Before the results of Bihar Assembly elections (2025), the exit poll results show the formation of NDA government. Today’s Chanakya exit poll has also been released. In this, the NDA alliance government seems to be getting 160 seats while the RJD alliance is getting 67 seats. 6 seats are going to others’ account. In many exit polls that came before this, the data also showed that NDA government will be formed again in Bihar.
On the other hand, Today’s Chanakya has also conducted a survey on the basis of caste. From this it has come to light that people of Yadav caste have also voted for the NDA alliance. RJD alliance seems to be getting 67 percent votes of Yadavs. At the same time, BJP-JDU alliance has got 23 percent votes.
How many seats for which alliance?
- NDA- 160 seats (+/- 12 seats)
- Grand Alliance- 77 seats (+/- 12 seats)
- Others- 6 Seats (+/- 3 Seats)
How much vote share does which alliance get?
- NDA – 44 (+/- 3%)
- Grand Alliance- 38 (+/- 3%)
- Others- 18 (+/- 3%)
Who got how much votes from which other category?
According to Today’s Chanakya survey, the NDA alliance seems to be getting about 55 percent votes of the two classes OBC and EBC in this election. At the same time, the Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 24 percent. BJP alliance can get 58 percent votes from Scheduled Castes (SC). The Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 26 percent votes.
#TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025
Bihar 2025
Caste Analysis – OBC & EBC
BJP+ 55% ± 3%
RJD+ 24% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025
Muslim voters with whom?
The Muslim community votes the most for RJD. If we talk about it, these voters are still supporting Tejashwi Yadav. Today’s Chanakya has said in its exit poll that RJD alliance can get 69 percent votes of Muslims. The BJP-JDU alliance may have to be satisfied with only 12 percent votes.
#TCAnalysis#BiharElection2025
Bihar 2025
Caste Analysis – Muslim
BJP+ 12% ± 3%
RJD+ 69% ± 3%#TodaysChanakyaAnalysis— Today’s Chanakya (@TodaysChanakya) November 12, 2025
Brahmin-Baniya vote for BJP alliance
Today’s Chanakya also conducted a survey on the voting trends of Brahmins, Banias and Rajputs. It was revealed that BJP-JDU alliance is getting 63 percent votes of these castes. The Grand Alliance may have to be satisfied with only 19 percent.

