16 Mar 2026, Mon

War, diplomacy and pressure of public opinion… Iran is taking Trump’s litmus test by war, may have to take a big decision soon

During a roundtable on collegiate sports in Washington, US President Donald Trump warned NATO allies that NATO’s future could be dire if they do not help reopen and secure the Strait of Hormuz. According to Reuters report, Trump indicated that the proposed summit meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping could be postponed because Beijing’s role in this crisis is not clear. China is dependent on this waterway for its energy needs, so it should also contribute to its security.

Trump appealed to several countries, including France, Japan, South Korea and Britain, to send warships so that the global energy supply is not disrupted amid Iranian attacks. He also warned that if necessary, the US could take additional military action on Kharg Island, Iran’s main oil export hub. It is clear from these statements that America is trying to control this conflict not only through military but also through extensive diplomatic pressure.

Trump is not getting domestic support
According to PTI report, this aggressive stance at the international level is deepening the domestic political crisis. Trump is not getting support even in America regarding the Iran war. Surveys clearly show that American society is divided regarding this conflict and this opposition may become stronger with time. At the beginning of the war, the Trump administration prioritized sudden military action and ignored the public opinion process. There has been a tradition in American politics that before war, the public is prepared about its justification and possible effects. Due to ignoring this tradition, Trump is now facing a crisis of legitimacy at domestic level.

The Trump administration tried to portray Iran as an immediate threat after the war began, but this argument was not widely effective. On the contrary, the statements of the Foreign Minister and the Defense Minister made the war more controversial at the ideological and emotional level. Especially when reports of civilian casualties in military operations emerged, questions began to be raised about the moral justification of war.

Serious challenge for Trump
This conflict has also become a serious challenge for Trump on the economic front. The blockage in the Strait of Hormuz has increased volatility in the global oil market, leading to a rise in the prices of energy and consumer goods. American voters generally evaluate the government based on its everyday spending more than economic indicators. In such a situation, rising inflation and economic uncertainty are weakening Trump’s popularity.

Trump’s problem is also that he did not prepare his supporters for the potential costs and long-term effects of war. Promises of quick and decisive victory may be politically attractive, but the reality is often more complex. Iran’s strategy appears to be to prolong this war by targeting the economic and political weaknesses of America and its allies.

Increased differences with NATO and other allied countries
The increasing pressure on allies at the diplomatic level indicates that America is finding it difficult to handle this conflict alone. Growing differences with NATO and other allied countries may affect the credibility of US foreign policy. This crisis may become more politically significant as the midterm elections approach. Public opposition may be limited within the Republican Party, but given the electoral risks, many leaders may demand an early end to the war.

For Trump, this struggle is not limited to the battlefield only. It is also being fought in the complex equations of American public opinion, economy and global diplomacy. This is why this war against Iran, whatever it may be from a military point of view, is becoming the biggest test of Trump’s leadership on the domestic front.

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