The fire of war has once again flared up in the Middle East. The US-Iran agreement which Donald Trump was calling his biggest diplomatic success 22 days ago, has now considered the same agreement almost finished. On one hand, American fighter planes are bombing Iranian military bases for the second consecutive day, while on the other hand, Iran is firing missiles at American military bases, but the biggest question is, what happened that Trump suddenly returned from talks to war? Was it because of Iran or Israel’s intelligence report?
Trump’s different attitude seen in NATO summit
Donald Trump’s style when he reached Turkey for the NATO summit was completely different from before. For the first time, he openly said that talks with Iran are now a waste of time. He described Iran as ‘bad people’ and ‘lousy players’. The most shocking thing was that Trump claimed that he has been number one on Iran’s hit list for many years and he feels his life in danger all the time. He said that Iran can target anyone and he himself is its main target.
Questions are being raised on the timing of intelligence reports
The question arises that how did Trump suddenly believe that Iran wanted to kill him? The answer to this is hidden in the reports of the American media. According to the reports of Wall Street Journal and CNN, Israel gave a new intelligence information to America. It was claimed that Iran is making a special plan to assassinate Donald Trump. Reports also said that US intelligence agencies were already aware of a possible threat against Trump, but Israel shared input of a new and more serious plot.
However, this alleged killing plot has not been officially confirmed by neither America nor Israel. This is why questions are being raised on the timing of this report. This report came out at the same time when talks were going on to finalize the peace agreement between America and Iran. Both sides were said to be largely in agreement on the draft. In such a situation, it is natural to raise the question whether this intelligence input was actually a security warning or a strategy to derail the peace process?
After the death of Qasim Sulemani, Trump becomes a possible target of Iran
The threat of Iran is nothing new for Trump. In January 2020, General Qasim Sulemani, the head of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), was killed in an American drone attack on Trump’s orders. Since then, US agencies have believed that Iran sees Trump as a potential target. Trump himself has said many times that he got Suleimani killed because he was planning a major attack on American targets. In such a situation, the new intelligence report further strengthened Trump’s old apprehensions, but the story does not end here.
Meanwhile, the last journey of late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was going on in Iran. Millions of people gathered on the streets from Tehran to Mashhad and then to Qom. Slogans were raised against America and Trump during the last journey. There were protests against Trump’s pictures at many places. These scenes also increased Trump’s concern and anger. In such an environment, Israel’s intelligence report and radical public sentiments in Iran together completely changed Trump’s stance.
in two days US Attacked 170 Iranian targets
Immediately after this, the American army started large-scale attacks on Iran. It was claimed that about 170 military bases of Iran were targeted in two days. There were explosions around the Bushehr nuclear plant. Air strikes were carried out on Bandar Abbas, Sistan, Chabahar and many other military establishments. In response, Iran launched missile and drone attacks on US military bases in Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan and other countries. The whole of West Asia again reached the brink of war.
Netanyahu’s thinking influenced Trump?
This is where the role of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu comes into discussion. Netanyahu has already been critical of the US-Iran agreement. His priority has always been to completely dismantle Iran’s nuclear program and weaken the Iran-backed militia network. He believes that Israel cannot be safe until Iran’s military capability is completely destroyed. Therefore, a permanent agreement between America and Iran is not considered favorable to their strategic interests.
Interestingly, in recent times, both Netanyahu and Trump used almost similar language for Iran. Netanyahu had earlier described Iran as ‘cancer’ and later Trump also repeated almost the same words. This intensified the discussion about whether Israel’s security concerns influenced Trump’s thinking.
Mujtaba’s absence at Ali Khamenei’s funeral a topic of discussion
Amidst all this incident, another mystery is attracting the world’s attention – the continuous absence of Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s last journey went to Tehran, Qom, Iraq and Mashhad, but his three sons were seen everywhere, but Mujtaba was nowhere to be seen. No last darshan, no shoulder at the funeral, no presence at the time of burial. This absence became a topic of discussion throughout Iran and in the international media.
Iran is keeping Mujtaba Khamenei’s activities very secret
It is being claimed in Iranian media that Mujtaba Khamenei may soon appear in public and attend his father’s memorial service. However, on the other hand, it is also being said that due to security reasons, his public programs will be kept very limited. Some reports also claimed that he did not appear in public because of his injuries in the recent attacks, although this has not been independently confirmed.
Security experts believe that after becoming the Supreme Leader, Mujtaba has now become the most important strategic target for Israel and its allies. This is the reason why Iran is keeping their location and activities completely confidential. If he appears in public, the security risk may increase manifold.
Many questions remain to be answered amidst the conflict
This entire incident has raised many big questions. Did Trump really abandon talks and choose war because of Iran’s alleged killing plot? Did Israel’s intelligence report play a decisive role in changing US policy? Did the public anger that emerged during his last visit to Iran further increase Trump’s apprehensions? And most importantly, will Mujtaba Khamenei come before the world for the first time and put an end to all these speculations?
At present, it is certain that the increasing military conflict between America and Iran has destabilized the entire West Asia. If the scope of the war increases, its impact will not be limited only to regional security, but will also be visible on the global oil market, maritime trade and world economy. The coming days will decide whether this conflict will reach a new agreement or the Middle East will move towards another long war.
Also read: End of ceasefire increases risk of world war! Know which country again jumped in to bring peace between America and Iran?

