar index fell 0.04% to 99.04. Weakness was also seen in the domestic stock market, where the Sensex opened 381.91 points down at 84,720.78 and later fell by 700 points. Banking, metal and IT stocks have seen the biggest decline.

What do experts say?

On Friday, the rupee ended trading at 89.95 against the US dollar after the RBI cut the repo rate for the first time in 6 months. According to Anuj Chaudhary, Research Analyst, Mirae Asset Sharekhan, the rupee is likely to remain under pressure due to continuous withdrawal of foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and weak domestic markets. He further said that weakness in the dollar may give some support to the rupee at lower levels amid expectations of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Possible intervention by RBI may also provide support to the rupee.

Chaudhary says that the dollar-rupee spot rate can trade in the range of Rs 90.05 to Rs 90.75. At the same time, Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra had said on Friday that the central bank does not set any fixed range for the rupee in the foreign exchange market, but gives the domestic currency the freedom to find its actual level as per the market conditions.

Nifty-50 also slipped 139.55 points to reach 25,821.00. Brent crude fell 0.19% to $ 62.37 per barrel. According to the data, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) remained out of the market on Monday with selling of Rs 655.59 crore.

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Rupee vs Dollar: Indian currency rupee is at its lowest level these days. On Wednesday, the rupee broke the 90 level and reached an all-time low. The biggest reason for this decline in rupee against dollar is the higher demand for dollar against rupee in the market.

Apart from this, continuous selling by foreign investors, geopolitical uncertainty, stalled talks on trade deal can also be held responsible for the fall in the rupee. Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has now given a statement regarding this fall in the rupee. She believes that the Indian currency will find its way amid India’s strong growth outlook.

Rupee must find its own way

Speaking at the 23rd edition of the Hindustan Times Leadership Summit (HTLS), the Finance Minister said, “The rupee will have to find its own path.” The Finance Minister stressed that the debate on currency levels should include current economic realities and not compare them with past situations.

The Finance Minister said, “Look at the fundamentals of the economy, look at the growth. The debate on currency should be decided according to the current reality and not by direct comparison with past situations.”

Assess the strength of the economy: Finance Minister

The Finance Minister further said, “As far as the rupee-dollar exchange rate is concerned, when the value of the currency depreciates, the natural logic is that exporters should take advantage of it. Incidentally, some people say that at the time of US tariffs, it has provided some relief. Even if that is true, I am not entirely satisfied with that explanation – but it is true that the strength of the economy must also be assessed along with it.”

Let us tell you that on December 4, the Indian Rupee fell to its lowest level of 90.46 against the US Dollar, the main reason for which is the delay in the India-US trade deal and the continuous withdrawal of foreign capital from the Indian stock market. The special thing is that when retail inflation is at a record low and GDP growth is above 8 percent, then the weakening of the domestic currency against the dollar is surprising.

What will be the growth of the economy?

In the second quarter, GDP growth reached the highest level in six quarters at 8.2 percent. On the other hand, India’s retail inflation fell to a record low of 0.25 percent in October. The Finance Minister believes that the growth of the Indian economy will continue in the coming times and the overall growth this year (FY26) may be 7 percent or even more.

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