Exit Polls Results 2026: Assembly elections were concluded in four states of the country – Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and a union territory Puducherry – with the second phase of voting in West Bengal on Wednesday (April 29, 2026). As soon as the voting is over, the exit poll data of all the states has come out, in which the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is seen forming the government in two states and one union territory with a clear majority in West Bengal, Assam and Puducherry.

At the same time, according to exit poll data, Congress-led alliance UDF seems to be forming the government in Kerala with absolute majority. Whereas in Tamil Nadu, the alliance led by ruling Chief Minister MK Stalin’s party DMK may once again return to power.

What are the exit poll figures in West Bengal?

This time assembly elections have been conducted in two phases in West Bengal. According to the exit poll data revealed in the survey by poll agencies, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) government, which has been ruling West Bengal for 15 years, seems to be wavering in the elections this time, while the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) can form the government in the state with a clear majority.

• Matrix – BJP may get 146-161 seats, TMC may get 125-140 seats, others may get 6-10 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 150-160 seats for BJP, 130-140 seats for TMC, 6-10 seats for others.
• Praja Polls – BJP 178-208, TMC 85-110, others 0-5 seats.
• Poll Diary – BJP 142-171, TMC 99-127, others 5-9 seats.
• P-Mark – 150-175 seats for BJP, 118-138 seats for TMC, 2-6 seats for others.
• People’s Pulse – BJP may get 95-110, TMC may get 178-189 seats, others may get 1-3 seats.

BJP gets clear majority in Assam, Congress lags behind

According to exit poll data, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma in Assam seems to be returning to power once again. At the same time, the opposition Congress party seems to be lagging behind in this electoral field.

• Matrix – BJP may get 88-98 seats, INC may get 22-32 seats, others may get 3-5 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 85-95 seats for BJP, 25-32 seats for INC, 6-12 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – 86-101 seats for BJP, 15-26 seats for INC, 3-7 seats for others.
• Axis My India – BJP 88-100, INC 24-36, Others 0 seats.

Also read: Assam Exit Poll: NDA’s strong comeback in Assam, Congress defeated in front of Himanta magic

Stalin government returning again in Tamil Nadu?

According to exit poll data, the ruling DMK government of Chief Minister MK Stalin may once again return to power in Tamil Nadu. According to the survey data of Matrice, the opposition AIADMK seems to be giving competition to MK Stalin’s party. Whereas Thalapathy Vijay’s party TVK is expected to get 98-120 seats according to India Today-Axis My India.

• Matrix – DMK 122-132, AIADMK 87-100, TVK 10-12, Others 10-18 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 145-160 seats for DMK, 50-65 seats for AIADMK, 00 for TVK, 18-26 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• Praja Poll – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – DMK 92-110, AIADMK 22-32, TVK 98-120, Others 00 seats.

Congress may get power in Kerala

At the same time, according to exit poll data, this time Congress Party led UDF alliance may get power in Kerala. Whereas the ruling leftist alliance LDF seems to be lagging behind in the election results.

• Matrix – LDF+ 60-65, INC+ 70-75, BJP 00, Others 05-09.
• Chanakya Strategies – LDF+ 58-64, INC+ 72-80, BJP 00, Others 03-07 seats.
• People’s Pulse – LDF+ 55-65, INC+ 75-85, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – LDF+ 49-62, INC+ 78-90, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.

Who is getting majority in Puducherry??

According to exit poll data in the Union Territory of Puducherry, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is forming the government with a majority. Whereas the Congress party seems to be lagging behind in the electoral field.

• Praja Poll – BJP+ 19-25, INC+ 06-08, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – BJP+ may get 16-20, INC+ may get 06-08, others may get 03-07 seats.

Also read: Signs of reshuffle in power in Kerala after 10 years, majority in favor of Congress, what do the data of ‘Poll of Polls’ say

The exit polls of Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026 are pointing towards an extraordinary political moment, where the superstar of the film industry seems to be transforming into a serious political contender. The rise of TVK (Tamilga Vetri Kazhagam) and the popularity of Joseph Vijay Chandrasekhar, popularly known as Thalapathy Vijay, have posed for the first time a concrete challenge to the state’s traditional DMK versus AIADMK politics. This is not just the mathematics of seats, but a sign of change in the narrative of power.

According to Axis My India exit poll, TVK can reach between 98 to 120 seats i.e. close to or above the majority. An even more important indication on the question of leadership is that Vijay has been declared the first choice of 37% of the people as the Chief Minister, which makes him ahead of the current Chief Minister M.K. Keeps ahead of Stalin. This increase shows that Vijay’s image is being accepted beyond that of a ‘star’ to a ‘decisive leader’. If the results confirm these trends, then 2026 could prove to be the turning point in Tamil Nadu politics where ‘The Master’ makes his mark not just on screen but also in the corridors of power.

From stardom to political capital

Vijay’s films have created a socio-political narrative over the years. His films showed the voice against corruption, the fight of the common man, and the courage to confront power. This narrative seemed to be translating into votes in the 2026 elections. Exit polls indicate that his on-screen ‘mass’ appeal has translated into off-screen political support, especially among urban and young voters.

Anti-establishment wave

The politics of Tamil Nadu has been revolving around two poles for a long time. In this election, a part seemed to want to get out of that permanent conflict. Vijay presented himself as the ‘third option’ in which he was neither a part of the traditional power nor of the old opposition structure. The rise of TVK is believed to be the result of this mood.

Equalization of vote share, increase in seats

In the exit polls, both DMK+ and TVK seem to be getting around 35% vote share. However, TVK’s lead in seat projections shows that the party performed better in ‘swing seats’, where even small vote differences decide victory or defeat. This indicates that Vijay’s appeal was not limited to just gathering crowds, but was successful in influencing the decisive seats.

If you get power then the test will be big

Amidst all this, an important question remains whether this Vijay Factor will be able to transform into a permanent organization? DMK and AIADMK have been based on strong grassroots networks for decades. The real test for TVK will begin after government formation, which will include policy decisions, administrative capacity and expansion of the organization.

The politics of victory is now on the threshold of becoming a system rather than a symbol. His image is that of a ‘mass hero’, but governance is not run through ‘mass appeal’ but through institutional efficiency. If exit poll indications prove correct, Vijay will face the challenge of translating his popularity into policy and administration.

In Tamil Nadu politics, the word ‘Thalaiva’ is not just a symbol of popularity but also a symbol of leadership. Exit poll data shows that Vijay has moved towards this status. This election is not just the story of the rise of one party, but of a change in which voters want to give a chance to new faces, new language and new politics.

Also read: Vijay’s political debut in Tamil Nadu is explosive! TVK figures surprised in exit poll