By Admin 
There has been a trend in Tamil Nadu for decades that the government changes every five years, but this trend weakened a little with the victory of DMK in 2021, when M.K. DMK returned to power under Stalin’s leadership. Looking at history, the government kept changing every five years from 2000 to 2016. However, there has been a change in 2021 when the DMK formed the government with Congress, Left parties and other colleagues.
The election in Tamil Nadu is no longer based on the Cult Leadership. After Jayalalithaa and Karunanidhi, new faces like Stalin and EPS have emerged, on the basis of which politics is moving forward. According to the recent Vote Vibe survey, 61% of people are angry with their local MLA. At the same time, 41% of the people are angry with the state government. These figures show that anti -incumbency is still deeply connected in Tamil Nadu politics. However, experts say that its direct effect will not be seen in the upcoming election. In every election in Tamil Nadu, 25–30% of the candidates are changed. There is pro-incumbency in women, while anti-incumbency is more visible in men. Alliance politics is decisive here. Overall, if the DMK will have to select the candidates thoughtfully, only then it can manage anti-incumbency.
DMK vs AIADMK: Stand Alone Vote Share and Alliance Politics
According to the stand Alone vote share in Tamil Nadu, AIADMK has been ahead of DMK so far. AIADMK’s stand Alone vote share was more than DMK in elections up to 2000–2021. The DMK’s alliance was strong in 2021 – parties like Congress, Left, VCK, MDMK were included. This means, the basis of DMK’s success is not only his party, but also a strong alliance. In recent years, Vijay TV actor Vijay has clarified his political ambitions. Vijay is emerging as the third option in Tamil Nadu through his party. Because of this, DMK vs AIADMK+BJP vs Vijay’s party will be seen. In this three -sided contest, the opposition’s vote can be distributed, which can benefit the DMK, as is also visible in the survey.
Differences between women and men
Interestingly in the survey, it has been revealed that women are more in favor of DMK due to welfare schemes like cash support income scheme, while men are inclined towards anti -incumbency due to employment and other issues. It means that DMK will have to put more emphasis on its women -centric schemes.
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