30 Apr 2026, Thu

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Key points generated by AI, verified by newsroom

  • The influence of TVK and other parties may remain limited.

Puducherry Exit Poll 2026: Different exit polls that have emerged regarding the elections for the 30-member Puducherry Assembly are now pointing towards a common trend. In the integrated analysis of poll of polls, NDA now seems to be emerging with a clear lead. The majority figure in the 30-seat assembly is 16 and most of the surveys seem to be taking the NDA beyond this figure.

seen in three agencies NDA majority figure of

If we look at the data of three major agencies – Axis My India, Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll – then the position of Bharatiya Janata Party led NDA appears strong. According to Axis My India, the NDA may get 16 to 20 seats, which puts it at or above the majority line. Peoples Pulse also shows the NDA in the range of 16 to 20 seats, while Praja Poll, giving the most aggressive estimate, is taking the NDA to 19 to 25 seats. The average indication of these three surveys is that NDA is in a position to form the government in Puducherry.

Also read: Poll of Polls Exit Poll 2026: Mamata Banerjee’s government is wavering in Bengal, BJP is getting more seats than majority.

Congress led coalition’s boat stuck in midstream

On the other hand, the Congress-led alliance seems to be lagging behind in these projections. Axis My India gives it 6 to 8 seats, while according to Peoples Pulse it may get 10 to 12 seats, this is a relatively better scenario for it. At the same time, Praja Poll’s estimate is between 6 to 10 seats. Overall, the picture looks challenging for the Congress alliance, although some surveys even show the possibility of it reaching double digits.

in puducherry TVK Limited effect may also be seen

An interesting aspect in this election is also the presence of TVK (Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam). Axis My India estimates it to get 2 to 4 seats, but both Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll do not give it any seat. This means that TVK’s role may remain limited and its influence may be limited to a few selected seats only. Talking about other parties and independent candidates, they are expected to get 0 to 3 seats. Although this number is small, in case of a close contest these seats can affect the equation of government formation.

Congress will have to expect a change in seats on the day of results.

There is definitely a difference in the figures of seats in different surveys, but the direction is the same that NDA is close to or above majority. According to political analysts, local issues, personal image of the candidate and the mathematics of limited seats increasingly influence the results in smaller states and union territories. In such a situation, even a difference of 2-3 seats can change the balance of power. At present, these exit poll trends strengthen the chances of NDA forming the government, while the Congress alliance will have to hope for an upset on the day of results.

That is, if we see, the ‘poll of exit polls’ in Puducherry seems to be giving a clear lead to NDA. According to estimates, NDA is in majority with 18 seats, while Congress seems to be limited to 9 seats. TVK is expected to get 2 seats and others will get 1 seat, due to which NDA government seems to be formed.

Also read: Explained: What position is Shashi Tharoor in the race for Kerala Chief Minister? Who wants to be made the next CM, know the mood of the public

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