17 Nov 2025, Mon


The seat sharing formula in NDA for Bihar Assembly elections has been decided. However, till now the grand alliance is stuck on this matter. Prashant Kishor’s party Jansuraj has also released the first list of 51 candidates. Meanwhile, a shocking survey of Vote Wise has come out, according to which PK will spoil the game of Grand Alliance and NDA on about 83 seats out of 243.
Amitabh Tiwari, founder of Vote Vibe, said that Prashant Kishore’s vote share had increased in the February survey, but now it has fallen again to around 9 percent. However, the vote share of Grand Alliance and NDA has increased. There is a face-to-face contest between the NDA and the Grand Alliance in the elections. It cannot be said that after PK entered the fray, the election has become triangular because only if he is successful in getting 15-20 percent vote share then the election can become triangular. At least in terms of vote share, Prashant Kishore’s party has not reached that level.

Whose vote will Prashant Kishore cut?

Expert Amitabh Tiwari said that according to what has come to light so far, PK is taking the votes of independents and small parties because they are anti-NDA and Grand Alliance votes and now he is seeing a face. Therefore he can get that vote. The vote share of independents in Bihar has been 8-10 percent.

Margin of victory on 83 seats less than 5 percent

Election expert said that the margin on 83 seats where Prashant Kishor is contesting is less than 5 percent votes. If Jansuraj gets 5 percent vote share there, he will spoil the game of some party or the other. If we see which party PK has damaged, then the votes of independents and small parties will be cut the most. After that, they will harm the Grand Alliance because they have harmed Tejashwi’s brand status by talking about education. Thirdly, by raising corruption, they are causing harm to BJP or NDA.

Which 83 seats will PK cause harm?

However, it is difficult to say right now on which 83 seats PK will cause harm and which party he will harm, this can be said only when the names of the candidates are revealed. Then the caste of the candidates, how educated they are and whether they have ever contested elections before or not, all these factors will decide. Amitbha Tiwari said, ‘One thing they are continuously saying is that JDU will not get 25 seats and Nitish Kumar will not become CM. Now it remains to be seen whether PK now focuses on harming only Nitish Kumar’s party. As Chirag Paswan had done last time, he had fielded his candidates only against JDU.

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