If Lok Sabha elections were held today, would BJP have got the lead in Bengal? Surprising figures revealed in the survey

MOTN Survey 2026: If Lok Sabha elections are held today, there will be no major upheaval in the politics of West Bengal. According to India Today-CVoter’s Mood of the Nation (MOTN) Survey 2026, the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) may maintain its strong hold in the state like in 2024.

There are definitely signs of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) getting a slight lead in seats and vote share, but the picture still appears to be in favor of TMC.

Know which party will get how many seats

In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, Trinamool Congress won 29 out of 42 seats in West Bengal, improving its 2019 performance. Whereas BJP was at second place with 12 seats. According to the latest 2026 MOTN survey, if elections are held now, TMC’s seats may drop to 28 with a slight decline, while BJP’s seats may increase to 14.

This estimate shows a lead for BJP compared to the August version of MOTN. In the August survey, BJP was expected to get 11 seats, which has now increased to 14. On the contrary, in the August 2026 survey, TMC’s seats were said to be 31, which has now been reduced to 28. This survey has come just two months before the West Bengal Assembly elections.

Signs of change in vote share also
According to the 2026 MOTN survey, the vote share of the BJP-led NDA may increase by about three percent. NDA’s vote share is expected to increase from 39 percent to 42 percent. Although the results of the survey cannot be considered as the final truth, it definitely indicates that BJP is not yet in a position to make any major inroads in West Bengal and the relevance of Trinamool Congress in the politics of the state still remains strong. The Mood of the Nation survey has been conducted in the last eight weeks, in which more than 1.25 lakh people from across the country were included. According to the survey, BJP led NDA can win more than 350 seats at the national level.

Previous survey data
In the MOTN survey of August 2024, TMC was expected to get 32 ​​seats, BJP 8 seats and Congress 2 seats. Whereas in the survey of February 2024, if elections had been held at that time, TMC was expected to get 22 seats and BJP 19 seats.