By Admin 
The political equation is becoming very interesting in all the exit polls and surveys released before Bihar Assembly elections 2025. While most of the surveys are showing the NDA’s lead, a survey has also emerged which has increased the political stir. Journo Mirror’s survey has shown the Grand Alliance (MGB) getting a clear majority.
Journo Mirror changed the equation
According to Journo Mirror, the Grand Alliance may get 130 to 140 seats this time, while the NDA is said to be limited to only 100 to 110 seats. This estimate is completely opposite to all other surveys. It has been claimed in this survey that this time the public is in the mood for change and a new equation can be formed in the state.
NDA ahead in remaining surveys
However, other major survey agencies like P-Marq, Peoples Pulse, DV Research, Matriz IANS, Chanakya, Poll Diary and Praja Poll Analytics have shown the NDA close to or above the majority. Among these, NDA has got an estimate of 130 to 209 seats, while the Grand Alliance is said to be limited to between 32 to 108 seats.
| Source | NDA | MGB (Grand Alliance) | OTH (other) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matriz IANS | 147–167 | 70–90 | 2–6 |
| Chanakya | 130–138 | 100–108 | 3–5 |
| Poll Diary | 184–209 | 32–49 | 1–5 |
| Praja Poll Analytics | 186 | 50 | 7 |
| Polestrat | 133–148 | 87–102 | 3–5 |
| TIF Research | 145–163 | 76–95 | 0–1 |
| JVC | 135–150 | 88–103 | 3–6 |
| People’s Insight | 133–148 | 87–102 | 3–6 |
| People’s Pulse | 133–159 | 75–101 | 2–13 |
| P-Marq | 142–162 | 80–98 | 1–7 |
| DV Research | 137–152 | 83–98 | 3–12 |
| Journal Mirror | 100–110 | 130–140 | 3–7 |
| Poll of Polls (Average) | 131–157 | 80–93 | 3–6 |
Which party got how many seats in 2020?
Last time in Bihar assembly elections i.e. in 2020, the NDA alliance had won and formed the government. At that time NDA had got a total of 125 seats, while the Grand Alliance had got success on 110 seats.
If we look at the figures of the last elections, in the NDA alliance, BJP got 74 seats, JDU got 43 seats, Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) got 4 seats and Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) also got 4 seats.
On the other hand, RJD had emerged as the largest party from the Grand Alliance by winning 75 seats. Congress got 19 seats, CPI (ML) got 12 seats, while AIMIM and other parties got 5 seats.
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