Puducherry Exit Poll 2026: Different exit polls that have emerged regarding the elections for the 30-member Puducherry Assembly are now pointing towards a common trend. In the integrated analysis of poll of polls, NDA now seems to be emerging with a clear lead. The majority figure in the 30-seat assembly is 16 and most of the surveys seem to be taking the NDA beyond this figure.

seen in three agencies NDA majority figure of

If we look at the data of three major agencies – Axis My India, Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll – then the position of Bharatiya Janata Party led NDA appears strong. According to Axis My India, the NDA may get 16 to 20 seats, which puts it at or above the majority line. Peoples Pulse also shows the NDA in the range of 16 to 20 seats, while Praja Poll, giving the most aggressive estimate, is taking the NDA to 19 to 25 seats. The average indication of these three surveys is that NDA is in a position to form the government in Puducherry.

Also read: Poll of Polls Exit Poll 2026: Mamata Banerjee’s government is wavering in Bengal, BJP is getting more seats than majority.

Congress led coalition’s boat stuck in midstream

On the other hand, the Congress-led alliance seems to be lagging behind in these projections. Axis My India gives it 6 to 8 seats, while according to Peoples Pulse it may get 10 to 12 seats, this is a relatively better scenario for it. At the same time, Praja Poll’s estimate is between 6 to 10 seats. Overall, the picture looks challenging for the Congress alliance, although some surveys even show the possibility of it reaching double digits.

in puducherry TVK Limited effect may also be seen

An interesting aspect in this election is also the presence of TVK (Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam). Axis My India estimates it to get 2 to 4 seats, but both Peoples Pulse and Praja Poll do not give it any seat. This means that TVK’s role may remain limited and its influence may be limited to a few selected seats only. Talking about other parties and independent candidates, they are expected to get 0 to 3 seats. Although this number is small, in case of a close contest these seats can affect the equation of government formation.

Congress will have to expect a change in seats on the day of results.

There is definitely a difference in the figures of seats in different surveys, but the direction is the same that NDA is close to or above majority. According to political analysts, local issues, personal image of the candidate and the mathematics of limited seats increasingly influence the results in smaller states and union territories. In such a situation, even a difference of 2-3 seats can change the balance of power. At present, these exit poll trends strengthen the chances of NDA forming the government, while the Congress alliance will have to hope for an upset on the day of results.

That is, if we see, the ‘poll of exit polls’ in Puducherry seems to be giving a clear lead to NDA. According to estimates, NDA is in majority with 18 seats, while Congress seems to be limited to 9 seats. TVK is expected to get 2 seats and others will get 1 seat, due to which NDA government seems to be formed.

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Exit Polls Results 2026: Assembly elections were concluded in four states of the country – Assam, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and a union territory Puducherry – with the second phase of voting in West Bengal on Wednesday (April 29, 2026). As soon as the voting is over, the exit poll data of all the states has come out, in which the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is seen forming the government in two states and one union territory with a clear majority in West Bengal, Assam and Puducherry.

At the same time, according to exit poll data, Congress-led alliance UDF seems to be forming the government in Kerala with absolute majority. Whereas in Tamil Nadu, the alliance led by ruling Chief Minister MK Stalin’s party DMK may once again return to power.

What are the exit poll figures in West Bengal?

This time assembly elections have been conducted in two phases in West Bengal. According to the exit poll data revealed in the survey by poll agencies, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) government, which has been ruling West Bengal for 15 years, seems to be wavering in the elections this time, while the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) can form the government in the state with a clear majority.

• Matrix – BJP may get 146-161 seats, TMC may get 125-140 seats, others may get 6-10 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 150-160 seats for BJP, 130-140 seats for TMC, 6-10 seats for others.
• Praja Polls – BJP 178-208, TMC 85-110, others 0-5 seats.
• Poll Diary – BJP 142-171, TMC 99-127, others 5-9 seats.
• P-Mark – 150-175 seats for BJP, 118-138 seats for TMC, 2-6 seats for others.
• People’s Pulse – BJP may get 95-110, TMC may get 178-189 seats, others may get 1-3 seats.

BJP gets clear majority in Assam, Congress lags behind

According to exit poll data, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma in Assam seems to be returning to power once again. At the same time, the opposition Congress party seems to be lagging behind in this electoral field.

• Matrix – BJP may get 88-98 seats, INC may get 22-32 seats, others may get 3-5 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 85-95 seats for BJP, 25-32 seats for INC, 6-12 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – 86-101 seats for BJP, 15-26 seats for INC, 3-7 seats for others.
• Axis My India – BJP 88-100, INC 24-36, Others 0 seats.

Also read: Assam Exit Poll: NDA’s strong comeback in Assam, Congress defeated in front of Himanta magic

Stalin government returning again in Tamil Nadu?

According to exit poll data, the ruling DMK government of Chief Minister MK Stalin may once again return to power in Tamil Nadu. According to the survey data of Matrice, the opposition AIADMK seems to be giving competition to MK Stalin’s party. Whereas Thalapathy Vijay’s party TVK is expected to get 98-120 seats according to India Today-Axis My India.

• Matrix – DMK 122-132, AIADMK 87-100, TVK 10-12, Others 10-18 seats.
• Chanakya Strategies – 145-160 seats for DMK, 50-65 seats for AIADMK, 00 for TVK, 18-26 seats for others.
• Poll Diary – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• Praja Poll – DMK 148-168, AIADMK 61-81, TVK 00, Others 01-09 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – DMK 92-110, AIADMK 22-32, TVK 98-120, Others 00 seats.

Congress may get power in Kerala

At the same time, according to exit poll data, this time Congress Party led UDF alliance may get power in Kerala. Whereas the ruling leftist alliance LDF seems to be lagging behind in the election results.

• Matrix – LDF+ 60-65, INC+ 70-75, BJP 00, Others 05-09.
• Chanakya Strategies – LDF+ 58-64, INC+ 72-80, BJP 00, Others 03-07 seats.
• People’s Pulse – LDF+ 55-65, INC+ 75-85, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – LDF+ 49-62, INC+ 78-90, BJP 00-03, Others 00 seats.

Who is getting majority in Puducherry??

According to exit poll data in the Union Territory of Puducherry, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is forming the government with a majority. Whereas the Congress party seems to be lagging behind in the electoral field.

• Praja Poll – BJP+ 19-25, INC+ 06-08, Others 00 seats.
• India Today-Axis My India – BJP+ may get 16-20, INC+ may get 06-08, others may get 03-07 seats.

Also read: Signs of reshuffle in power in Kerala after 10 years, majority in favor of Congress, what do the data of ‘Poll of Polls’ say