The initial surveys that came after the end of voting for Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 have created a stir in the politics of the entire state. According to the Vote Vibe survey, this time the contest is considered to be very close. The race for power between Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav seems to be a tie. At the same time, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party has also left its impact on a limited level, which has made the contest more interesting.
According to the latest data of Vote Vibe Exit Poll 2025, Tejashwi Yadav has been most liked for the post of Chief Minister. Although his lead is not much. According to the survey, Tejashwi Yadav was liked by about 35 percent people, while Nitish Kumar got the support of about 33 percent voters. Jan Suraj chief Prashant Kishore has become the choice of voters at around 9 percent. It is clear from this that the people of Bihar are still divided between Nitish and Tejashwi and the final result can go in any direction.
Women assured NDA of lead
This time women voters have once again expressed confidence in Nitish Kumar. The financial assistance given under Jeevika scheme has strengthened NDA’s hold among women. It is believed that women in rural areas voted for NDA in large numbers, which has given an additional edge to the alliance. This is the same factor that gave NDA the lead in the 2020 elections also.
Youth are inclined towards grand alliance
Young voters seem to be slightly inclined in favor of the Grand Alliance this time. Tejashwi Yadav focused on issues like employment, government jobs and migration throughout the election campaign. This is the reason why a large number of youth voted in the name of change. The popularity of the Grand Alliance can be clearly seen among the youth in urban areas like Patna, Darbhanga, Muzaffarpur and Gaya.
NDA has slight lead, but result uncertain
According to the total vote percentage, NDA is said to be ahead by a slight margin. According to the survey, NDA is expected to get around 45 percent votes, while the Grand Alliance is expected to get around 42 percent votes. Jan Suraj Party seems to be getting around 5 percent votes. This small difference can completely change the results. Political analysts believe that if this trend continues then Nitish Kumar’s return is possible, but the final decision will be taken only on the day of counting.
Jan Suraj becomes the third force
Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party has registered its presence in the politics of Bihar for the first time. Although this party is not seen in the race for power, but it has made the contest triangular on many seats. Experts believe that even if Jan Suraj’s limited vote share is reduced by more than one party, it can have a big impact on the results.
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