The politics of Gopalganj district has become very interesting this time. According to ABP Bihar Expert Exit Poll 2025, out of 6 assembly seats in the district, NDA is seen getting 2 seats, Grand Alliance is seen getting 1 seat, while there is a close contest on 3 seats. Political experts say that this time local resentment, development and women’s votes have shown more impact than caste equations.
Congress has the upper hand in Gopalganj
This time the contest on Gopalganj seat is very interesting. Political expert Sanjay Kumar Abhay says that Congress seems to have the upper hand here. He said that BJP was in control for 20 years, but there was no development. The Congress candidate is a Brahmin, hence the Brahmin voters who were earlier with the BJP have now gone in favor of the Congress.
Party wise distribution of 6 seats of Gopalganj-
– JDU: 2 seats
– RJD: 1 seat
Tough competition for Baikunthpur, Gopalganj and Kuchaikot assembly seats
Besides, BJP’s rebel candidate Anup Srivastava has also cast his vote. On the other hand, senior journalist Manish Bharti believes that in the name of government benefits and development for women, BJP can win by 5 thousand votes.
Senior journalist Valmiki Mani Tiwari said that the contest here is 51-49. There was resentment in BJP, but in the end everyone united. Caste equation did not work this time. Whereas political expert Gopal Mishra gave lead to Congress and said that due to less votes of BSP candidate Indira Yadav, both Yadav and Brahmin votes went towards Congress.
RJD benefits from caste equation in Barauli
There is a direct contest between RJD and JDU on Barauli seat. According to political expert Sanjay Kumar Abhay, BJP did not get the Rajput vote here, due to which RJD is benefiting. Both Muslim and Brahmin sections are voting for RJD.
Journalist Manish Bharti says that RJD can remain ahead by 10 thousand votes here, while Valmiki Mani Tiwari described the contest as a tough one. Political expert Gopal Mishra said that RJD is getting the benefit of caste equation and clean image of the candidate.
Equal contest between RJD and BJP in Baikunthpur
The situation is complicated in Baikunthpur. Political expert Sanjay Abhay says that BJP can win because RJD’s votes are being cut by BSP candidate Pradeep Rai. At the same time, political expert Manish Bharti believes that RJD can win, but the margin will be very less.
Political expert Valmiki Mani Tiwari says that the BJP candidate has worked in the area before and the effect of Rs 10,000 given to Jeevika Didis will be visible here. Political expert Gopal Mishra said that there is a 50-50 chance between the two parties and the actual voters are silent, due to which it is difficult to predict the result.
JDU gets lead in the name of development in Hathua
The contest on Hathua seat is between JDU and RJD. According to political expert Sanjay Abhay, this time the effect of the work of Nitish government will be visible and JDU will win. However, political expert Manish Bharti said that RJD has the upper hand due to Brahmin resentment.
Whereas political experts Balmiki Mani Tiwari and Gopal Mishra both agreed that JDU has an edge due to development work, gas plant and industrial projects in the area, but the difference will be less.
Trust in Minister Sunil Kumar’s development model in Bhore
Current JDU minister Sunil Kumar is once again considered a strong contender for Bhore seat. Political expert Sanjay Abhay says that the effect of establishment of industries and schemes for women will be visible in this area. Jansuraj’s Preeti Kinnar was effective in the beginning, but the votes slipped in the end.
Political expert Manish Bharti and political expert Balmiki Tiwari both believe that JDU can win by 5 thousand votes, although some votes have been scattered due to the MLA candidate.
Click here to read expert exit poll of 243 seats of all 38 districts of Bihar
Some political experts warned that if Brahmin voters went with Male, the results could be reversed, because last time Sunil Kumar had won by only 900 votes.
The political battle on Kuchaikot seat is very interesting. Political expert Sanjay Abhay says that this time Congress will win because Yadav, Kushwaha, Bhumihar and Muslim votes are unitedly with Congress.
At the same time, political expert Manish Bharti claims that the JDU candidate got AC installed in two thousand mosques-madrasas at his personal expense, due to which he is getting support from every section. Political expert Balmiki Tiwari also gave a slight lead to JDU, while political expert Gopal Mishra says that Congress has directly benefited from the dispersion of Brahmin and Rajput votes.

