By Admin 
A big upheaval seems to be taking place in the politics of Kerala. The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) seems to be heading towards a landslide victory in the assembly elections. According to the latest survey of Poll Mantra Intelligence Report, UDF can get 88-92 seats in the 140-member assembly, that is, it can comfortably cross the majority mark of 70.
This is not just a prediction of victory, but a clear indication of change of power.
According to the Poll Mantra Intelligence report, the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) is expected to be reduced to 42-46 seats. The report says that this decline is visible even in its traditional strongholds. At the same time, the position of NDA is looking weaker, which is expected to get only 0-2 seats.
The survey claims that this could be a “one-sided election result”, which is not a game of scattered votes but the result of “voter shift”. It is clear that this time the election winds have changed and the biggest reason for this is said to be anti-incumbency.
The 10 year old left government will fall!
According to the survey of Poll Mantra Intelligence Report, if we understand the mood of the voters then the picture becomes more clear. “Desire for change” has emerged as the biggest factor with 22.8%. This is followed by welfare schemes (17.6%), ideology (16.2%) and leadership (14.6%). This means that the public is now not just looking for schemes, but is looking for change and better leadership.
The vote percentage figures also strengthen this story. UDF seems to be getting a lead of more than 8% with 41.5% vote share, while LDF is at 33.4%. NDA is expected to get 17.2% votes and others are expected to get 2.3% votes. Only 5.6% of voters are still undecided—pointing to a stable and clear public opinion.
Who will become the Chief Minister?
Talking about Chief Minister faces, VD Satheesan is ahead with 21.3%, while the current Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan is at 18.5%. Ramesh Chennithala (17.2%) and KC Venugopal (15.1%) are also in the race. The real issues in this election are also clear. Inflation and cost of living is the biggest issue with 24.5%. Employment and youth migration is at 20.2%. That means about 45% voters are directly affected by economic pressure. Corruption, health services and law and order also remain important issues.
If we look at it regionally, UDF is leading in every area. Out of 60 seats in Malabar, UDF may get 41-43 seats, while LDF may get limited to 15-17. Out of 41 seats in Central Kerala, UDF is expected to get 25-26 seats and LDF is expected to get 12-13 seats. The contest is a bit tough in Travancore, but here also UDF is ahead with 22-23 seats.