Gold Price: Gold prices have now reached their peak and in the next two months it can fall by 12 to 15 percent. No one else has expressed this estimate by Quant Mutual Fund. However, the fund says that gold will still be important for medium and long -term investors.

Gold fall in gold

If you look at the current situation, the price of gold in the retail market on Tuesday was Rs 96,960 per 10 grams. It reached 99,868 after adding GST. But if analysts believe, then these prices can go down significantly in the coming weeks.

Morningstar’s big claim

The US -based financial analyst group Morningstar has made even a bigger claim. He has said that in the coming few years, it is possible to fall by 38 percent in gold prices.

Prices increased, sales of jewelry decreased

Increasing gold prices have affected the sale of jewelers. According to the India Bullion and Jewelers Association (IBJA), there has been a 30 per cent decline in sales of gold jewelery in India in the last 15 days. The biggest reason for this is a rise of up to 5 percent prices.

Enthusiasm after Akshaya Tritiya

Talking to IBJA National Secretary Surendra Mehta Economic Times, he says that there was a little demand during the first week of May, ie Akshaya Tritiya, because at that time gold had fallen to Rs 92,365 per 10 grams. But after that prices started climbing again and due to this the buyers started retreating.

So why was gold increased?

The reason for recent boom was global economic uncertainty, fear over inflation and geopolitical stress. Trade disputes between the US-China also turned investors towards gold. But now the same factor can work to push the prices down.

Actually, tension between the US and China seems to be deepening again. Donald Trump has accused China of breaking the terms of the agreement. This week, a phone call is being expected between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The market is closely monitoring this.

Europe also angry

On the other hand, the European Union is pressurizing the US to reduce fees. But the US is proceeding on the plan to impose 50 percent tax on steel and aluminum. Not only this, the US is seeking a hurry on trade proposals from other countries so that the talks can be intensified.

What to do investors?

Quant Mutual Fund suggests that gold should remain in your portfolio, but it would be better to be cautious for the next few months. Those who have bought at high prices, be mentally prepared for the decline.

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Gold has once again emerged as a safe haven for investors. In the first four months of 2025, gold has risen to about 25 percent and has reached its highest level on both MCX and COMEX international exchanges. It is believed that this boom in gold has come due to trade war, inflation pressure and inclination towards ‘safe haven’ properties of investors.

Trade war increased demand

Experts believe that the ongoing trade tension between the US and China, the growing war -like situation and inflation has attracted investors towards gold. Apart from this, gold shopping by central banks around the world is also strengthening prices.

Talking to The Mint, Navneet Damani, Group Senior Vice President of Motilal Oswal Financial Services, says that gold has emerged as a stable property amidst policy uncertainty, global inflation and instability of geopolitics. The increasing interest of central banks and investors is giving it further strength. According to Damani, in view of the current situation, the strategy of ‘by -on dips’ for the long term from medium is being considered better.

Buy or wait now?

If you want to buy gold now, then you probably need to stop. Actually, gold is still at its top level and there is every possibility of profit recovery and correction from here. In such a situation, if you invest in gold at this rate and after your investment, your money can get stuck.

Strategy for long term investors

For investors who want wealth preservation or geopolitical risk in the long term, there is still the right time to invest in gold. However, this investment should be made with the strategy of Dollar Cost Averagging. That is, gradually shopping in installments so that investment can be made at average price.

Disclaimer: (The information provided here is being given only for information. It is necessary to tell here that the investment in the market is subject to risks. Always consult expert before investing as an investor. Abplive.com is never advised to invest money here.)

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