Exit Poll 2026 Result: From Bengal to Assam-Kerala and Tamil Nadu, know whose government is in which exit poll.

Many exit polls released after the elections have predicted a lead for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in West Bengal, a hat-trick of victories in Assam and a victory for the UDF in Kerala, while a survey has predicted a major upset for actor Vijay’s party TVK in Tamil Nadu.

Leading election survey agency ‘Axis My India’ estimates that Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK) may come close to forming the government in its very first election with 98 to 120 seats. If the actual results remain the same then it will be Vijay’s charismatic debut in electoral politics. This party came into existence in February 2024.

The second and final phase of voting concluded in West Bengal on Wednesday. Earlier on April 23, voting was held on 152 seats in the state. There are a total of 294 assembly seats in the state. Voting was held in Kerala, Assam and Puducherry on April 9 and in Tamil Nadu on April 23. In the survey of several election survey agencies that came on Wednesday evening regarding the West Bengal Assembly elections, the possibility of BJP getting a decisive lead or majority was expressed. However, some surveys have predicted that the Trinamool Congress government will remain intact.

• The survey of ‘People’s Pulse’ has said that Trinamool Congress can retain its power by securing 177 to 187 seats. BJP is expected to get 95 to 110 seats. Congress is expected to get one to three seats.
• According to the exit poll of ‘Janmat Polls’, Trinamool Congress may get 195 to 205 seats while BJP may have to be satisfied with only 80 to 90 seats.
• The survey of ‘Poll Diary’ estimates that BJP can come to power for the first time in West Bengal with 142 to 171 seats. According to this survey, Trinamool Congress may have to be satisfied with 99 to 127.
• The survey of ‘Matris’ says that BJP can form the government in West Bengal with 146 to 161 seats and TMC can get 125 to 140 seats and may be out of power.
• ‘P-Mark’ survey says that BJP may get 150 to 175 seats in West Bengal while TMC is expected to get 118-138 seats.

All surveys regarding Assam have predicted the victory of the BJP led alliance.

• According to the survey of ‘Axis My India’, NDA may win 88 to 100 seats and the Congress-led alliance may get 24 to 36 seats.
• The exit poll of ‘Matris’ states that the BJP-led alliance in Assam may get a thumping majority with 85 to 95 seats, while the Congress-led alliance may be limited to only 25 to 32 seats.
• According to ‘Janmat Polls’, the BJP led alliance in Assam may get 87 to 98 seats and the Congress led alliance may be limited to only 29 to 30 seats.
• The exit poll of ‘JVC’ has said that in Assam, the BJP led alliance can get a huge majority with 88 to 101 seats, while the Congress led alliance is expected to get only 23 to 33 seats. There are total 126 assembly seats in Assam.

Regarding Kerala, almost all the survey agencies have predicted the departure of the Left Democratic Front (LDF) from power and the victory of the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF).

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• The exit poll of ‘Axis My India’ says that UDF may get 78 to 90 seats, while LDF is expected to get 49 to 62 seats.
• ‘People’s Pulse’ has predicted that UDF will get an absolute majority in Kerala with 75 to 85 seats. He estimates that the CPI(M) led LDF will get only 55 to 65 seats and will be out of power.
• ‘Vote Vibe’ survey says that UDF is expected to get 70 to 80 seats, while LDF may get 58 to 68 seats.
• According to the survey of ‘People’s Insight’, UDF is expected to get 66 to 76 seats and LDF is expected to get 58 to 68 seats. He has predicted that the BJP led alliance will get 10 to 14 seats. There are 140 assembly seats in Kerala.

Most surveys in Tamil Nadu have predicted a victory for the DMK-led alliance, although ‘Axis My India’ has already predicted TVK to be close to a majority in the elections. His assessment is that Vijay’s party can get 108 to 120 seats in the 234-member assembly. TVK was formed in February 2024.

• In the survey of ‘Axis My India’, the DMK-led alliance is expected to get 92 to 110 seats and the AIADMK-led NDA is expected to get only 22 to 32 seats.
• ‘People’s Pulse’ has estimated the DMK-led alliance to get 125 to 145 seats. His estimate is that NDA will get 65 to 80 seats and actor Vijay’s party Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK) will get 18 to 24 seats.
• The survey by ‘Matris’ said that the DMK led alliance can retain power with 122 to 132 seats and the AIADMK led NDA is expected to get 87 to 100 seats. TVK may get 10 to 12.

Regarding Puducherry, most of the surveys predict that the All India NR Congress (AINRC) led NDA alliance may get majority.

• According to the exit poll of ‘Axis Moi India’, NDA may get 16 to 20 seats in Puducherry, while the alliance of Congress and DMK is expected to get six to eight seats. TVK is expected to get two to four seats.
• According to People’s Pulse, NDA may get 16-18 seats and Congress and DMK may get 10-12 seats.
• ‘Kamakhya Analytics’ has predicted that NDA will get an absolute majority of 17 to 24 seats in Puducherry. His assessment is that the alliance of Congress and DMK can be limited to only four to seven seats. There are 30 assembly seats in Puducherry.

Also read- West Bengal Exit Poll 2026: Big upset in Bengal, BJP close to power, according to Chanakya strategy, BJP is sure to form government!