By Admin 
In Bihar, when people were celebrating the festival of colors with full enthusiasm with ‘Bura Na Mano Holi Hai’, a big game was going on in the politics of the state. Preparations were going on to send Nitish Kumar, who was the master of black and white of the state for almost 20 years, to the last station of politics and it was executed very well on the second day of Holi. Nitish Kumar himself was made to say that he wanted to go to Rajya Sabha and within a few hours he was seen filing nomination.
Amidst this exit plan of Nitish, a news came as a hope for the opposition and opponents that Nitish Kumar will remain the CM for the next one month. His supporters and BJP’s opponents feel that Nitish Kumar, who is adept at playing games, may make a big move in the next one month and thus BJP’s so-called silent Operation Lotus may fail. But the statistics and the current politics of the state do not show a favorable environment for this kind of game. Rather, political analysts believe that this game may instead put RJD in trouble.
Actually, it is believed that Amit Shah’s strategy is behind this alleged silent Operation Lotus going on in Bihar. In the current political situation, it seems that BJP will not have to face much difficulties. The reason for this is also clearly stated.
It is generally said in the politics of Bihar that there are two big factions within JDU, out of which one faction is considered very close to BJP and works on its instructions. It is even said that some leaders follow the BJP line despite being in JDU. Similarly, it is also discussed that many RJD MLAs are also in touch with the ruling camp and may rebel at any time. When a party is in power at the Centre, its ability to create divisions among other parties or to unite leaders with itself is considered greater, and the politics of Bihar is also considered to be no exception to this.
mathematics of bihar assembly
There are total 243 seats in Bihar Assembly. BJP has 89 seats, while JDU has 85 seats. Among other allies, there are 19 MLAs from LJP, 5 from HAM and 4 from RLM. In this way the total number of NDA camp reaches 202 seats.
On the other hand RJD has 25 seats. There are 6 MLAs from Congress, 5 from AIMIM, 3 from Left, 1 from IIP and 1 from BSP. If all these are added together then the total number is 41 seats. However, RJD, Congress, Left and IIP contested the elections together and their total seats were 35.
numbers game
If it is assumed that JDU separates from NDA, then the number of Grand Alliance MLAs will be reduced by 85 out of 202 to 117. Whereas to form the government a figure of 122 is required. On paper it seems that it is possible to play here, but the political reality may be different.
Political analysts believe that BJP can create divisions among RJD, JDU and Congress. Political game is also considered possible in AIMIM. BSP and IIP may also lean towards BJP. In such a situation, it is believed that only three CPM MLAs can stay away from this whole disturbance. Therefore, many analysts believe that no matter how much time Nitish takes, it will not be easy for him to execute any big ‘Khela’.